NHL Sportsbook Consensus Grading Recap — Tuesday, November 10, 2026

David Anicetti of Winners and Whiners swept Tuesday’s NHL slate, going 4-0 for +3.35u with the Avalanche moneyline, the Over in Colorado-Toronto, the Panthers moneyline and the Under in Florida-Columbus. That takes him to 11-7 (+1.98u) with us this season. Braden Morrison of Last Word on Sports went 3-0 (+3.14u), cashing the Avalanche -1.5 at +158 on top of the Colorado moneyline and Over, and is now 5-3 (+1.88u). Pickswise’s Mark Lammey went 3-0 (+2.69u) and is 15-6 (+6.21u) on the season, one of the best hit rates in our NHL ledger.

Doc’s Sports’ Josh Schonwald went 2-0 (+2.21u), including the Jets at +130, to reach 19-11 (+7.97u). The iHeart Model went 11-8 (+2.21u) across all seven games. We logged 139 picks from 40 experts, and the field finished 81-57-1.

The consensus card went 6-3 for +2.44u. STRONG went 5-2 (+2.39u) and LEAN went 1-1 (+0.05u). The FADE-WATCH note on the Jets went the Jets’ way and carries no units. Every play is graded at the line we posted.

What actually happened

Colorado beat Toronto 6-3, and all three STRONG reads on that game landed. It was 3-3 until Gabriel Landeskog scored his second of the night 5:02 into the third. Artturi Lehkonen added another, and Martin Necas finished it with an empty-netter after Sergei Bobrovsky was pulled. That made nine goals, well clear of the 6.5 Over.

In Montreal, Jesper Wallstedt made 27 saves and Minnesota won 2-1 in overtime. That covered both the Wild moneyline and the Under 6.5. Nick Suzuki tied it with 1:38 left. Kirill Kaprizov then won it on a 4-on-3 power play 21 seconds into overtime, after Cole Caufield was called for slashing late in regulation. Nashville won 3-0 in Los Angeles, which covered both the Predators moneyline and the Under. Filip Forsberg scored twice at even strength and Juuse Saros made 30 saves for the shutout. Adam Wilsby added an empty-netter.

The STRONG Senators moneyline lost 3-2 in overtime. Ottawa outshot Washington 17-2 in the second period and led 2-1. Pierre-Luc Dubois tied it at 12:31 of the third, and Cole Hutson won it 1:14 into overtime. The card expected Linus Ullmark in Ottawa’s net, but Samuel Ersson started, so part of the premise was gone before puck drop. The STRONG Over 6.5 in Devils-Jets lost because only six goals were scored, 4-2 for Winnipeg with Kyle Connor’s empty-netter as the sixth. Jake Allen started as expected. Nico Daws held New Jersey to two goals in his first win with the Jets.

The LEAN Blue Jackets moneyline lost 4-1. Columbus outshot Florida 38-28, but Jacob Markstrom made 37 saves and Sam Bennett scored twice. The consensus was beaten on the merits by a hot goalie. The LEAN Under 5.5 in St. Louis cashed. The Blues won 3-2 behind 30 saves from Joel Hofer, and Moritz Seider’s late goal with Detroit’s net empty brought the total to five.

The card, by tier

Tier Record Hit rate Units
STRONG 5-2-0 71% +2.39u
LEAN 1-1-0 50% +0.05u
Card (STRONG + LEAN) 6-3-0 67% +2.44u
FADE-WATCH (tracked, not staked) 1-0-0 100% +0.00u

Every play is graded at the line we posted.

Every play

Result Tier Play Line Final Grading
✅ WIN STRONG Avalanche @ Maple Leafs — Over 6.5 Over 6.5 (-118) DraftKings Avalanche 6-3 Maple Leafs Avalanche 6-3 Maple Leafs; 6 + 3 = 9; Over 6.5 cashes · +0.85u
✅ WIN STRONG Wild @ Canadiens — Wild ML Wild ML -125 DraftKings Wild 2-1 Canadiens (OT) Wild 2-1 Canadiens (OT); Wild win · +0.80u
✅ WIN STRONG Wild @ Canadiens — Under 6.5 Under 6.5 (-125) DraftKings Wild 2-1 Canadiens (OT) Wild 2-1 Canadiens (OT); 2 + 1 = 3; Under 6.5 cashes · +0.80u
❌ LOSS STRONG Capitals @ Senators — Senators ML Senators ML -108 DraftKings Capitals 3-2 Senators (OT) Capitals 3-2 Senators (OT); Senators lose · -1.00u
❌ LOSS STRONG Devils @ Jets — Over 6.5 Over 6.5 (-105) DraftKings Devils 2-4 Jets Devils 2-4 Jets; 2 + 4 = 6; Over 6.5 misses · -1.00u
✅ WIN STRONG Predators @ Kings — Predators ML Predators ML +114 DraftKings Predators 3-0 Kings Predators 3-0 Kings; Predators win · +1.14u
✅ WIN STRONG Predators @ Kings — Under 6.5 Under 6.5 (-125) DraftKings Predators 3-0 Kings Predators 3-0 Kings; 3 + 0 = 3; Under 6.5 cashes · +0.80u
❌ LOSS LEAN Panthers @ Blue Jackets — Blue Jackets ML Blue Jackets ML +100 DraftKings Panthers 4-1 Blue Jackets Panthers 4-1 Blue Jackets; Blue Jackets lose · -1.00u
✅ WIN LEAN Red Wings @ Blues — Under 5.5 Under 5.5 (+105) DraftKings Red Wings 2-3 Blues Red Wings 2-3 Blues; 2 + 3 = 5; Under 5.5 cashes · +1.05u
✅ WIN FADE-WATCH Devils @ Jets — Jets ML Jets ML +124 DraftKings Devils 2-4 Jets Devils 2-4 Jets; Jets win · +0.00u

Best call: Predators ML +114 (STRONG). Nashville won 3-0 in Los Angeles behind two even-strength goals from Filip Forsberg and a 30-save shutout from Juuse Saros. Eight of 10 experts were on Nashville even though DraftKings money was 93% the other way, and the plus-money price paid +1.14u. The Under 6.5 in the same game cashed too.

Worst beat: Senators ML -108 (STRONG). Ottawa outshot Washington 17-2 in the second period and led 2-1 in the third, then lost 3-2 when Cole Hutson scored 1:14 into overtime. Samuel Ersson started in place of the expected Linus Ullmark.

Expert scoreboard — Tuesday, Nov 10

We graded 139 picks from 40 experts and models. The field went 81-57 (58.7%) against the consensus card’s 6-3 (67%).

Top of the day Pick Record Units
Winners and Whiners – David Anicetti Avalanche ML -153; Over 6.5 COL-TOR; Panthers ML -113; Under 5.5 FLA-CBJ 4-0-0 +3.35u
Last Word on Sports – Braden Morrison Avalanche -1.5 +158; Avalanche ML -154; Over 6.5 COL-TOR 3-0-0 +3.14u
Pickswise – Mark Lammey Over 6.5 COL-TOR -110; Under 6.5 MIN-MTL -115; Panthers ML -110 3-0-0 +2.69u
Doc's Sports – Josh Schonwald Wild ML -110; Jets ML +130 2-0-0 +2.21u
iHeart Model 14 sides and totals across 7 games 11-8-0 +2.21u

Others with clean days included Sports Chat Place’s Nikos Lagouretos (2-0, +2.05u), Pickswise’s Tyler Mortimer and Pick Dawgz’s David Racey (each 2-0, +1.92u), Action Network’s Nick Martin (2-0, +1.86u), Doc’s Sports’ Tony Sink (2-0, +1.85u), Winners and Whiners’ Cameron Ross (2-0, +1.71u) and Sportsgambler’s Robert Carter (2-0, +1.67u). At the bottom were Ultimate Capper’s Jay Cooper (1-6, -4.68u) and Sports Chat Place’s Randy Chambers (0-4, -4.00u). Doc’s Sports’ Guy Bruhn and Pick Dawgz’s Nikos Lagouretos each went 0-2.

Season leaders (NHL, graded with us) Record Units Consensus weight
CBS Sports 87-51-2 +15.95u 1.28
iHeart Model 116-77-2 +15.51u 1.22
Doc's Sports – Josh Schonwald 19-11 +7.97u 1.12
Sportsgambler – Robert Carter 18-9 +6.90u 1.15
RotoWire – Daniel Dobish 10-2 +6.33u 1.00 (12 of 15 decided)
Pickswise – Mark Lammey 15-6 +6.21u 1.17
Doc's Sports – Parlays Pundit 12-8 +4.07u 1.06

How this changes the card

32 NHL experts now have the 15 decided picks needed to move the consensus. CBS Sports (87-51-2, weight 1.28), the iHeart Model (116-77-2, 1.22) and Pickswise’s Mark Lammey (15-6, 1.17) carry the most weight, and Lammey’s 3-0 night strengthens his position. Pickswise’s Nate Duffett reached exactly 15 decided picks at 9-6 and is now rated at 1.05. Ultimate Capper’s Jay Cooper (47-57, 0.83) and Sports Chat Place’s Randy Chambers (15-23, 0.83) sit at the low end and count for less in future consensus reads.

Season to date

Tier All Puck line Moneyline Total Units
STRONG 53-37 10-3 28-19 15-15 +4.95u
LEAN 19-28 3-3 8-12 8-13 -10.86u
FADE-WATCH (not staked) 1-3 0-1 1-2 — —
Card (STRONG + LEAN) 72-65 -5.91u

Every card, every sport: the full consensus record.

Overtime counts for every market, and neither OT game on the slate went to a shootout. Expert rows logged without odds are graded at -110. Two experts took whole-number alternate totals: Action Network’s Wags Wins had Over 6 in Devils-Jets, which pushed on 6 goals, and CBS Sports had Over 6 in Wild-Canadiens, which lost on 3.

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