NFL DFS Showdown – Week 11 (Thursday) – ARI v SEA
It should be an entertaining matchup on Thursday night in the NFL this week with a rematch between the Cardinals and Seahawks. The last time these teams met in Week 7, also in an island game on a Sunday night, the Cardinals prevailed 37-34 in OT. It could be another shootout this time around as well if Vegas is right.
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Note: DVOA referenced in this article stands for Defense-adjusted Value Over Average which is a metric from FootballOutsiders.com.
Arizona Cardinals @ Seattle Seahawks
- Russell Wilson – In comparison to Kyler Murray, Wilson seems underpriced. Wilson put up 388 passing yards and 3 TDs in the earlier meeting and faces a Cardinals defense that has allowed multiple TD passes in three straight games. Wilson has also started to develop some home/road splits over the last two seasons, averaging 27.2 DK points at home, compared to “just” 21.9 DK points on the road.
- Kyler Murray – While Murray is expensive, he still seems like a “must” to get into all lineups with his high floor and ceiling upside. He threw for 360 passing yards and three scores through the air, while adding another 67 on the ground with another score in their Week 7 meeting. The Seahawks pass defense has been shredded for 350 passing yards (32nd) and 2.0 TDs (20th) per game over the last five weeks.
- Christian Kirk – Getting at least one Cardinals pass-catcher seems essential in this game and while I’d love to jam in DeAndre Hopkins, the price tag of Wilson and Murray along with the limited dirt-cheap options in this game have me looking to Kirk instead for Cash games. Before last week’s dud, Kirk had reeled off scores in three straight games, including two the last time he faced the Seahawks.
- Seahawks & Cardinals RB – Both teams seem to have a pair of options to consider in this matchup and getting exposure to one from each team seems like the optimal play. My preference is a Carlos Hyde/Chase Edmonds combo. Hyde will likely be the primary back for the Hawks with Chris Carson expected to miss another game. Meanwhile, Edmonds might be on the wrong end of the carries split in Arizona, but his passing game involvement should make up for it as the Seahawks struggle to contain pass-catching backs allowing 6.4 receptions (28th) for 47.8 yards (26th) per game this season and Edmonds had seven grabs for 87 yards in their previous meeting.
In my single-entry GPP lineups, I want to jam in the Wilson to DK Metcalf connection and the Murray to DeAndre Hopkins hookup. To accomplish this both combos must be in the Flex spots while filling in with a cheap option at Captain and 5th flex spot. My favorite options for those two spots are upside receivers who can pay off with just one big play each, Andy Isabella and Freddie Swain, in either order.
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