NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of November 29th
NBA DFS Picks & Grades
We got our first full week of NBA action in awhile. There was a flip-flop atop the leaderboard and our Value Tracker continues to lend some knowledge into those sites providing nice one-off plays. A full five-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Mon | Rk | Tues | Rk | Wed | Rk | Thur | Rk | Fri | Rk | Avg |
| DailyFantasyInsider | 10.00 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 2.00 | 29 | 4.00 | 25 | 2.50 | 28 | 5.70 |
| Awesemo – Building Blocks | 4.25 | 20 | 5.67 | 14 | 6.67 | 2 | 6.40 | 3 | 5.33 | 3 | 5.66 |
| Rotowire | 3.50 | 24 | 5.33 | 16 | 6.20 | 3 | 7.80 | 1 | 5.18 | 5 | 5.60 |
| Sportsline | 5.67 | 5 | 7.57 | 2 | 7.00 | 1 | 1.25 | 27 | 4.17 | 13 | 5.13 |
| FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator | 6.13 | 3 | 5.14 | 20 | 2.50 | 26 | 6.50 | 2 | 5.25 | 4 | 5.10 |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | 5.23 | 6 | 4.88 | 23 | 5.43 | 4 | 4.80 | 18 | 5.00 | 7 | 5.07 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 6.00 | 4 | 6.40 | 6 | 5.14 | 5 | 4.14 | 22 | 3.38 | 22 | 5.01 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 4.50 | 17 | 6.14 | 8 | 5.00 | 6 | 4.13 | 23 | 4.88 | 8 | 4.93 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 4.50 | 17 | 5.69 | 12 | 3.00 | 21 | 5.23 | 12 | 6.06 | 2 | 4.90 |
| NBC Sports Edge | 4.13 | 21 | 5.25 | 19 | 4.88 | 9 | 6.14 | 4 | 4.00 | 15 | 4.88 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 4.90 | 12 | 6.88 | 4 | 4.30 | 11 | 5.30 | 11 | 2.90 | 25 | 4.86 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 4.32 | 19 | 6.58 | 5 | 3.74 | 15 | 4.89 | 17 | 4.21 | 12 | 4.75 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 3.67 | 23 | 4.75 | 24 | 4.89 | 7 | 5.86 | 5 | 4.44 | 11 | 4.72 |
| FantasyAlarm – Playbook | 4.59 | 15 | 5.81 | 10 | 3.16 | 20 | 5.21 | 13 | 4.45 | 10 | 4.64 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 5.22 | 7 | 6.11 | 9 | 4.89 | 7 | 4.10 | 24 | 2.70 | 27 | 4.60 |
| DFSKarma – Game Theory | 4.55 | 16 | 5.70 | 11 | 2.80 | 23 | 5.10 | 15 | 4.55 | 9 | 4.54 |
| RunPureSports | 5.11 | 10 | 6.19 | 7 | 2.08 | 28 | 5.08 | 16 | 4.13 | 14 | 4.52 |
| FantasyLabs | 4.60 | 14 | 5.00 | 21 | 3.33 | 19 | 3.25 | 26 | 6.10 | 1 | 4.46 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | 3.78 | 22 | 5.56 | 15 | 4.11 | 12 | 5.13 | 14 | 3.70 | 19 | 4.46 |
| EliteFantasy | 5.03 | 11 | 5.68 | 13 | 2.52 | 25 | 4.39 | 21 | 3.97 | 16 | 4.32 |
| Rotoballer | 3.29 | 26 | 4.60 | 25 | 4.00 | 13 | 5.83 | 6 | 3.83 | 18 | 4.31 |
| Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down | 5.21 | 8 | 5.00 | 21 | 3.56 | 16 | 4.44 | 20 | 3.17 | 24 | 4.28 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 3.25 | 27 | 5.29 | 18 | 2.88 | 22 | 4.75 | 19 | 5.13 | 6 | 4.26 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 7.00 | 2 | 7.50 | 3 | 3.50 | 17 | 1.00 | 28 | 2.25 | 29 | 4.25 |
| DailyRoto – Optimizer | 4.71 | 13 | 4.14 | 27 | 3.88 | 14 | 5.38 | 10 | 2.86 | 26 | 4.19 |
| Awesemo – Cheat Sheet | 5.20 | 9 | 3.75 | 29 | 2.55 | 24 | 5.67 | 8 | 3.25 | 23 | 4.08 |
| FantasyPros | 3.38 | 25 | 4.08 | 28 | 2.39 | 27 | 5.41 | 9 | 3.63 | 20 | 3.78 |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 2.88 | 28 | 5.33 | 16 | 1.00 | 30 | 5.75 | 7 | 3.88 | 17 | 3.77 |
| NBC Sports Edge – Pivots | – | – | 4.17 | 26 | 3.40 | 18 | – | – | 3.43 | 21 | 3.67 |
| DK Playbook – Values | 2.50 | 29 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.75 | 31 | 2.13 |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 1.00 | 30 | 0.00 | 30 | 4.67 | 10 | 1.00 | 28 | 2.00 | 30 | 1.73 |
| Rotogrinders 6-pack | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1.50 | 32 | 1.50 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Monday
- Herbert Jones (DFS Alarm Lineup Generator)
- Lauri Markkanen (EliteFantasy)
- Jonas Valanciunas (RG Grind Down)
- Gary Harris (RunPureSports)
Tuesday
- Chris Paul (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- De’Anthony Melton (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Deandre Ayton (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Cameron Johnson (RunPureSports)
Wednesday
- Joel Embiid (DFS Army Full Court Press)
- LaMelo Ball (DFS Army Full Court Press)
- Armoni Brooks (EliteFantasy)
- Jayson Tatum (Rotowire)
- Grayson Allen (DFS Karma Game Theory)
- Jae’Sean Tate (NBC Sports Edge)
- Terence Davis (NBC Sports Edge)
- Davion Mitchell (Sportsline)
Thursday
- Immanuel Quickley (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Isaiah Stewart (DFS Alarm Lineup Generator)
- Alex Caruso (FantasyPros)
- Evan Fournier (FantasyPros)
- Doug McDermott (FantasyPros)
- Xavier Tillman (FantasyPros)
- Mitchell Robinson (FantasyPros)
- Jerami Grant (RG Consensus)
- DeMar DeRozan (Rotowire)
Friday
- LeBron James (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Serge Ibaka (FantasyPros)
- Patty Mills (Rotowire)
Value Tracker
- FantasyPros – 61
- DFS Alarm Playbook – 23
- RunPureSports – 16
- DFS Army Full Court Press – 11
- EliteFantasy – 8
- NBC Sports Edge Pivots – 6
- DFS Alarm Lineup Generator – 6
- Rotowire – 6
- DK Playbook Targets – 3
- NBC Sports Edge – 3
- RG Consensus – 2
- DFS Karma Game Theory – 2
- DailyFantasySportsRankings – 2
- Rotowire Optimizer – 2
- DK Playbook Values – 2
- NumberFire Daily Helper – 2
- Sportsline – 2
- Awesemo Cheat Sheet – 1
- DFS Army Domination Station – 1
- RG Lineup Builder – 1
- DailyRoto Optimizer – 1
- Rotoballer – 1
- FantasyLabs – 1
- RG Grind Down – 1
Overall Leaderboard
Our top-3 for the season is below. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 6.25)
#2) RG Core Plays (Score: 5.82)
#3) Awesemo Building Blocks (Score: 5.76)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.29) jumped up to a 6th place tie. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.70) moved up several spots to 22nd place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 62.9% |
| 24 | N/A | N/A | 85.2% | N/A |
| 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | 66.8% | N/A | 89.1% | 68.1% |
| 21 | 84.0% | N/A | 87.4% | N/A |
| 20 | 41.3% | N/A | N/A | 57.5% |
| 19 | N/A | 71.4% | 71.2% | 79.8% |
| 18 | 71.3% | 36.9% | 64.4% | 87.6% |
| 17 | N/A | N/A | 66.7% | 74.3% |
| 16 | 35.8% | 51.6% | 51.8% | 71.0% |
| 15 | 39.7% | 43.8% | 53.9% | 48.3% |
| 14 | 51.9% | 35.5% | 41.6% | 53.4% |
| 13 | 38.2% | 35.9% | 50.0% | 36.8% |
| 12 | 35.5% | 39.8% | 36.6% | 55.1% |
| 11 | 22.9% | N/A | 28.5% | 33.9% |
| 10 | 31.6% | 28.2% | 35.1% | 25.6% |
| 9 | 15.2% | 18.1% | 23.9% | 29.0% |
| 8 | 16.3% | 13.7% | 29.1% | 37.3% |
| 7 | 15.8% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 20.3% |
| 6 | 9.9% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 19.0% |
| 5 | 5.6% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 13.9% |
| 4 | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.0% |
| 3 | 3.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% |
| 2 | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 34.8% |
| 24 | N/A | N/A | 64.5% | N/A |
| 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | 41.0% | N/A | 68.0% | 50.1% |
| 21 | 54.4% | N/A | 67.5% | N/A |
| 20 | 18.4% | N/A | N/A | 37.9% |
| 19 | N/A | 48.2% | 49.9% | 50.9% |
| 18 | 34.5% | 31.3% | 39.3% | 54.2% |
| 17 | N/A | N/A | 43.1% | 51.4% |
| 16 | 26.1% | 32.0% | 34.5% | 44.2% |
| 15 | 25.1% | 29.8% | 25.3% | 37.9% |
| 14 | 32.1% | 29.5% | 35.6% | 32.5% |
| 13 | 23.4% | 26.9% | 33.7% | 25.6% |
| 12 | 25.0% | 28.2% | 25.8% | 33.7% |
| 11 | 20.3% | N/A | 21.4% | 27.4% |
| 10 | 21.7% | 21.0% | 22.0% | 19.3% |
| 9 | 16.1% | 14.3% | 20.4% | 22.1% |
| 8 | 15.3% | 14.3% | 24.5% | 26.7% |
| 7 | 13.1% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 15.6% |
| 6 | 10.4% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 11.5% |
| 5 | 8.1% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 11.9% |
| 4 | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% |
| 3 | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% |
| 2 | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% |
| 1 | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
