As we approach the All-Star Break, things are taking shape with our NBA experts. The top-5 in our season-long leaderboard has pretty much established themselves. There is still plenty of time for someone to make a run and hop into the top-5 but it appears the current guys will spend the remainder of the season jockeying for position. The gap between 2nd and 5th place is a minuscule .04 points. A four-day weekly recap is below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
Monday (January 8th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 5.21 (10th of 20)
Total Plays – 33
A+ – Twelve of the 33 plays finished with an “A+” grade.
F – LeBron James, Montrezl Harrell, Will Barton, Robin Lopez
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RG Lineup Builder (Score: 6.29) started the week hot with four of their seven plays scoring “A+” grades. They were the lone expert site to play Rajon Rondo.
#2) DailyFantasyNerd (Score: 5.88) made it an “optimized” sweep on Monday. DFN saw seven of their eight plays score a “B” or better including three “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Rotoballer (6.15 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Rajon Rondo (RG Lineup Builder)
A+ – Taj Gibson (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Allen Crabbe (Rotowire)
A+ – Eric Gordon (FantasyGuruElite)
Tuesday (January 9th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 2.75 (12th of 18)
Total Plays – 28
A+ – Russell Westbrook, Julius Randle, Goran Dragic
F – Willie Cauley-Stein, Jonas Valanciunus, Elfrid Payton, Bismack Biyombo, Kelly Olynyk
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Rotoballer (Score: 5.80) scored a “B” or better with four of their five plays including two “A+” grades.
#2) RG Lineup Builder (Score: 4.63) found the top-2 for the second day in a row. Half of the eight selections scored “A” or better including two “A+” scores.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
RG Lineup Builder (5.54 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Yogi Ferrell (FantasyPros)
Wednesday (January 10th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 3.92 (14th of 21)
Total Plays – 38
A+ – Russell Westbrook, Andre Drummond, E’Twaun Moore, Jimmy Butler, John Wall, Bam Adebayo, Lauri Markkanen, Chris Paul, Gary Harris
F – Bobby Portis, Shabazz Napier, Aaron Gordon, Spencer Dinwiddie
Top Experts of the Day
#1A) RG 6-Pack (Score: 6.00) scored an “A+” with half of his six plays for Wednesday. Beer was the lone expert to play Michael Beasley and his “A+” grade.
#1B) DK Playbook (Score: 6.00) had a really solid day. Eight of the 10 plays scored “B” or better including four “A+” scores.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
RG 6-Pack (6.15 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Michael Beasley (RG 6-Pack)
A+ – Kemba Walker (FantasyCPR)
A+ – Harrison Barnes (FantasyCPR)
A+ – Damian Lillard (FantasyPros)
A+ – JaMychal Green (FantasyPros)
Friday (January 12th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 5.88 (5th of 17)
Total Plays – 34
A+ – Fifteen of the 34 selections scored an “A+” grade.
F – Rajon Rondo, Markieff Morris
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Sportsline (Score: 7.75) capped the week with a nice day. Seven of their eight plays scored an “A” or better with five “A+” grades.
#2) RG Consensus (Score: 6.75) scored “A” or better with 14 of their 20 plays with half of the twenty scoring an “A+” grade.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Sportsline (6.14 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Draymond Green (RG Grind Down)
A+ – Jarrett Jack (Scout)
A+ – Andrew Harrison (Rotoballer)
Overall Leaderboard
A couple of minor changes in the overall leaderboard after last week. Brad and FantasyLabs are now locked in a 2nd place tie while Rotoballer hopped the RG Consensus into 4th place. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 5.02) widened the gap between themselves and 2nd place despite dropping .03 in score for the week.
#2A) Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (Score: 4.85) slid into a 2nd place tie after clinging to sole possession of it last week. Brad dropped .05 in score for the week.
#2B) FantasyLabs (Score: 4.85) picked up that .01 on Brad to tie for 2nd. FantasyLabs lost .04 in score last week.
#4) Rotoballer (Score: 4.84) picked up .04 in score to hop up one spot and into 4th place.
#5) RG Consensus (Score: 4.80) still has a top-5 spot as they slid back .03 in score.
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus picks (Score: 4.67) fell back into 8th place after dropping .01 in score last week.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 16 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 87.30% |
| 15 | 76.00% | 62.00% | N/A | N/A |
| 14 | 55.36% | 67.27% | 58.72% | N/A |
| 13 | 49.88% | 52.58% | 65.90% | 85.15% |
| 12 | 45.15% | 41.02% | 46.08% | 65.20% |
| 11 | 28.55% | 39.43% | 48.06% | 42.13% |
| 10 | 27.74% | 27.59% | 39.71% | 51.71% |
| 9 | 24.10% | 21.13% | 37.14% | 58.82% |
| 8 | 16.60% | 18.71% | 23.29% | 31.03% |
| 7 | 10.85% | 12.54% | 17.10% | 30.99% |
| 6 | 10.60% | 10.69% | 18.94% | 23.91% |
| 5 | 9.80% | 7.07% | 11.43% | 19.74% |
| 4 | 3.42% | 5.61% | 7.94% | 15.35% |
| 3 | 3.27% | 4.74% | 5.88% | 9.37% |
| 2 | 8.53% | 3.32% | 3.58% | 5.37% |
| 1 | 1.28% | 1.90% | 2.29% | 2.27% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 16 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 55.60% |
| 15 | 55.80% | 42.70% | N/A | N/A |
| 14 | 39.48% | 41.03% | 40.27% | N/A |
| 13 | 32.76% | 37.98% | 46.20% | 52.38% |
| 12 | 32.14% | 31.70% | 30.38% | 36.03% |
| 11 | 25.02% | 29.01% | 31.64% | 29.45% |
| 10 | 22.16% | 22.43% | 26.94% | 33.53% |
| 9 | 20.94% | 19.33% | 25.45% | 31.25% |
| 8 | 16.90% | 17.33% | 19.91% | 20.58% |
| 7 | 11.18% | 13.37% | 15.42% | 21.02% |
| 6 | 11.73% | 10.73% | 16.10% | 15.27% |
| 5 | 10.34% | 8.55% | 11.92% | 14.86% |
| 4 | 6.14% | 7.79% | 9.64% | 12.47% |
| 3 | 5.30% | 6.60% | 8.21% | 8.20% |
| 2 | 7.29% | 5.17% | 5.77% | 5.31% |
| 1 | 3.66% | 3.93% | 3.98% | 2.87% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
