The start of the new year brought little change to our DO leaderboard. Rotoballer managed to slip back inside the top-5, unseating FantasyGuruElite for that 5th slot. With us being halfway through the season you’d expect to see more separation at this point; however, there is a logjam of experts in the middle where any of them could take a leap upward with a big week. Four days of recaps and the overall leaders are below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
Monday (January 1st)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 4.38 (10th of 14)
Total Plays – 24
A+ – Jimmy Butler, Tyler Ennis, Bismack Biyombo, Allen Crabbe, Andrew Wiggins, DeMar DeRozan
F – Kyle Kuzma
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Rotoballer (Score: 7.60) made five selections and all scored “B” or better including three “A+” grades.
#2A) RG Lineup Builder (Score: 7.25) made eight plays and all scored “B” or better including half of them scoring “A+” grades.
#2B) Sportsline (Score: 7.25) also made eight plays with all scoring “B” or better and four “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Sportsline (7.19 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Gorgui Dieng (FantasyPros)
Tuesday (January 2nd)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 5.93 (6th of 18)
Total Plays – 27
A+ – Twelve of the 27 plays finished with an “A+” grade.
F – None of the 27 plays finished with a failing grade.
Top Experts of the Day
#1A) DK Playbook (Score: 6.50) had a nice Tuesday with half of their six plays scoring “A+” grades while the other half picked up “B” grades.
#1B) FantasyGuruElite (Score: 6.50) also scored big as seven of the 12 plays finished “A” or better including six “A+” scores.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
FantasyPros (5.40 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Jae Crowder (DailyRoto)
A+ – Jeremy Lamb (Scout)
A+ – Michael Beasley (Scout)
A+ – De’Aaron Fox (FantasyPros)
A+ – JaMychal Green (FantasyPros)
A+ – Skal Labissiere (FantasyPros)
Wednesday (January 3rd)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 2.97 (11th of 21)
Total Plays – 36
A+ – Russell Westbrook, Giannis Antetokounmpo, DeMar DeRozan, Stephen Curry
F – Jamal Murray, Hassan Whiteside, Dejounte Murray, Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, Bismack Biyombo, Jordan Bell
Top Experts of the Day
#1) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 4.40) scored the top spot in what was probably the worst day for the experts so far this season. They scored one “A+” and four “B’s” with their five plays.
#2A) FantasyCPR (Score: 3.79) ended up with an “A” or better with ten of their 29 plays including five “A+” grades. FantasyCPR was the lone expert site to recommend Kelly Olynyk and his “A+” score.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
FantasyTeamAdvice (5.18 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Kelly Olynyk (FantasyCPR)
A+ – Gerald Green (Scout)
Friday (January 5th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 4.23 (9th of 20)
Total Plays – 30
A+ – Kris Dunn, Tyreke Evans, Kawhi Leonard, Trey Lyles, Michael Beasley, Wesley Matthews, Ersan Ilyasova, Marc Gasol
F – Boban Marjanovic, Nicolas Batum, Kyle Kuzma
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (Score: 6.50) scored an “A” or better with six of his ten plays with five “A+” grades.
#2A-C) Daily Overlay – Value Index, Rotoballer, DK Playbook (Score: 6.00) all tied with a solid 6.0 score.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Rotoballer (5.94 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Tyler Johnson (DailyFantasySportsRankings)
A+ – John Wall (DailyRoto)
A+ – Wayne Ellington (Scout)
A+ – Courtney Lee (FantasyLabs)
Overall Leaderboard
A small change in our season-long top-5 as Rotoballer unseated FantasyGuruElite for the #5 spot. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 5.05) was knocked back a bit to open the new year. Even with a drop of .11 in score, they still maintain a comfortable lead.
#2) Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (Score: 4.90) maintained the #2 slot despite a drop of .04 in score. Brad has the slimmest of leads over FantasyLabs in 3rd.
#3) FantasyLabs (Score: 4.89) also took a .04 step back which means they remain only .01 behind Brad for 2nd.
#4) RotoGrinders Consensus (Score: 4.83) stay in 4th place after also dropping .04 in score. The RG Consensus is comfortably within the top-5 though.
#5) Rotoballer (Score: 4.80) makes a leap back into the top-5 as they are the lone top-5er to actually gain points this week. Rotoballer climbed up .04 in score and one spot in the standings.
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus picks (Score: 4.68) remain in 7th place tie after last week. The Consensus score dipped .04 for the week.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 16 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 87.30% |
| 15 | 76.00% | 62.00% | N/A | N/A |
| 14 | 55.36% | 67.27% | 58.72% | N/A |
| 13 | 49.88% | 52.58% | 65.90% | 85.15% |
| 12 | 42.86% | 34.15% | 46.91% | 65.20% |
| 11 | 28.45% | 39.64% | 45.00% | 42.13% |
| 10 | 29.59% | 28.21% | 38.17% | 51.71% |
| 9 | 24.88% | 20.08% | 38.33% | 57.32% |
| 8 | 17.16% | 19.49% | 24.96% | 31.56% |
| 7 | 11.52% | 12.77% | 15.96% | 30.04% |
| 6 | 10.64% | 10.71% | 19.31% | 23.47% |
| 5 | 10.29% | 7.08% | 11.03% | 19.51% |
| 4 | 3.61% | 5.62% | 8.40% | 15.08% |
| 3 | 3.30% | 4.69% | 5.88% | 9.44% |
| 2 | 1.56% | 3.37% | 3.60% | 5.25% |
| 1 | 1.28% | 1.84% | 2.33% | 2.30% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 16 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 55.60% |
| 15 | 55.80% | 42.70% | N/A | N/A |
| 14 | 39.48% | 41.03% | 40.27% | N/A |
| 13 | 32.76% | 37.98% | 46.20% | 52.38% |
| 12 | 30.53% | 24.58% | 30.94% | 36.03% |
| 11 | 25.81% | 28.85% | 30.08% | 29.45% |
| 10 | 23.39% | 22.54% | 25.87% | 33.53% |
| 9 | 21.42% | 19.04% | 25.97% | 30.07% |
| 8 | 17.14% | 18.21% | 21.15% | 20.56% |
| 7 | 11.61% | 13.55% | 14.76% | 20.15% |
| 6 | 11.92% | 10.82% | 16.33% | 14.82% |
| 5 | 10.58% | 8.58% | 11.63% | 14.69% |
| 4 | 6.31% | 7.69% | 9.96% | 12.50% |
| 3 | 5.34% | 6.55% | 8.28% | 8.13% |
| 2 | 3.49% | 5.16% | 5.75% | 5.27% |
| 1 | 3.66% | 3.81% | 3.99% | 2.88% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
