Overall this past week was a great one for the experts. Have they found a groove? Probably just as I suggest that, they’ll take a tumble. That being said, our top-5 experts all saw their DO score increase with a couple making major leaps. FantasyTeamAdvice leads again this week and has now hopped above the 5.0 threshold. A four-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
Monday (December 4th)
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks started the week with a nice 7th place finish out of 20 experts graded with a DailyOverlay score of 5.71.
A+ – Fifteen of the 34 plays finished with an “A+” grade.
F – Enes Kanter, Courtney Lee
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RotoGrinders 6-Pack (Score: 6.83) crushed as four of Beer’s six plays scored an “A+” grade.
#2) FantasyLabs (Score: 6.55) also crushed on Monday with seven of their 11 plays finishing “A” or better including six “A+” scores.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
RotoGrinders 6-Pack (6.25 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – JJ Barea (DailyRoto)
A+ – Thaddeus Young (RG Grind Down)
A+ – Will Barton (FantasyCPR)
A+ – TJ Warren (FantasyCPR)
A+ – Davis Bertans (Scout Fantasy)
A+ – Dwight Powell (Rotowire)
A+ – Damyean Dotson (Rotoballer)
A+ – Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (FantasyPros)
A+ – Tyler Ulis (FantasyPros)
A+ – Khris Middleton (FantasyPros)
A+ – JaMychal Green (FantasyLabs)
Wednesday (December 6th)
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks had a solid score but a 12th place finish out of 21 experts graded with a DailyOverlay score of 5.10.
A+ – DeMarcus Cousins, Kevin Durant, Zach Randolph, Rudy Gay, Taj Gibson, Gary Harris, Andre Drummond, Nikola Vucevic, Aaron Gordon
F – No Consensus plays finished with a failing grade.
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (Score: 7.10) was literally “hot” on Wednesday. Of Brad’s ten plays, he scored five “A+’s”, three “A’s” and two “B” grades.
#2) DailyFantasySportsRankings (Score: 6.21) scored an “A” or better with nine of their 14 selections on the day including six “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (6.52 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Giannis Antetokounmpo (DailyRoto)
A+ – Courtney Lee (RG Grind Down)
A+ – DeAndre Jordan (FantasyCPR)
A+ – Danny Green (Scout Fantasy)
A+ – George Hill (FantasyPros)
A+ – Frank Mason III (FantasyPros)
Thursday (December 7th)
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks had a rough day finishing in 10th place out of 17 experts with a DO score of 3.271
A+ – Joel Embiid, Ben Simmons, Markieff Morris, Chris Paul
F – No Consensus plays finished with a failing grade.
Top Experts of the Day
#1) FantasyLabs (Score: 4.50) found the top spot on Thursday as half of their 12 plays finished “A” or better including three “A+” grades.
#2) RotoGrinders Lineup Builder (Score: 4.43) saw four of their seven plays finish “A” or better with one “A+” score. That “A+” came from Ryan Anderson and RG Lineup Builder was the lone expert site to suggest the play.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
RG Lineup Builder (5.64 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Caris LeVert (RG Lineup Builder)
A+ – Ryan Anderson (DK Playbook)
Friday (December 8th)
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus wrapped the week with a nice score but just a 7th place finish out of 18 experts graded and a 5.79 DailyOverlay score.
A+ – Ten of the 34 plays scored an “A+” on Friday.
F – Jakarr Sampson
Top Experts of the Day
#1) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 7.00) finished off another week strong. FTA saw three of their five plays score an “A+” grade.
#2) FantasyGuruElite (Score: 6.64) slid into the top-2 to cap the week. Nine of their 14 plays finished “A” or better including eight “A+” grades!
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
RG Lineup Builder (6.32 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Frank Mason III (DailyRoto)
A+ – Wesley Matthews (FantasyPros)
A+ – Robin Lopez (FantasyPros)
Overall Leaderboard
Some really, really good weeks from the leaders. The top-5 remains the same with some shuffling among the leaders. FTA remains atop the standings and widened their gap over last week. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 5.09) made a big jump in score last week. They remain comfortably in 1st place on the season.
#2) RotoGrinders 6-Pack (Score: 4.86) also made a giant leap in score and standing. Beer jumped from 5th to 2nd after the week.
#3) RotoGrinders Consensus (Score: 4.84) bumped their score, too, albeit smaller than the others. The RG Consensus dropped one spot in the standings.
#4) FantasyLabs (Score: 4.81) fell one spot to 4th despite their scoring going up a small amount.
#5) Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (Score: 4.79) also had a minuscule gain in score; however, Brad dropped into 5th place.
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus picks (Score: 4.62) stayed in 6th place but has some competition nipping at its heels.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 15 | N/A | 53.30% | N/A | N/A |
| 14 | 40.60% | 67.27% | 58.72% | N/A |
| 13 | 47.80% | 22.70% | 65.90% | 85.15% |
| 12 | 43.21% | 35.50% | 57.66% | 79.45% |
| 11 | 29.39% | 38.81% | 40.76% | 46.50% |
| 10 | 31.14% | 27.64% | 38.41% | 57.33% |
| 9 | 24.07% | 21.20% | 38.74% | 56.81% |
| 8 | 18.20% | 18.27% | 24.63% | 30.52% |
| 7 | 12.19% | 12.47% | 12.70% | 28.69% |
| 6 | 12.07% | 11.10% | 18.25% | 23.38% |
| 5 | 10.63% | 7.10% | 12.99% | 19.52% |
| 4 | 2.56% | 5.71% | 8.63% | 16.03% |
| 3 | 3.36% | 4.60% | 5.63% | 8.55% |
| 2 | 1.10% | 2.85% | 3.53% | 5.22% |
| 1 | 1.28% | 1.74% | 2.25% | 2.29% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 15 | N/A | 39.80% | N/A | N/A |
| 14 | 33.90% | 41.03% | 40.27% | N/A |
| 13 | 30.73% | 19.60% | 46.20% | 52.38% |
| 12 | 28.69% | 24.97% | 34.86% | 41.85% |
| 11 | 25.16% | 27.12% | 26.61% | 31.58% |
| 10 | 25.12% | 22.21% | 25.58% | 34.20% |
| 9 | 21.92% | 18.92% | 26.24% | 30.93% |
| 8 | 17.29% | 18.05% | 21.39% | 19.44% |
| 7 | 12.19% | 13.38% | 13.01% | 18.85% |
| 6 | 13.03% | 10.55% | 15.43% | 14.61% |
| 5 | 10.31% | 8.66% | 12.35% | 14.71% |
| 4 | 5.95% | 6.99% | 9.77% | 12.66% |
| 3 | 5.33% | 6.44% | 8.18% | 7.52% |
| 2 | 3.85% | 4.78% | 5.72% | 5.48% |
| 1 | 3.66% | 3.84% | 4.05% | 2.92% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
