We are closing in on the end of the NBA season for us here at Daily Overlay. As tanking and injury sit-downs become more prevalent, we typically switch out focus to MLB. FantasyLabs has positioned themselves well for these last couple of weeks. It’s going to take a collapse or a massive surge from someone behind them for FantasyLabs not to take home the season-long trophy. A five-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
Monday (February 26th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 4.62 (6th of 22)
Total Plays – 34
A+ – Eleven of the 34 picks finished with an “A+” grade.
F – Alex Len
Top Experts of the Day
#1) FantasyLabs (Score: 7.00) scored big to start the week as eight of their 11 plays scored “A” or better including seven “A+” scores.
#2) Rotoballer (Score: 5.20) rounded out the top-2 for the day. Two of RB’s five selections scored an “A+” grade.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Scout (5.67 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Josh Jackson (DailyRoto)
A+ – Emmanuel Mudiay (RG Grind Down)
A+ – Emeka Okafor (FantasyPros)
Tuesday (February 27th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 6.30 (11th of 20)
Total Plays – 37
A+ – Eighteen of the 37 plays scored an “A+” grade.
F – Skal Labissiere
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Sportsline (Score: 8.50) scored “B” or better with all eight plays including six “A+” grades.
#2) DailyFantasySportsRankings (Score: 7.43) also had a great day with ten of their 14 selections scoring “A” or better. That included nine “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Sportsline (6.00 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Shabazz Napier (DailyRoto)
A+ – Mason Plumlee (DailyRoto)
A+ – Ed Davis (RG Grind Down)
A+ – Willie Cauley-Stein (FantasyCPR)
A+ – De’Aaron Fox (Daily Overlay – Value Index)
A+ – Justin Jackson (Daily Overlay – Value Index)
Wednesday (February 28th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 4.42 (10th of 21)
Total Plays – 33
A+ – Ten of the 33 plays scored an “A+” grade.
F – LaMarcus Aldride, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Lou Williams, Bradley Beal, Ish Smith
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RG 6-Pack (Score: 8.00) hit it on the head with his five plays for Wednesday. Beer pulled in three “A+” grades and two “A” scores.
#2) DailyFantasyNerd (Score: 6.63) threw out a nice optimized lineup with five of the eight plays scoring “A” or better including four “A+” grades. DFN was the lone expert site to recommend Dewayne Dedmon and his “A+” grade.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
RG 6-Pack (6.27 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Rudy Gay (DailyRoto)
A+ – Rajon Rondo (RG Lineup Builder)
A+ – Mike Muscala (Daily Overlay – Value Index)
A+ – Andre Iguodala (Daily Overlay – Value Index)
A+ – Joffrey Lauvergne (Scout)
A+ – Milos Teodosic (FantasyPros)
A+ – Dewayne Dedmon (DailyFantasyNerd)
A+ – Montrezl Harrell (DK Playbook)
A+ – Markieff Morris (FantasyGuruElite)
Thursday (March 1st)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 6.85 (8th of 17)
Total Plays – 27
A+ – Fifteen of the 27 plays scored an “A+” grade.
F – Hassan Whiteside, Kelly Olynyk, Gorgui Dieng
Top Experts of the Day
#1) FantasyGuruElite (Score: 9.29) was near perfect on Thursday. Of their seven plays, they scored six “A+” grades and one “A”.
#2) Rotowire (Score: 8.75) was also darn near perfect. Rotowire picked up six “A+’s” and two “A’s” with their eight plays.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyNerd (5.76 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Kyle Kuzma (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Ed Davis (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – JJ Redick (FantasyPros)
A+ – Allen Crabbe (FantasyPros)
Friday (March 2nd)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 3.68 (10th of 18)
Total Plays – 34
A+ – Devin Booker, Russell Westbrook, Elfrid Payton, Giannis Antetokounmpo, David Nwaba, Aaron Gordon, Joel Embiid
F – Karl-Anthony Towns, Ish Smith, Nikola Jokic
Top Experts of the Day
#1) DailyFantasySportsRankings (Score: 4.92) topped the list of experts on Friday. DFSR saw seven of their 12 plays score “A” or better with three “A+” grades.
#2) Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (Score: 4.70) found the top-2 for the first time this week. Of Brad’s ten plays, half of them scored “A” or better including three “A+” scores.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (5.77 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Dennis Schroder (RG Lineup Builder)
A+ – Nicolas Batum (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – CJ Miles (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – DJ Augustin (Scout)
A+ – James Ennis III (FantasyLabs)
Overall Leaderboard
FanatsyLabs continues to lead and has staked themselves out to a nice lead coming down the stretch. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) FantasyLabs (Score: 5.07) has seen a bump of .05 in score since we last recapped which has padded their lead to .10.
#2) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 4.97) has stayed relatively flat with a slight .01 drop in score. FTA needs to make a run if they want to hop back into the top spot.
#3) Rotoballer (Score: 4.87) has dropped quite a bit, .08 to be exact. They still maintain a comfortable lead over the 4th spot and should finish in the top-3 for the season.
#4A) RG Consensus (Score: 4.79) has dropped back into a 4th place tie with a slight .02 drop in score since our last recap.
#4B) Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (Score: 4.79) moves into a 4th place tie with an uptick of .03. Brad will look to slide into the 4th spot by himself as the season winds down.
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus picks (Score: 4.67) picked up .03 in score since the last recap. That jump has vaulted the Consensus into 6th place overall.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 16 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 87.30% |
| 15 | 53.50% | 55.73% | 51.30% | N/A |
| 14 | 49.38% | 69.28% | 59.93% | N/A |
| 13 | 50.63% | 50.03% | 58.88% | 85.50% |
| 12 | 39.21% | 37.92% | 51.10% | 64.14% |
| 11 | 25.78% | 36.18% | 45.35% | 53.37% |
| 10 | 26.37% | 28.50% | 36.62% | 56.78% |
| 9 | 24.77% | 22.15% | 35.50% | 52.48% |
| 8 | 15.28% | 17.00% | 24.61% | 37.34% |
| 7 | 10.06% | 13.51% | 20.11% | 33.42% |
| 6 | 11.99% | 10.69% | 17.42% | 26.14% |
| 5 | 8.64% | 7.29% | 11.89% | 23.33% |
| 4 | 2.85% | 5.95% | 7.82% | 16.28% |
| 3 | 3.59% | 4.19% | 5.79% | 9.22% |
| 2 | 5.12% | 3.09% | 3.35% | 5.43% |
| 1 | 0.74% | 1.55% | 2.17% | 2.40% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 16 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 55.60% |
| 15 | 43.50% | 39.77% | 33.20% | N/A |
| 14 | 34.59% | 40.85% | 38.68% | N/A |
| 13 | 32.21% | 35.93% | 34.07% | 51.58% |
| 12 | 28.38% | 29.47% | 34.37% | 37.76% |
| 11 | 23.35% | 26.80% | 30.11% | 34.26% |
| 10 | 21.94% | 22.45% | 26.18% | 35.68% |
| 9 | 20.34% | 19.71% | 25.54% | 29.90% |
| 8 | 15.79% | 16.33% | 20.70% | 24.28% |
| 7 | 11.14% | 13.57% | 16.74% | 21.55% |
| 6 | 12.15% | 11.23% | 15.45% | 16.19% |
| 5 | 9.83% | 9.07% | 12.23% | 16.27% |
| 4 | 5.40% | 7.71% | 9.56% | 12.07% |
| 3 | 5.54% | 6.49% | 8.29% | 8.25% |
| 2 | 5.67% | 4.91% | 5.77% | 5.42% |
| 1 | 3.13% | 3.73% | 4.02% | 3.03% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
