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Matt Butler
2019-11-12T17:58:31-06:00 2019-11-12T17:58:31-06:00 We're through three weeks of grading in the NBA now. This season we are grading over 30 experts and one has jumped out to an early lead. https://dailyoverlay.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/NBA-Grading-POST.jpg
NBA Expert Grading

NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of November 4th

NBA Expert Recap and Grades for Week of November 4th

Image result for luka doncic

We are now through three weeks of grading in The Association. With over 30 experts graded already this season, we are continuing to help you weed through the guys that are making the grades and they guys that are not. A full, five-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!

In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.

As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.

On to the grades!

Week in Review

Monday (November 4th)

Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 6.09 (20th of 29)
Total Cash Plays – 11
GPP DO Score – 7.10 (12th of 29)
Total GPP Plays – 10

A+ – Twelve of the 21 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Markieff Morris

Top Experts of the Day
#1A) Awesemo (Score: 10.00) scored two “A+” grades to start the week.

#1B) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 10.0) also picked up two “A+” grades.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyInsider (7.02 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Ricky Rubio (DailyRoto)
A+ – Eric Bledsoe (DailyRoto)
A+ – Jordan Poole (DailyRoto)
A+ – Jarrett Allen (DailyRoto)
A+ – Josh Hart (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Joe Harris (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Christian Wood (FantasyPros)

Tuesday (November 5th)

Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 4.50 (2nd of 28)
Total Cash Plays – 10
GPP DO Score – 3.14 (17th of 28)
Total GPP Plays – 14

A+ – LeBron James, Gordon Hayward, Trae Young, Gorga Bitadze
F – Nikola Jokic, Dwight Howard, Cody Zeller

Top Experts of the Day
#1) Awesemo (Score: 5.33) scored an “A+” and two “B’s” with their three plays.

#2) Daily Overlay Consensus – Cash Plays (Score: 4.50) finds the top-2 for the first time this season. Four of the 10 plays finished with an “A” or better grade.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyInsider (6.50 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Will Barton (DailyFantasyNerd)
A+ – Trey Lyles (DFS Army – Domination Station)

Wednesday (November 6th)

Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 5.73 (6th of 29)
Total Cash Plays – 11
GPP DO Score – 3.63 (21st of 29)
Total GPP Plays – 16

A+ – Nine of the 27 total plays scored an “A+” grade.
F – Moe Harkless, Ky Bowman, Troy Brown, De’Andre Hunter

Top Experts of the Day
#1) Awesemo (Score: 8.33) scored two “A+” grades and an “A” with their three plays.

#2) DailyFantasyNerd (Score: 6.88) pieced together a solid Optimizer lineup as five of their eight plays scored an “A+” grade.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Awesemo (7.53 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Alec Burks (DailyRoto)
A+ – Bogdan Bogdanovic (DailyRoto)
A+ – Brook Lopez (DailyRoto)
A+ – OG Anunoby (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Kris Dunn (FantasyPros)
A+ – PJ Tucker (RG Grind Down)

Thursday (November 7th)

Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 5.50 (4th of 21)
Total Cash Plays – 10
GPP DO Score – 4.25 (14th of 21)
Total GPP Plays – 8

A+ – Six of the 18 total plays scored an “A+” grade.
F – Terry Rozier

Top Experts of the Day
#1) DailyFantasyNerd (Score: 6.86) scored “A” or better with five of the eight plays including four “A+” grades to top the experts on Thursday.

#2) RG Core Plays (Score: 6.50) scored an “A+” and a “B” grade to find the top-2.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyNerd (6.12 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Goran Dragic (FantasyPros)
A+ – Danilo Gallinari (FantasyPros)
A+ – Ivica Zubac (Rotowire)

Friday (November 8th)

Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 5.45 (5th of 26)
Total Cash Plays – 11
GPP DO Score – 4.31 (17th of 26)
Total GPP Plays – 16

A+ – Nine of the 27 total plays scored an “A+” grade.
F – Dwight Powell, Jarrett Culver, Rodney Hood, Malcolm Brogdon, CJ McCollum

Top Experts of the Day
#1) DFS Karms (Score: 7.67) scored four “A+” grades and two “B’s” with their six plays to cap the week.

#2) Rotoworld (Score: 7.00) finished the week strong scoring three “A+” grades out of their five selections on Friday.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Rotoworld (6.10 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Nikola Jokic (DailyRoto)
A+ – Marcus Morris (EliteFantasy)
A+ – Jamal Murray (NumberFire – DK Daily Helper)
A+ – Royce O’Neale (Rotoballer)

Overall Leaderboard

The NumberFire Studs plays continue their strong start to the season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.

#1) NumberFire – Studs (Score: 6.35)

#2) Awesemo (Score: 5.96)

#3) DFS Karma (Score: 5.94)

The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.58) kept up the strong start and now sits in 5th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.01) is now in 28th place for the season after a bump in score over the 4.0 mark.

Ownership Percentage Tracking

A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.

Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.

Cash

Count $9k+ $7k – $9k $5k – $7k $3k – $5k
19 73.4% N/A N/A N/A
18 71.5% N/A N/A N/A
17 N/A N/A N/A 66.8%
16 65.5% N/A 67.7% N/A
15 45.3% 60.8% N/A N/A
14 41.4% N/A N/A 59.9%
13 56.7% 82.1% N/A 68.7%
12 20.4% 16.0% N/A 41.7%
11 20.0% 13.1% 46.1% 51.7%
10 18.7% 28.7% 17.1% 25.3%
9 20.3% 22.8% 22.3% 40.9%
8 16.5% 11.8% 18.9% 33.2%
7 4.8% 8.3% 23.8% 29.1%
6 4.1% 8.2% 12.5% 17.6%
5 3.0% 4.6% 8.8% 9.5%
4 1.9% 5.8% 8.5% 21.6%
3 3.6% 2.7% 4.1% 7.3%
2 1.4% 1.8% 3.9% 4.0%
1 N/A 1.0% 1.8% 1.8%

GPP

Count $9k+ $7k – $9k $5k – $7k $3k – $5k
19 51.5% N/A N/A N/A
18 44.4% N/A N/A N/A
17 N/A N/A N/A 41.8%
16 36.7% N/A 35.9% N/A
15 33.9% 40.3% N/A N/A
14 25.5% N/A N/A 28.3%
13 42.1% 62.6% N/A 40.0%
12 23.8% 23.2% N/A 20.7%
11 14.7% 20.2% 33.0% 20.8%
10 17.6% 25.0% 18.4% 17.2%
9 18.8% 18.3% 16.6% 20.3%
8 18.2% 15.0% 18.2% 21.1%
7 8.8% 10.3% 20.5% 18.4%
6 8.9% 9.7% 13.4% 13.9%
5 6.4% 6.8% 9.9% 8.1%
4 3.6% 6.3% 9.0% 14.2%
3 7.2% 5.9% 6.4% 7.1%
2 3.2% 3.6% 5.9% 4.5%
1 N/A 2.3% 3.2% 2.4%

We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.

 

Tags: DraftKings, FanDuel, NBA DFS
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