Well, there was quite a shakeup after a really, really down week for the experts. We only graded three days last week and there wasn’t much to write home about. If anyone had a good week it was Sportsline, who placed in the top-2 all three days. We have a new leader in the clubhouse as Beer stumbled back into 3rd place overall. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
Monday (November 13th)
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks started the week with a 10th place finish out of 20 experts graded with a DailyOverlay score of 4.48.
A+ – Lou Williams, DeMarcus Cousins, Joel Embiid, Giannis Antetokounmpo, LeBron James, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Karl-Anthony Towns
F – Kevin Love, Ricky Rubio, DeAndre Jordan
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Rotoballer (Score: 6.14) scored an “A” or better on six of their seven plays for the day including two “A+” scores.
#2) Sportsline (Score: 5.75) hauled in a “B” or better with seven of their eight plays on the day with three “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyNerd (6.06 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – JR Smith (RotoGrinders Consensus)
A+ – Donovan Mitchell (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Marreese Speights (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – George Hill (FantasyPros)
Wednesday (November 15th)
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks had another down day finishing in 13th place out of 20 experts with a DO score of 4.00.
A+ – Joel Embiid, LeBron James, Ben Simmons, Marc Gasol, DeMarcus Cousins
F – OG Anunoby, Paul George
Top Experts of the Day
#1A) Sportsline (Score: 4.75) found the top-2 again on Wednesday. Their optimized scored an “A” or better with half of their eight plays with three “A+” grades. Sportsline was the lone expert site with Kyle Lowry and his “A+” grade in their lineup.
#1B) DailyFantasyNerd (Score: 4.75) made it a clean sweep for the optimizers on Wednesday. DFN scored three “A+” grades with their eight selections.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyNerd (6.22 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Khris Middleton (DailyRoto)
A+ – Kyle Lowry (Sportsline)
A+ – Rodney Hood (Scout Fantasy)
A+ – Dewayne Dedmon (DK Playbook)
A+ – Courtney Lee (FantasyGuruElite)
Friday (November 17th)
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus capped a disappointing week with a 12th place out of 19 experts graded with a 3.06 DailyOverlay.
A+ – LeBron James, Blake Griffin, Spencer Dinwiddie
F – Greg Monroe, Jordan Clarkson, DeMarcus Cousins
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Rotoballer (Score: 5.40) scored an “A” or better with three of their five selections including two “A+” grades.
#2) Sportsline (Score: 4.13) capped off a great week with another top-2 finish. They scored “A” or better with three of their eight plays including two “A+” scores.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Sportsline (5.28 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Emmanuel Mudiay (DailyRoto)
A+ – Wesley Johnson (RotoGrinders Grind Down)
A+ – Alex Len (RotoGrinders Grind Down)
A+ – Kris Dunn (RotoGrinders Lineup Builder)
A+ – Jamal Murray (FantasyPros)
A+ – Wilson Chandler (FantasyPros)
A+ – Brook Lopez (FantasyPros)
A+ – Sindarius Thornwell (FantasyLabs)
Overall Leaderboard
A whole lotta’ shakin’ going on in our top-5. Beer dropped a couple of spots and we now only have one expert above the 5.0 threshold, whereas, we had four above that last week. Our top-5 continues to put distance between themselves and the rest of the experts though. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 5.10) even with a loss of .35 in score, FTA was able to stake claim to the top spot after last week.
#2) RotoGrinders Consensus (Score: 4.97) also saw a dip in score, though just .23; however, they were able to hop up one spot into 2nd.
#3) RotoGrinders 6-Pack (Score: 4.95) took a tumble of over a whole point. Beer was able to hold steady a couple weeks ago due to not making any picks…he wasn’t as fortunate this past week.
#4) FantasyLabs (Score: 4.92) was able to curb their dip a bit as they saw the smallest decrease in score among those in the top-5.
#5) Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (Score: 4.90) holds on to a top-5 spot despite losing .12 last week. Brad still maintains a .19 lead over the nearest competitor.
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus picks (Score: 4.71) continues providing solid plays for our readers. The Consensus sits just outside the top-5 in 6th place for the season.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 15 | N/A | 53.30% | N/A | N/A |
| 14 | 51.50% | 65.95% | 49.47% | N/A |
| 13 | 46.10% | 22.70% | N/A | 87.20% |
| 12 | 43.00% | 28.60% | 51.27% | 79.45% |
| 11 | 32.49% | 41.81% | 43.90% | 49.10% |
| 10 | 17.54% | 25.12% | 30.78% | 49.15% |
| 9 | 25.16% | 18.54% | 38.12% | 63.98% |
| 8 | 18.05% | 20.05% | 18.84% | 23.67% |
| 7 | 11.36% | 15.22% | 13.70% | 32.53% |
| 6 | 12.20% | 12.83% | 18.12% | 24.51% |
| 5 | 5.98% | 8.36% | 12.75% | 18.49% |
| 4 | 0.87% | 5.47% | 10.66% | 14.23% |
| 3 | 2.71% | 5.37% | 5.41% | 8.36% |
| 2 | #DIV/0! | 2.10% | 3.27% | 5.26% |
| 1 | 0.40% | 1.86% | 2.22% | 2.28% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 15 | N/A | 39.80% | N/A | N/A |
| 14 | 39.50% | 41.05% | 35.93% | N/A |
| 13 | 29.73% | 19.60% | N/A | 54.50% |
| 12 | 26.08% | 19.60% | 30.50% | 41.85% |
| 11 | 27.61% | 28.50% | 29.73% | 32.10% |
| 10 | 17.40% | 20.34% | 21.19% | 26.35% |
| 9 | 22.56% | 19.01% | 27.21% | 33.53% |
| 8 | 15.95% | 19.44% | 19.51% | 18.23% |
| 7 | 11.62% | 14.60% | 12.44% | 20.60% |
| 6 | 12.71% | 10.15% | 15.87% | 15.37% |
| 5 | 8.44% | 9.14% | 12.03% | 14.14% |
| 4 | 4.10% | 7.04% | 10.82% | 11.04% |
| 3 | 5.29% | 6.96% | 8.29% | 7.10% |
| 2 | #DIV/0! | 4.24% | 5.71% | 5.37% |
| 1 | 2.90% | 3.82% | 4.11% | 2.85% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
