The overall top-5 remained the same after this week; however, there was some major shuffling among those five as they all took it on the chin this past week. We now have no experts above the 5.0 threshold where we had two experts after last week. Our Consensus continues to perform admirably and retained its spot at 6th in the standings. A big, five-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
Monday (November 27th)
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks started the week with a solid 9th place finish out of 21 experts graded with a DailyOverlay score of 4.53.
A+ – LeBron James, Blake Griffin, Lou Williams, LaMarcus Aldridge, Lance Stephenson, James Harden, Andre Drummond, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
F – No Consensus plays finished with a failing grade.
Top Experts of the Day
#1) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 6.60) started off the week with a bang as three of their five plays scored an “A+” grade.
#2) Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (Score: 5.70) also came in hot on Monday. Half of Brad’s ten plays scored “A” or better including four “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Rotoballer (6.40 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – JJ Barea (DailyRoto)
A+ – Dwight Powell (DailyRoto)
A+ – Garrett Temple (RG Lineup Builder)
A+ – Sean Kilpatrick (RG Consensus)
A+ – Austin Rivers (Scout Fantasy)
A+ – Pau Gasol (Scout Fantasy)
A+ – Pat Connaughton (FantasyGuruElite)
Tuesday (November 28th)
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks had a nice Tuesday with a 5th place finish out of 18 experts graded with a DailyOverlay score of 4.77.
A+ – LeBron James, Derrick Favors, Eric Bledsoe, Tyus Jones, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jimmy Butler, Kevin Love, Justin Holiday
F – Bradley Beal, Tim Frazier, Markieff Morris, Goran Dragic
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Sportsline (Score: 6.00) utilized their optimizer to score an “A” or better with five of eight plays. This included four “A+” grades on the day.
#2) DailyFantasySportsRankings (Score: 5.57) scored “A” or better with eight of their 14 selections including six “A+” scores.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Sportsline (5.52 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Devin Booker (RG Grind Down)
A+ – Garrett Temple (RG Lineup Builder)
A+ – Frank Mason III (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Kelly Oubre, Jr. (Scout Fantasy)
A+ – Alex Len (Scout Fantasy)
A+ – Tyler Ulis (FantasyPros)
Wednesday (November 29th)
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks had a rough day, along with most everyone else, finishing in 10th place out of 21 experts with a DO score of 3.28.
A+ – Russell Westbrook, James Harden, LaMarcus Aldridge, Tyus Jones, Ish Smith, Kyle Lowry
F – Kritaps Porzingis, Anthony Davis, Johnathon Simmons, Dennis Smith Jr, TJ McConnell, Tim Hardaway Jr
Top Experts of the Day
#1) FantasyGuruElite (Score: 4.67) put in a solid day’s work for the volume guys. FGE saw eleven of their 27 plays score “A” or better including eight “A+” grades. They were the lone expert site to play Dario Saric and his “A+” grade.
#2) DailyFantasyNerd (Score: 4.63) scored three “A+” grades with their eight selections on Wednesday. DFS was the only site to play Elfrid Payton and Ben Simmons who both scored “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
FantasyGuruElite (5.25 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Zaza Pachulia (FantasyPros)
A+ – Elfrid Payton (DailyFantasyNerd)
A+ – Ben Simmons (DailyFantasyNerd)
A+ – Greg Monroe (DK Playbook)
A+ – Courtney Lee (FantasyLabs)
A+ – Dario Saric (FantasyGuruElite)
Thursday (November 30th)
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus fared decently for Thursday finishing in 11th place out of 18 experts with a DO score of 3.42.
A+ – LeBron James, Dario Saric, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kenneth Faried
F – Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Juancho Hernangomez
Top Experts of the Day
#1A) RotoGrinders Lineup Builder (Score: 4.13) scored an “A+” with two of their eight selections which was enough for a 1st place tie on the day.
#1B) Sportsline (Score: 4.13) scored an “A” or higher with three of their eight plays including two “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Rotowire (5.75 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Will Barton (RG Grind Down)
Friday (December 1st)
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus finished off the week with a T-8th finish out of 19 experts graded and a 3.82 DailyOverlay score.
A+ – Stephen Curry, Russell Westbrook, Andre Drummond, Paul George, Victor Oladipo, DeMarcus Cousins, Alec Burks
F – Bradley Beal, Dwight Howard, Taj Gibson, Ricky Rubio, Nikola Vucevic, Tyus Jones, Carmelo Anthony, Goran Dragic
Top Experts of the Day
#1) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 5.00) graded an “A” or better with half of their ten plays including three “A+” scores. FTA was the lone expert to recommend Josh Richardson and his “A+” score.
#2) Fantasy Alarm (Score: 4.70) scored “A” or better with eleven of the 23 selections to cap the week. This included seven “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
RG Lineup Builder (5.60 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Zach Randolph (RG Grind Down)
A+ – Rajon Rondo (Sportsline)
A+ – Marcin Gortat (Sportsline)
A+ – Josh Richardson (FantasyTeamAdvice)
A+ – Thomas Satoransky (Rotowire)
A+ – Cody Zeller (FantasyPros)
A+ – Marvin Williams (FantasyPros)
A+ – Zaza Pachulia (FantasyPros)
A+ – Markieff Morris (FantasyGuruElite)
Overall Leaderboard
Things were a bit wacky last week. And by wacky, I mean crappy. All our experts in the top-5 saw their scores dip and there are some outside the top-5 that are poised to make a run. FTA retook the lead that they relinquished the previous week. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 4.91) hopped up three spots to take over the lead. They did this despite dropping .01 in score for the week.
#2) RotoGrinders Consensus (Score: 4.79) saw a big drop in score over the week; however, they still maintain the #2 slot.
#3A) Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (Score: 4.76) sits right on the heels of the RG Consensus. Brad also saw his score take a hit but not nearly as big as other experts which was enough to move him into the top-3.
#3B) FantasyLabs (Score: 4.76) also had a big tumble. They saw their scored drop off .19 and slipped into a 3rd place tie.
#5) RotoGrinders 6-Pack (Score: 4.67) took the biggest hit among the top-5. Beer’s score dropped .33 but he still stakes claim to a top-5 spot.
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus picks (Score: 4.55) took a dip of .16 for the week. The Consensus stayed in 6th place but has some competition nipping at its heels.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 15 | N/A | 53.30% | N/A | N/A |
| 14 | 51.50% | 67.27% | 59.70% | N/A |
| 13 | 47.54% | 22.70% | N/A | 85.15% |
| 12 | 40.66% | 35.50% | 58.20% | 79.45% |
| 11 | 29.39% | 38.81% | 42.08% | 46.50% |
| 10 | 26.20% | 28.47% | 32.64% | 57.33% |
| 9 | 24.07% | 20.73% | 38.25% | 59.12% |
| 8 | 17.72% | 19.11% | 21.46% | 29.70% |
| 7 | 12.74% | 13.21% | 12.82% | 29.99% |
| 6 | 13.08% | 11.77% | 18.58% | 23.35% |
| 5 | 11.02% | 7.42% | 12.86% | 19.71% |
| 4 | 2.37% | 5.62% | 9.00% | 13.95% |
| 3 | 3.36% | 4.81% | 5.56% | 8.76% |
| 2 | 0.00% | 2.94% | 3.62% | 5.49% |
| 1 | 0.63% | 1.80% | 2.14% | 2.24% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 15 | N/A | 39.80% | N/A | N/A |
| 14 | 39.50% | 41.03% | 41.25% | N/A |
| 13 | 31.56% | 19.60% | N/A | 52.38% |
| 12 | 28.06% | 24.97% | 34.00% | 41.85% |
| 11 | 25.16% | 27.12% | 29.10% | 31.58% |
| 10 | 21.16% | 22.12% | 22.58% | 34.20% |
| 9 | 21.92% | 18.75% | 26.39% | 30.40% |
| 8 | 16.37% | 18.69% | 20.73% | 19.35% |
| 7 | 11.10% | 13.73% | 13.20% | 19.59% |
| 6 | 13.53% | 10.22% | 15.87% | 15.01% |
| 5 | 10.42% | 8.85% | 12.13% | 14.58% |
| 4 | 5.56% | 6.92% | 10.21% | 10.98% |
| 3 | 5.33% | 6.58% | 8.21% | 7.50% |
| 2 | 1.00% | 4.66% | 5.79% | 5.56% |
| 1 | 2.38% | 3.95% | 4.03% | 2.89% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
