NFL DFS Showdown – Week 5 (Thursday) – TB v CHI
On Thursday night the NFL is in Chicago for a matchup between the Bears and Buccaneers. There is some injury news to keep an eye on in the Bucs receiving corp, which could impact roster building for Cash and GPPs. Read on to see who is in my Cash game core and single-entry GPP thoughts.
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Note: DVOA referenced in this article stands for Defense-adjusted Value Over Average which is a metric from FootballOutsiders.com.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago Bears
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||45||51||51||47||49||63||53||72||-3.5|
- Allen Robinson – For my Captain in Cash games, I want a guy who should be locked into looks with a good chance to score and a favorable matchup. The player that comes closest to those criteria in this game is Robinson, who has received at least nine targets in all four games and has topped 100 yards with a score in two straight. The Bucs are much easier to pass on then run on.
- David Montgomery – I know I just got done saying that the Bucs aren’t easy to run on, but with Tarik Cohen out last week Montgomery not only handled almost all the carries, he also saw six targets. The Bucs have allowed 7.8 receptions (28th) for 64 yards (29th) to pass-catching backs this season. By getting Robinson and Montgomery into your lineup you should get almost 50% (46.6% last week) of the “looks” (target + carries) for the Bears offense.
- Ronald Jones – With Leonard Fournette expected to miss another game, Jones should continue to see the bulk of the work in the Bucs backfield like last week when he piled up 128 total yards. The Bears run defense has been in the middle of the pack this year ranking 16th DVOA and allowing 102 rushing yards (21st) on 4.25 YPC (16th) to opposing RBs. Jones is the only other guy I would give consideration to for the Captain spot in Cash games.
- Ryan Succop – A kicker is not commonly part of my Cash game core, but Succop should be in a good spot on Thursday against a bend but don’t break Bears defense that has allowed 3.5 field goals (31st) per game. Meanwhile, the Bucs could be without two of their top red-zone threats with O.J. Howard out and Mike Evans questionable.
In my single-entry GPP lineup, I’m going to try to play off the OJ Howard injury and give Cameron Brate a shot in the Captain slot with the hopes that he takes over as the primary pass-catcher from the TE position instead of the surely more popular Rob Gronkowski. After that, I’ll load up on both passing games, including Nick Foles and Allen Robinson on the Bears side and Tom Brady plus at least one more pass-catcher for the Bucs. Round it out with either the kicker or defense for the Bucs.
Bucs/Bears Under 44.5
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