NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of October 30th
NBA DFS Picks & Grades
Once again this season, we’ll recap each week’s expert plays and hand out the grades. Welcome in to the first recap of the season! Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Mon | Rk | Wed | Rk | Fri | Rk | Avg |
| Sportsline | 6.57 | 1 | 2.50 | 19 | 8.00 | 1 | 5.69 |
| Rotoballer | 4.67 | 13 | 5.67 | 2 | 5.78 | 7 | 5.37 |
| FantasyLabs | 5.55 | 6 | 4.09 | 8 | 6.10 | 5 | 5.25 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 4.60 | 14 | 3.33 | 16 | 7.67 | 2 | 5.20 |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | 5.76 | 4 | – | – | 4.55 | 15 | 5.16 |
| RunPureSports | 4.75 | 12 | 4.20 | 6 | 6.35 | 4 | 5.10 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 6.08 | 3 | 3.50 | 15 | 5.50 | 10 | 5.03 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | 5.67 | 5 | 3.91 | 10 | 5.38 | 11 | 4.99 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 6.13 | 2 | 5.50 | 3 | 3.10 | 22 | 4.91 |
| FantasyGuru | 5.17 | 7 | 3.91 | 10 | 5.52 | 9 | 4.87 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 5.00 | 10 | 2.63 | 18 | 6.63 | 3 | 4.75 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | – | – | 5.00 | 4 | 4.50 | 16 | 4.75 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 4.42 | 18 | 3.70 | 13 | 5.90 | 6 | 4.67 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 4.50 | 17 | 4.00 | 9 | 5.00 | 13 | 4.50 |
| DK Playbook – Values | 4.33 | 19 | 8.33 | 1 | 0.67 | 23 | 4.44 |
| FantasyPros | 4.56 | 15 | 3.79 | 12 | 4.79 | 14 | 4.38 |
| Rotowire | 4.55 | 16 | 4.73 | 5 | 3.55 | 20 | 4.28 |
| Rotogrinders 6-pack | 5.00 | 10 | – | – | 3.50 | 21 | 4.25 |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 5.14 | 8 | 3.63 | 14 | 3.88 | 18 | 4.22 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 5.14 | 8 | 3.00 | 17 | 4.25 | 17 | 4.13 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 3.86 | 21 | 2.38 | 21 | 5.75 | 8 | 4.00 |
| Stokastic – Cheat Sheet | 4.07 | 20 | 4.14 | 7 | 3.77 | 19 | 3.99 |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 2.50 | 22 | 2.50 | 19 | 5.33 | 12 | 3.44 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Monday
- Brandon Miller (DFS Army Full Court Press)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (DFS Army Full Court Press)
- Steph Curry (DFS Army Full Court Press)
- Ausar Thompson (FantasyGuru)
- Markell Fultz (FantasyPros)
- Jaden Ivey (FantasyPros)
- Tyler Herro (RunPureSports)
- Lonnie Walker IV (RunPureSports)
- D’Angelo Russell (Stokastic Cheat Sheet)
Wednesday
- Jordan Hawkins (DK Playbook Values)
- TJ McConnell (DK Playbook Values)
- Collin Sexton (FantasyPros)
- Jordan Clarkson (FantasyPros)
- Dillon Brooks (FantasyPros)
- De’Andre Hunter (Rotowire)
- Derrick Jones Jr (RunPureSports)
- CJ McCollum (Stokastic Cheat Sheet)
Friday
- Brook Lopez (Fanduel Research)
- Dario Saric (RunPureSports)
Value Tracker
- FantasyPros – 5
- RunPureSports – 4
- DFS Army Full Court Press – 3
- Stokastic Cheat Sheet – 2
- DK Playbook Values – 2
- FantasyGuru – 1
- Rotowire – 1
- Fanduel Research – 1
Overall Leaderboard
Our top-3 for the season is below. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) FantasyLabs (Score: 5.88)
#2) Sportsline (Score: 5.70)
#3) Fanduel Research (Score: 5.41)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.11) is in 7th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 5.06) is tied for 8th place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 20 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 19 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 18 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 17 | NA | NA | 84.7% | 70.8% |
| 16 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 15 | NA | NA | 73.4% | NA |
| 14 | NA | NA | 65.1% | 63.0% |
| 13 | NA | 59.0% | 76.9% | NA |
| 12 | NA | 37.0% | 49.7% | 76.2% |
| 11 | NA | 55.0% | NA | NA |
| 10 | NA | 57.7% | 60.4% | 47.6% |
| 9 | 8.1% | 29.4% | 14.6% | NA |
| 8 | 52.9% | NA | 27.4% | 34.4% |
| 7 | 8.6% | 18.9% | 38.8% | 26.1% |
| 6 | 11.2% | 15.0% | 21.6% | 15.4% |
| 5 | 36.3% | 8.5% | 13.5% | NA |
| 4 | 2.2% | 4.1% | 13.2% | 5.5% |
| 3 | 4.0% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 2.3% |
| 2 | 1.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 8.8% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 20 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 19 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 18 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 17 | NA | NA | 62.4% | 44.4% |
| 16 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 15 | NA | NA | 35.0% | NA |
| 14 | NA | NA | 33.3% | 31.8% |
| 13 | NA | 30.8% | 41.2% | #DIV/0! |
| 12 | NA | 19.0% | 35.2% | 44.4% |
| 11 | NA | 24.1% | NA | NA |
| 10 | NA | 27.9% | 32.5% | 20.8% |
| 9 | 17.8% | 21.2% | 14.0% | NA |
| 8 | 20.2% | NA | 21.6% | 25.6% |
| 7 | 12.9% | 11.3% | 27.7% | 21.9% |
| 6 | 13.5% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 12.7% |
| 5 | 21.8% | 7.0% | 14.0% | NA |
| 4 | 4.9% | 6.0% | 13.7% | 12.5% |
| 3 | 4.8% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 5.2% |
| 2 | 3.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
