NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of October 25th
NBA DFS Picks & Grades
The NBA season is off and running. The East looks like it’s going to be a ton of fun this year. As usual, we will grade each day that has at least four games. A full, five-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Mon | Rk | Tues | Rk | Wed | Rk | Thur | Rk | Fri | Rk | Avg |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 10.00 | 1 | 5.00 | 7 | 7.33 | 4 | 8.33 | 1 | 6.50 | 1 | 7.43 |
| DailyFantasyInsider | 6.00 | 3 | 5.50 | 6 | – | – | 6.67 | 2 | 5.00 | 7 | 5.79 |
| DFSKarma – Game Theory | 6.17 | 2 | 4.17 | 12 | 4.73 | 19 | 6.50 | 3 | 5.50 | 3 | 5.41 |
| Awesemo – Building Blocks | 4.67 | 13 | 5.67 | 5 | 4.83 | 17 | 6.17 | 4 | 4.83 | 9 | 5.23 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 3.88 | 21 | 4.38 | 11 | 7.38 | 3 | 5.50 | 8 | 4.50 | 13 | 5.13 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 5.25 | 7 | 3.50 | 22 | 7.00 | 5 | 6.00 | 6 | 3.75 | 23 | 5.10 |
| Awesemo – Cheat Sheet | 5.22 | 8 | 6.00 | 4 | 5.55 | 13 | 2.75 | 30 | 5.80 | 2 | 5.06 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 5.64 | 4 | 3.44 | 23 | 5.85 | 8 | 5.92 | 7 | 4.07 | 19 | 4.98 |
| RunPureSports | 5.12 | 9 | 6.42 | 2 | 4.39 | 22 | 4.83 | 15 | 3.00 | 27 | 4.75 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 3.63 | 26 | 3.13 | 25 | 7.63 | 1 | 4.13 | 24 | 5.13 | 6 | 4.73 |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | 5.50 | 6 | 4.13 | 13 | 4.91 | 16 | 4.83 | 15 | 4.27 | 16 | 4.73 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 5.11 | 10 | 3.89 | 16 | 5.20 | 14 | 4.75 | 18 | 4.60 | 12 | 4.71 |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 3.75 | 24 | 2.88 | 27 | 7.63 | 1 | 5.13 | 12 | 4.13 | 17 | 4.70 |
| Rotogrinders 6-pack | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.67 | 11 | 4.67 |
| FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator | 2.38 | 30 | 4.00 | 15 | 6.00 | 7 | 5.13 | 12 | 5.50 | 3 | 4.60 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 4.22 | 18 | 6.29 | 3 | 5.11 | 15 | 4.22 | 22 | 3.00 | 27 | 4.57 |
| DailyRoto – Optimizer | 4.00 | 19 | 3.88 | 17 | 5.63 | 11 | 5.25 | 11 | 4.00 | 21 | 4.55 |
| Rotoballer | – | – | 3.67 | 20 | 4.11 | 25 | 6.17 | 4 | 4.13 | 17 | 4.52 |
| Rotowire | 3.36 | 28 | 4.88 | 10 | 4.73 | 19 | 4.00 | 26 | 5.27 | 5 | 4.45 |
| Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down | 5.09 | 11 | 3.00 | 26 | 5.60 | 12 | 4.70 | 19 | 3.67 | 25 | 4.41 |
| Sportsline | 4.83 | 12 | 5.00 | 7 | 4.75 | 18 | 5.40 | 9 | 2.00 | 31 | 4.40 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 3.91 | 20 | 5.00 | 7 | 4.36 | 23 | 3.85 | 28 | 4.50 | 13 | 4.32 |
| DK Playbook – Values | 3.75 | 24 | 8.33 | 1 | 2.25 | 29 | 5.33 | 10 | 1.75 | 32 | 4.28 |
| FantasyLabs | 3.33 | 29 | 2.70 | 28 | 5.70 | 10 | 4.80 | 17 | 4.82 | 10 | 4.27 |
| FantasyAlarm – Playbook | 4.63 | 14 | 3.81 | 18 | 4.27 | 24 | 4.08 | 25 | 4.36 | 15 | 4.23 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | 5.60 | 5 | 3.30 | 24 | 4.00 | 26 | 4.38 | 21 | 3.70 | 24 | 4.20 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 4.60 | 15 | 2.44 | 29 | 6.40 | 6 | 4.20 | 23 | 3.20 | 26 | 4.17 |
| EliteFantasy | 3.79 | 23 | 4.13 | 13 | 3.81 | 27 | 4.88 | 14 | 3.91 | 22 | 4.10 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 3.63 | 26 | 3.75 | 19 | 5.75 | 9 | 3.50 | 29 | 2.13 | 30 | 3.75 |
| NBC Sports Edge | 4.50 | 16 | 2.13 | 30 | 2.25 | 29 | 4.63 | 20 | 5.00 | 7 | 3.70 |
| FantasyPros | 4.47 | 17 | 3.63 | 21 | 2.42 | 28 | 3.88 | 27 | 4.06 | 20 | 3.69 |
| NBC Sports Edge – Pivots | 3.80 | 22 | 2.00 | 31 | 4.63 | 21 | – | – | 2.86 | 29 | 3.32 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Monday
- Jaylen Brown (FantasyPros)
- Markieff Morris (FantasyPros)
- Patty Mills (Rotowire)
- Terance Mann (RunPureSports)
Tuesday
- Kemba Walker (FantasyPros)
- Devin Vassell (FantasyPros)
Wednesday
- Al Horford (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Cody Martin (FantasyPros)
- JaVale McGee (RunPureSports)
Thursday
- Shake Milton (FantasyPros)
- Killian Hayes (Rotowire)
Friday
- Jusuf Nurkic (DFS Army Full Court Press)
- Cole Anthony (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Gary Trent, Jr (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- LaMarcus Aldridge (FantasyPros)
Value Tracker
- FantasyPros – 7
- DFS Alarm Playbook – 3
- Rotowire – 2
- RunPureSports – 2
- DFS Army Full Court Press – 1
Overall Leaderboard
Our top-3 for the season is below. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) RG Core Plays (Score: 6.42)
#2) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 6.40)
#3) Awesemo Building Blocks (Score: 5.50)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.24) starts the season in 5th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.31) is tied for 22nd place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21 | 84.00% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20 | 41.30% | N/A | N/A | 49.3% |
| 19 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18 | 71.30% | N/A | 58.0% | N/A |
| 17 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16 | 41.5% | 44.1% | 37.50% | 62.90% |
| 15 | 35.2% | N/A | 53.9% | 68.10% |
| 14 | 79.50% | 34.10% | N/A | 67.1% |
| 13 | 43.30% | 22.50% | 55.6% | N/A |
| 12 | 22.7% | N/A | 30.50% | 46.20% |
| 11 | 14.70% | N/A | 43.30% | 39.6% |
| 10 | 39.50% | 16.25% | 60.3% | 42.5% |
| 9 | 6.60% | 24.1% | 23.8% | 35.5% |
| 8 | 22.5% | 13.4% | 20.00% | 41.0% |
| 7 | 14.3% | 11.1% | 19.6% | 28.1% |
| 6 | 14.7% | 22.4% | 14.0% | 17.6% |
| 5 | 4.0% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 22.2% |
| 4 | 3.29% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% |
| 3 | 2.75% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 8.5% |
| 2 | 6.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21 | 54.40% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20 | 18.40% | N/A | N/A | 38.5% |
| 19 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18 | 34.45% | N/A | 32.4% | N/A |
| 17 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16 | 33.7% | 21.2% | 24.60% | 38.50% |
| 15 | 23.5% | N/A | 25.3% | 53.50% |
| 14 | 46.20% | 23.70% | N/A | 38.2% |
| 13 | 31.00% | 26.50% | 36.3% | N/A |
| 12 | 17.2% | N/A | 25.90% | 37.50% |
| 11 | 12.05% | N/A | 22.30% | 28.8% |
| 10 | 24.30% | 15.55% | 31.1% | 27.9% |
| 9 | 12.20% | 17.0% | 20.1% | 25.0% |
| 8 | 17.2% | 12.8% | 29.10% | 29.5% |
| 7 | 14.7% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 18.0% |
| 6 | 13.0% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 10.7% |
| 5 | 7.2% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 18.6% |
| 4 | 6.15% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% |
| 3 | 5.93% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% |
| 2 | 6.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
