NHL Sportsbook Consensus Grading Recap — Monday, November 9, 2026

Dimers Model went 2-0 for +1.73u on Monday night, cashing Flyers ML (-122) in Vancouver and Under 6.5 in San Jose; it now sits at 35-45 with us this season. Ultimate Capper – Jay Cooper went 2-1 for +1.06u, hitting Under 6.5 in Edmonton and the Sharks at +115 in a shootout (46-51 season). Covers – Jason Wilson landed the best-priced winner of the night, Oilers -1.5 at +164, and ScoresAndStats – Tyler Williams (1-0, +0.82u) and Covers – Dustin Saracini (2-1, +0.36u; now 11-8 with us) also finished in the black.

The consensus card went 2-4 for -2.61u. STRONG 2-1 (+0.39u), LEAN 0-3 (-3.00u). Both moneyline STRONG plays won; all three Overs lost and the LEAN on the Islanders lost in a shootout. Every play is graded at the line we posted.

What actually happened

Rangers at Oilers (Oilers 3-1). Connor McDavid opened the scoring at 6:42 of the first after a Dylan Garand pass from behind the Rangers net bounced in off the cage, and Leon Draisaitl made it 2-0 early in the second; a Rangers goaltender-interference challenge failed. Jaroslav Chmelar answered shorthanded, but Devon Levi stopped 29 shots and Draisaitl sealed it with a shorthanded empty-netter at 18:47. The STRONG Oilers ML cashed. The STRONG Over 6.5 lost on the merits: four goals with a stingy night from Levi, no power-play goals by either side.

Flyers at Canucks (Flyers 3-1). Michael Bunting scored 2:03 in and Travis Konecny added a power-play goal early in the second. Joseph Woll made 18 saves (12 in the third) and Vancouver’s Leevi Merilainen made 14; a Tyson Foerster goal was wiped out on a successful offside challenge. Jonathan Lekkerimaki’s late power-play goal made it 2-1 before Travis Sanheim’s shorthanded empty-netter at 19:01. The STRONG Flyers ML (7 of 10 experts) won; the LEAN Over 6.5 lost with only four goals in a game the low-event goaltending decided.

Islanders at Sharks (Sharks 3-2, shootout). A goaltending duel: Ilya Sorokin made 37 saves and Yaroslav Askarov 30. Ben Hutton and Victor Eklund (power play) scored for New York, Ivar Stenberg and Tyler Toffoli for San Jose, and a scoreless overtime sent it to a shootout that Stenberg won in the eighth round. Graded as books settle it, 3-2 Sharks: the LEAN Islanders ML lost and the LEAN Over 6.5 lost at five goals. Nothing voided the premise — the Islanders were simply beaten in the skills competition.

The card, by tier

Tier	Record	Hit rate	Units
STRONG	2-1-0	67%	+0.39u
LEAN	0-3-0	0%	-3.00u
Card (STRONG + LEAN)	2-4-0	33%	-2.61u

Every play is graded at the line we posted.

Every play

Result	Tier	Play	Line	Final	Grading
✅ WIN	STRONG	Rangers @ Oilers — Oilers ML	-155 DraftKings	Oilers 3-1 Rangers	Oilers 3, Rangers 1 → Oilers win ✅ · +0.65u
❌ LOSS	STRONG	Rangers @ Oilers — Over 6.5	-112 DraftKings	Oilers 3-1 Rangers	3 + 1 = 4; Over 6.5 misses ❌ · -1.00u
✅ WIN	STRONG	Flyers @ Canucks — Flyers ML	-135 DraftKings	Flyers 3-1 Canucks	Flyers 3, Canucks 1 → Flyers win ✅ · +0.74u
❌ LOSS	LEAN	Flyers @ Canucks — Over 6.5	+110 DraftKings	Flyers 3-1 Canucks	3 + 1 = 4; Over 6.5 misses ❌ · -1.00u
❌ LOSS	LEAN	Islanders @ Sharks — Islanders ML	-135 DraftKings	Sharks 3-2 Islanders (SO)	2-2 after OT, Sharks win shootout → graded 3-2 Sharks; Islanders lose ❌ · -1.00u
❌ LOSS	LEAN	Islanders @ Sharks — Over 6.5	-102 DraftKings	Sharks 3-2 Islanders (SO)	2-2, Sharks win shootout → graded 3-2; 3 + 2 = 5, Over 6.5 misses ❌ · -1.00u

Best call: Covers – Jason Wilson on Oilers -1.5 at +164: Edmonton led only 2-1 into the final two minutes before Leon Draisaitl’s shorthanded empty-netter at 18:47 turned it into a cover, worth +1.64u.

Worst beat: The LEAN Islanders ML (-135): Ilya Sorokin made 37 saves to get it to a 2-2 tie after overtime, and New York lost only when Ivar Stenberg scored in the eighth round of the shootout.

Expert scoreboard — Monday, Nov 9

We graded 31 picks from 20 experts and models. The field went 15-16 (48.4%) against the consensus card’s 2-4 (33%).

Top of the day	Pick	Record	Units
Dimers Model	Flyers ML -122; Under 6.5 (Isles-Sharks)	2-0-0	+1.73u
Ultimate Capper – Jay Cooper	Under 6.5 -110; Sharks ML +115	2-1-0	+1.06u
ScoresAndStats – Tyler Williams	Flyers ML -122	1-0-0	+0.82u
Sports Chat Place – Randy Chambers	Flyers ML -135	1-0-0	+0.74u
Covers – Neil Parker	Oilers ML -144	1-0-0	+0.69u

Also on the right side: Pick Dawgz – David Racey (Oilers ML, +0.65u), Covers – Jason Wilson (Oilers -1.5 +164; 1-1, +0.64u) and Covers – Dustin Saracini (2-1, +0.36u). Bottom of the day: Sports Chat Place – Nikos Lagouretos went 0-2 (-2.00u) on two Overs, and VSiN – Jonathan Davis (Rangers ML), WagerTalk – Ben Burns and Pick Dawgz – Nikos Lagouretos (both Canucks ML), plus Capper’s Picks – PDX PIX, James Hayes and George Middleton, each went 0-1.

Season leaders (NHL, graded with us)	Record	Units	Consensus weight
CBS Sports	79-45-2	+15.00u	1.28
iHeart Model	105-69-2	+13.30u	1.22
RotoWire – Daniel Dobish	10-2	+6.33u	1.00 (12 of 15 decided)
Doc's Sports – Josh Schonwald	17-11	+5.76u	1.09
Sportsgambler – Robert Carter	16-9	+5.23u	1.12
Doc's Sports – Parlays Pundit	11-7	+4.16u	1.07
Pick Dawgz – Nikos Lagouretos	16-10	+3.98u	1.09

How this changes the card

After Monday’s grading, Dimers Model’s weight in the consensus rises from 0.79 to 0.82 (35-45), Covers – Dustin Saracini from 1.03 to 1.04 (11-8) and ScoresAndStats – Tyler Williams from 0.85 to 0.87 (26-32). Sports Chat Place – Nikos Lagouretos drops from 0.90 to 0.86 (11-17-1) and Pick Dawgz – Nikos Lagouretos from 1.12 to 1.09 (16-10). Closest to the 15 decided picks needed to be rated: Winners and Whiners – David Anicetti (7-7, one away), WagerTalk – Ben Burns (9-4) and Pickswise – Nate Duffett (8-5).

Season to date

Tier	All	Puck line	Moneyline	Total	Units
STRONG	48-35	10-3	26-18	12-14	+2.56u
LEAN	18-27	3-3	8-11	7-13	-10.91u
FADE-WATCH (not staked)	0-3	0-1	0-2	—	—
Card (STRONG + LEAN)	66-62				-8.35u

Every card, every sport: the full consensus record.

Islanders-Sharks was tied 2-2 after overtime; the shootout counts as one goal for San Jose, so it is graded 3-2 for every market. Two expert rows had no sportsbook price (FOX Sports Radio New Jersey – Michael Garaventa, Dimers Model on Isles-Sharks Under) and are graded at -110.

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