Four days of Consensus last week for your pre-holiday enjoyment. We did have some semi-major shuffling among our top-5 for the season. FantasyTeamAdvice still has the lead but things went sideways after that. Brad, our very own contributor here at DO, has now hopped into the 2nd place spot after a nice week. We also have a newcomer to the top-5 as FantasyGuruElite has slid into a 5th place tie. Daily Recaps along with ownership percentage charts are also below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
Monday (December 18th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 5.38 (6th of 20)
Total Plays – 29
A+ – Thirteen of the 29 plays finished with an “A+” grade.
F – Donovan Mitchell, Carmelo Anthony
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (Score: 7.00) killed it to start the week. Brad scored an “A+” on seven of his 11 selections for the day.
#2A) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 6.40) scored an “A+” with three of their five plays to find the top-2 on Monday.
#2B) DK Playbook (Score: 6.40) scored “A” or better with six of their ten plays including five “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (6.22 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Justin Holiday (DailyRoto)
A+ – Clint Capela (DailyRoto)
A+ – Kyle Kuzma (RG Grind Down)
A+ – Julius Randle (RG Grind Down)
A+ – Maxi Kleber (RG Lineup Builder)
A+ – Kent Bazemore (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Jamil Wilson (DailyFantasyNerd)
Wednesday (December 20th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 3.85 (5th of 19)
Total Plays – 33
A+ – James Harden, Josh Hart, Kyle Kuzma, Jamal Murray, Trevor Ariza, Russell Westbrook, Karl-Anthony Towns
F – Chris Paul, Jonathon Simmons, Julius Randle, Lou Williams, Bam Adebayo
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (Score: 5.40) took home the top spot again on Wednesday. Brad saw half his ten picks finish “A” or better including four “A+” grades.
#2) Sportsline (Score: 5.29) put together a solid optimized lineup for a #2 finish. Four of the seven plays finished “A” or better including three “A+” scores.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (5.77 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Kelly Olynyk (DailyFantasySportsRankings)
A+ – TJ Warren (DailyRoto)
A+ – Kyrie Irving (RG Grind Down)
A+ – Mason Plumlee (FantasyPros)
Thursday (December 21st)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 3.22 (14th of 18)
Total Plays – 32
A+ – LeBron James, DeMar DeRozan, Dario Saric
F – Mario Chalmers, Kristaps Porzingis, Chandler Parsons, David Nwaba, OG Anunoby, LaMarcus Aldridge
Top Experts of the Day
#1) FantasyGuruElite (Score: 5.64) made a top-2 appearance on Thursday. Seven of the 11 selections scored “A” or better with four scoring an “A+” grade.
#2) DailyFantasySportsRankings (Score: 4.67) threw out some solid plays to claim 2nd place. Seven of their 12 plays finished “A” or better with three “A+” scores.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
FantasyGuruElite (5.42 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
There were no players selected by only one expert that scored an “A+” grade.
Friday (December 22nd)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 3.97 (16th of 18)
Total Plays – 31
A+ – James Harden, Eric Gordon, Shabazz Napier, Kevin Durant, Russell Westbrook, Nikola Jokic, Austin Rivers, Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F – Nene Hilario, John Wall, Bradley Beal, Dwight Howard, Marcin Gortat, Michael Beasley
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Rotoballer (Score: 8.60) crushed another Friday of DFS. Four of their five plays finished with an “A+” grade.
#2) FantasyGuruElite (Score: 5.36) scored another top-2 finish to round out the week. Half of FGE’s 28 plays scored “A” or better with twelve “A+” grades. They were the lone expert site to play Malcolm Delaney and Isaiah Taylor who both scored “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Rotoballer (6.56 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Jordan Bell (DailyFantasySportsRankings)
A+ – DeMarre Carroll (RG Lineup Builder)
A+ – Enes Kanter (FantasyCPR)
A+ – Malcolm Brogdon (FantasyPros)
A+ – Wilson Chandler (FantasyPros)
A+ – Marvin Williams (FantasyPros)
A+ – Frank Kaminsky (FantasyPros)
A+ – John Collins (DK Playbook)
A+ – Malcolm Delaney (FantasyGuruElite)
A+ – Isaiah Taylor (FantasyGuruElite)
Overall Leaderboard
Things are beginning to get tight! FTA has had a comfortable lead for the last month or so; however, after a monster week from the experts, their lead is dwindling. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 5.06) fell by a slight margin of .03 for the week. They were able to widen their gap between themselves and 2nd place though.
#2) Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (Score: 4.94) made a big leap in the standings. Though Brad only jumped .03 in score, his week catapulted him from 5th to 2nd.
#3) FantasyLabs (Score: 4.91) now sits alone in 3rd place after a tie last week. They saw a slight dip in score but are still having a great season.
#4) RotoGrinders Consensus (Score: 4.90) saw a dip in .09 on their score. With that, they still only fell one spot from a 3rd place tie into 4th.
#5A) RotoGrinders 6-Pack (Score: 4.75) took the biggest tumble among the leaders dropping a whole .20 in score. Beer still clings to a tie for the final top-5 spot.
#5B) FantasyGuruElite (Score: 4.75) has steadily been climbing the standings and thanks to Beer faltering, they are able to claim a tie in the top-5.
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus picks (Score: 4.67) fell to a 7th place tie after last week.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 16 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 87.30% |
| 15 | 76.00% | 53.30% | N/A | N/A |
| 14 | 49.45% | 67.27% | 58.72% | N/A |
| 13 | 49.88% | 45.75% | 65.90% | 85.15% |
| 12 | 43.77% | 34.15% | 52.48% | 65.20% |
| 11 | 26.86% | 40.48% | 40.76% | 42.13% |
| 10 | 28.13% | 26.44% | 36.80% | 54.85% |
| 9 | 24.88% | 19.32% | 38.41% | 57.33% |
| 8 | 17.58% | 19.29% | 23.75% | 30.67% |
| 7 | 12.41% | 12.90% | 14.59% | 28.80% |
| 6 | 10.64% | 11.45% | 18.19% | 23.40% |
| 5 | 10.71% | 7.22% | 11.20% | 19.20% |
| 4 | 3.61% | 5.41% | 8.48% | 15.42% |
| 3 | 3.37% | 4.83% | 5.65% | 9.67% |
| 2 | 1.75% | 3.05% | 3.66% | 5.08% |
| 1 | 1.28% | 1.85% | 2.27% | 2.42% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 16 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 55.60% |
| 15 | 55.80% | 39.80% | N/A | N/A |
| 14 | 38.40% | 41.03% | 40.27% | N/A |
| 13 | 32.76% | 34.45% | 46.20% | 52.38% |
| 12 | 30.38% | 24.58% | 33.65% | 36.03% |
| 11 | 24.12% | 28.90% | 26.61% | 29.45% |
| 10 | 23.18% | 21.53% | 24.64% | 35.76% |
| 9 | 21.42% | 18.27% | 26.19% | 30.11% |
| 8 | 17.39% | 18.65% | 20.83% | 20.16% |
| 7 | 12.23% | 13.56% | 13.91% | 19.38% |
| 6 | 12.28% | 11.13% | 15.36% | 14.92% |
| 5 | 10.56% | 8.70% | 11.57% | 14.54% |
| 4 | 6.31% | 6.84% | 9.92% | 12.27% |
| 3 | 5.52% | 6.64% | 8.26% | 8.19% |
| 2 | 4.43% | 4.83% | 5.79% | 5.23% |
| 1 | 3.66% | 3.76% | 3.98% | 2.97% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
