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Matt Butler
2022-11-01T15:55:42-05:00 2022-11-01T15:55:42-05:00 The first full week of NBA is in the books. The usual suspects are on the top of the list even this early on. https://dailyoverlay.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/NBA-Grading-POST.jpg
NBA Expert Grading

NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of October 24th

NBA DFS Picks & Grades

The NBA is back and in full swing. As usual, we are doing our Consensus artilce for everyday that has at least five games. See the full recap from last week below. Enjoy!

In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.

As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.

On to the grades!

Week in Review

Expert Mon Rk Tues Rk Wed Rk Thur Rk Fri Rk Avg
Stokastic – Building Blocks 6.50 3 4.67 17 6.50 4 6.00 1 7.50 1 6.23
DFSKarma – Building Blocks 6.00 5 5.00 10 – – – – 6.25 3 5.75
Rotogrinders Core Plays 10.00 1 4.00 23 6.00 5 5.00 2 3.00 20 5.60
DFSArmy – Domination Station 6.71 2 5.63 4 5.50 6 4.25 8 4.25 11 5.27
DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet 6.50 3 3.75 27 7.00 1 4.50 5 4.25 11 5.20
DailyFantasyNerd 5.63 6 5.63 4 5.29 7 4.38 7 4.75 6 5.14
DK Playbook – Targets 3.88 18 6.25 3 4.88 11 3.78 15 6.56 2 5.07
DailyFantasyInsider 1.67 29 10.00 1 7.00 1 2.00 27 3.67 13 4.87
Industry Consensus – Cash 3.91 17 4.90 13 4.82 13 4.42 6 5.42 5 4.69
FantasyLabs 4.20 13 5.56 8 4.90 10 4.10 9 4.67 8 4.69
DailyRoto – Optimizer 5.38 7 5.63 4 4.00 20 3.75 16 4.63 9 4.68
Sportsline 4.80 9 5.60 7 6.60 3 3.33 21 2.80 25 4.63
Rotoballer 3.13 23 6.71 2 4.56 16 3.57 18 4.71 7 4.54
RotoGrinders Consensus 4.80 9 4.50 19 4.32 17 3.85 13 3.10 19 4.11
DFSArmy – Full Court Press 2.40 28 – – 4.74 14 4.71 3 4.60 10 4.11
RotoGrinders Lineup Builder 5.13 8 4.75 16 4.57 15 3.50 19 2.13 28 4.02
Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down 4.00 15 3.78 26 4.21 18 4.08 10 3.58 15 3.93
Rotowire 4.09 14 3.30 28 3.50 24 2.64 25 5.64 4 3.83
Stokastic – Cheat Sheet 2.73 27 5.00 10 3.87 22 4.60 4 2.93 24 3.83
RunPureSports 3.24 21 5.27 9 4.85 12 3.27 22 2.40 26 3.81
FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator 3.22 22 4.78 14 5.22 8 3.44 20 2.22 27 3.78
FantasyAlarm – Playbook 3.43 20 3.86 25 3.95 21 4.04 12 3.38 16 3.73
DailyFantasySportsRankings 2.78 26 4.78 14 5.10 9 2.75 23 3.00 20 3.68
FantasyGuru 3.74 19 4.24 21 3.40 25 3.75 16 3.00 20 3.63
NumberFire – Daily Helper 3.04 24 3.96 24 4.06 19 3.79 14 3.19 18 3.61
Rotowire – Optimizer 4.00 15 5.00 10 2.88 27 2.75 23 3.38 16 3.60
FantasyPros 2.84 25 4.19 22 3.13 26 4.06 11 3.00 20 3.44
Industry Consensus – GPP 4.31 12 4.36 20 3.54 23 2.58 26 1.91 29 3.34
Rotogrinders 6-pack – – – – 2.83 28 – – 3.67 13 3.25
DK Playbook – Values 4.33 11 4.67 17 1.00 29 2.00 27 1.33 30 2.67

Sleepers of the Week

Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.

Monday

  • Jaylen Nowell (DFS Alarm Playbook)
  • Zach Collins (FantasyPros)
  • Kyrie Irving (NumberFire)

Tuesday

  • Dyson Daniels (DK Playbook Targets)
  • Will Barton (FantasyPros)
  • Deni Avdija (FantasyPros)
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (RunPureSports)

Wednesday

  • Tyrese Maxey (DFS Alarm Lineup Generator)
  • Jaylen Nowell (DFS Alarm Playbook)
  • Bojan Bogdanovic (DFS Alarm Playbook)
  • Malik Beasley (FantasyPros)
  • Paolo Banchero (NumberFire)
  • Jaden McDaniels (NumberFire)
  • Jalen McDaniels (NumberFire)
  • Caleb Martin (Stokastic Cheat Sheet)

Thursday

  • Kyrie Irving (DFS Alarm Playbook)

Friday

  • Mo Bamba (FantasyPros)
  • Rudy Gobert (NumberFire)
  • Mikal Bridges (Rotoballer)
  • Andre Drummond (Rotowire)

Value Tracker

  • FantasyPros – 5
  • NumberFire – 5
  • DFS Alarm Playbook – 4
  • DK Playbook Targets – 1
  • RunPureSports – 1
  • DFS Alarm Lineup Generator – 1
  • Stokastic Cheat Sheet – 1
  • Rotoballer – 1
  • Rotowire – 1

Overall Leaderboard

Our top-3 for the season is below. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.

#1) RG Core Plays (Score: 6.14)

#2) Stokastic Building Blocks (Score: 6.13)

#3) DFS Karma Building Blocks (Score: 5.72)

The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 4.97) is in 9th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 3.75) is in 28th place.

Ownership Percentage Tracking

A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.

Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.

Cash

Count $9k+ $7k – $9k $5k – $7k $3k – $5k
26 NA NA NA NA
25 NA NA NA NA
24 NA NA NA NA
23 NA NA NA NA
22 NA NA NA NA
21 80.9% NA NA NA
20 NA NA 86.3% NA
19 NA 41.3% 87.8% 52.0%
18 55.6% NA NA 73.2%
17 76.9% 45.5% 65.9% NA
16 NA NA 61.4% 82.2%
15 NA NA NA NA
14 NA 32.5% 65.7% NA
13 32.7% 41.5% 62.9% 37.6%
12 20.5% 63.7% 27.5% NA
11 15.0% 17.8% 51.4% 29.5%
10 NA 36.2% 46.2% 39.7%
9 5.1% 22.9% 20.9% 28.2%
8 15.1% 28.8% 32.5% NA
7 12.1% 11.1% 25.6% 7.0%
6 5.6% 14.3% 13.2% 21.6%
5 3.6% 16.0% 6.9% 12.3%
4 2.2% 4.2% 7.6% 5.5%
3 1.9% 3.7% 7.0% 7.8%
2 4.1% 1.8% 3.2% 7.6%
1 0.7% 2.4% 2.0% 1.8%

GPP

Count $9k+ $7k – $9k $5k – $7k $3k – $5k
26 NA NA NA NA
25 NA NA NA NA
24 NA NA NA NA
23 NA NA NA NA
22 NA NA NA NA
21 57.5% NA NA NA
20 NA NA 59.8% NA
19 NA 21.3% 51.5% 35.8%
18 37.2% NA NA 39.8%
17 37.6% 27.0% 28.4% NA
16 NA NA 32.8% 49.7%
15 NA NA NA NA
14 NA 24.9% 31.6% NA
13 31.1% 26.2% 42.4% 30.4%
12 22.2% 33.3% 21.2% NA
11 15.9% 14.0% 35.6% 18.1%
10 NA 22.5% 29.2% 28.8%
9 8.1% 19.4% 15.9% 16.5%
8 15.8% 21.2% 19.5% NA
7 10.4% 11.7% 15.6% 9.1%
6 10.3% 14.4% 14.0% 14.8%
5 8.7% 9.8% 7.9% 10.8%
4 6.2% 6.4% 10.5% 10.5%
3 5.2% 6.0% 10.0% 9.2%
2 4.4% 4.3% 5.5% 6.3%
1 2.2% 4.1% 4.2% 2.6%

We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.

 

Tags: DraftKings, FanDuel, nba, NBA DFS, nba dfs expert grades
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