NBA – Industry Expert Consensus – Week of February 3rd
NBA Expert Recap and Grades for Week of February 3rd
Another full week in the NBA here at DailyOverlay. There are a couple of experts that could pop into our top-3 within the next week or two. That said, the top-3 remains the same at the moment. Don’t forget that our Premium Content gets you all our PGA and NBA content along with our MLB content which will be kicking off shortly. A full, five slate week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
Monday (February 3rd)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 4.22 (19th of 29)
Total Cash Plays – 9
GPP DO Score – 5.83 (4th of 29)
Total GPP Plays – 12
A+ – Eight of the 21 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Spencer Dinwiddie, Devin Booker
Top Experts of the Day
#1A) Awesemo (Score: 6.50) scored an “A+” and a “B” grade to start the week.
#1B) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 6.50) also scored an “A+” and “B” on Monday.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Awesemo & DailyFantasyInsider (7.99 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Mikal Bridges (Rotowire)
A+ – Cody Martin (Rotowire Optimizer)
Tuesday (February 4th)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 7.00 (8th of 29)
Total Cash Plays – 10
GPP DO Score – 3.82 (29th of 29)
Total GPP Plays – 11
A+ – Nine of the 21 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – LaMarcus Aldridge, Derrick Favors, Cody Zeller, Hassan Whiteside
Top Experts of the Day
#1A) DFS Karma (Score: 10.00) scored FIVE “A+” grades on Tuesday.
#1B) Awesemo (Score: 10.00) made two plays and both scored “A+” grades
#1C) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 10.00) scored “A+” with their only play of the day.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyInsider (6.60 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Bryn Forbes (DFS Army – Domination Station)
A+ – Malik Beasley (DK Playbook)
A+ – Wesley Matthews (FantasyPros)
Wednesday (February 5th)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 5.91 (T-8th of 31)
Total Cash Plays – 11
GPP DO Score – 5.15 (16th of 31)
Total GPP Plays – 13
A+ – Ten of the 24 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Spencer Dinwiddie
Top Experts of the Day
#1) NumberFire – Studs (Score: 10.00) scored three “A+” grades with their picks.
#2) RotoGrinders 6-Pack (Score: 8.00) scored “B” or better with all six plays including four “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
NumberFire – Studs (6.90 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – None
Thursday (February 6th)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 7.78 (3rd of 29)
Total Cash Plays – 9
GPP DO Score – 3.29 (28th of 29)
Total GPP Plays – 14
A+ – Seven of the 23 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Luke Kornet
Top Experts of the Day
#1A) Awesemo (Score: 10.00) topped the list once again with two “A+” grades.
#1B) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 10.00) also tied atop the list again with one “A+” grade.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyInsider (6.98 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – JJ Redick (DFS Army – Domination Station)
A+ – Ryan Arcidiacono (FantasyLabs)
A+ – Gary Trent, Jr. (FullTimeFantasy)
Friday (February 7th)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 4.92 (8th of 30)
Total Cash Plays – 12
GPP DO Score – 2.25 (29th of 30)
Total GPP Plays – 16
A+ – Five of the 28 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Eric Gordon, Ricky Rubio, Robert Covington, Pascal Siakam
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Awesemo (Score: 7.50) continued their fantastic week by closing it out atop the list with an “A+” and “A” grades.
#2) RG Core Plays (Score: 6.00) made three plays and scored “A+,” “A” and a “B” grade.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DFS Army – Domination Station (6.64 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – None
Overall Leaderboard
Things continue to tighten up in the top-3. There are also a couple experts within striking distance of the top-3. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) NumberFire – Studs (Score: 5.94)
#2) DFS Karma (Score: 5.85)
#3) Daily Overlay Industry Consensus – Cash Plays (Score: 5.49)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.49) continue to sit in the top-3. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.24) stayed in 31st place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 27 | 87.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 | N/A | 83.2% | N/A | N/A |
| 24 | 82.3% | 79.1% | N/A | N/A |
| 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | 72.2% | 76.1% | N/A | N/A |
| 21 | 73.3% | 74.6% | N/A | N/A |
| 20 | 74.7% | 67.9% | 20.6% | 71.7% |
| 19 | 65.9% | 64.6% | 83.6% | 79.1% |
| 18 | 64.0% | 67.5% | 69.9% | 65.2% |
| 17 | 40.0% | 50.8% | 72.2% | 70.9% |
| 16 | 48.0% | 41.2% | 60.5% | #DIV/0! |
| 15 | 41.4% | 44.7% | 61.6% | 52.6% |
| 14 | 29.2% | 48.8% | 53.4% | 60.2% |
| 13 | 34.1% | 32.1% | 59.1% | 60.8% |
| 12 | 20.7% | 34.7% | 41.8% | 53.6% |
| 11 | 16.0% | 28.3% | 35.0% | 49.7% |
| 10 | 13.7% | 20.8% | 36.3% | 41.7% |
| 9 | 9.5% | 15.1% | 26.6% | 42.7% |
| 8 | 9.8% | 10.8% | 18.0% | 26.9% |
| 7 | 7.3% | 10.7% | 19.2% | 32.0% |
| 6 | 5.5% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 25.0% |
| 5 | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 15.9% |
| 4 | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 14.8% |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 8.2% |
| 2 | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% |
| 1 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 27 | 63.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 | N/A | 57.3% | N/A | N/A |
| 24 | 55.5% | 54.9% | N/A | N/A |
| 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | 38.8% | 43.3% | N/A | N/A |
| 21 | 51.8% | 51.3% | N/A | N/A |
| 20 | 46.3% | 46.3% | 28.4% | 48.4% |
| 19 | 46.5% | 45.0% | 55.6% | 56.7% |
| 18 | 40.8% | 45.8% | 41.1% | 43.1% |
| 17 | 32.5% | 34.5% | 45.5% | 45.7% |
| 16 | 30.9% | 30.2% | 35.7% | #DIV/0! |
| 15 | 29.9% | 29.6% | 38.6% | 29.5% |
| 14 | 24.9% | 33.8% | 34.3% | 37.9% |
| 13 | 28.3% | 25.5% | 37.3% | 39.1% |
| 12 | 19.6% | 26.1% | 28.7% | 33.8% |
| 11 | 16.1% | 21.1% | 26.9% | 32.1% |
| 10 | 13.9% | 20.3% | 27.2% | 26.5% |
| 9 | 11.6% | 15.7% | 20.8% | 27.7% |
| 8 | 12.6% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 19.1% |
| 7 | 10.8% | 11.9% | 17.7% | 21.2% |
| 6 | 7.7% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 18.7% |
| 5 | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.1% |
| 4 | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.4% |
| 3 | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% |
| 2 | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% |
| 1 | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
