Another week down and some more shuffling in our standings. Beer continues to hold the lead due to not making any picks last week. It was a good week to sit out as virtually every expert we grade took a step in the wrong direction. Those experts inside that top-5 have begun to create some separation between themselves and the remainder of the pack.
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
Tuesday (November 7th)
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks started the week with a 7th place finish out of 20 experts graded with a DailyOverlay score of 4.50.
A+ – Giannis Antetokounmpo, Anthony Davis, Nikola Jokic, DeMarcus Cousins, LeBron James, Khris Middleton, Ben Simmons
F – Marcin Gortat
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RotoGrinders Grind Down (Score: 5.58) scored an “A” or better with fourteen of their 24 plays including ten “A+” grades!
#2) Rotowire (Score: 5.56) hauled in four “A+” scores with their nine plays on Tuesday.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Rotowire (5.85 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Lance Stephenson (FantasyPros)
A+ – Mirza Teletovic (DailyFantasyNerd)
Wednesday (November 8th)
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks had a decent score but rough position in finishing in 14th place out of 19 experts with a DO score of 5.08.
A+ – Goran Dragic, Andre Drummond, Stephen Curry, Hassan Whiteside, Marcus Morris, Evan Fournier, Nikola Vucevic, Klay Thompson, Devin Booker
F – Enes Kanter
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (Score: 7.90) demolished the competition on Wednesday. Seven of Brad’s ten play scored an “A+” grade and the other three scored “B” grades.
#2) DK Playbook (Score: 5.88) scored an “A” or better on nine of their 16 selections including seven “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (5.62 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Justise Winslow (DailyFantasySportsRankings)
A+ – Marquese Chriss (Sportsline)
A+ – Aron Baynes (Fantasy Alarm)
Thursday (November 9th)
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks had another down day in the standings with a 13th place finish out of 18 experts graded with a 4.04 DailyOverlay score.
A+ – James Harden, John Wall, Robert Covington, DeMar DeRozan, Jerami Grant
F – Brandon Ingram
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RotoGrinders Lineup Builder (Score: 5.25) scored an “A” or better on five of their eight total plays including two “A+” scores from Harden and Grant.
#2) Sportsline (Score: 5.00) made it a clean sweep in the top-2 for the optimizers on Thursday. Five of their eight plays scored “A” or better including “A+’s” from Harden and Wall.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyNerd (6.26 DKPts/$1000) – another optimizer
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Emmanuel Mudiay (DailyRoto)
A+ – Jeff Green (DailyRoto)
A+ – Jrue Holiday (FantasyPros)
Friday (November 10th)
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus capped the week with a 5th place out of 19 experts graded with a 3.92 DailyOverlay.
A+ – Andre Drummond, Lou Williams, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Alex Len, Paul George, LaMarcus Aldridge
F – Devin Booker, Elfrid Payton, Wesley Johnson
Top Experts of the Day
#1) DailyFantasyNerd (Score: 5.25) scored “A” or better with five of their eight plays including “A+” scores from Kemba Walker, Antetokounmpo and Paul George.
#2) RotoGrinders Consensus (Score: 4.95) scored an “A” or better with nine of their 20 plays to end the week.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyNerd (5.84 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Josh Jackson (FantasyPros)
A+ – Terry Rozier (DK Playbook)
Overall Leaderboard
Basically everyone took a step in the wrong direction last week. Our top-5 have put some distance between themselves and the rest of the expert clan though. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) RotoGrinders 6-Pack (Score: 6.00) held steady at 6.0 and in 1st place due to not making any picks last week.
#2) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 5.45) saw a pretty sizable dip in score but managed to hang on to the 2nd place spot.
#3) RotoGrinders Consensus (Score: 5.20) broke out of the 3rd place tie by only seeing their score drop .10 for the week.
#4) Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (Score: 5.11) also saw a dip of .10 in score for the week but climbs up into the #4 slot in our top-5.
#5) FantasyLabs (Score: 5.02) took a pretty large step back of .28 but maintains a comfortable advantage over the other experts outside our top-5.
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus picks (Score: 4.82) continued to provide solid, solid value to those that are reading on a daily basis and maintains the spot in 6th place. More reason to read our NBA Expert Consensus!!!
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 15 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14 | 51.50% | 65.10% | 49.47% | N/A |
| 13 | 46.10% | 22.70% | N/A | 84.70% |
| 12 | 44.97% | 28.60% | 3.10% | 79.45% |
| 11 | 32.49% | 44.67% | 35.97% | 49.10% |
| 10 | 15.57% | 29.05% | 19.12% | 49.15% |
| 9 | 25.63% | 19.12% | 37.90% | 77.95% |
| 8 | 17.11% | 20.05% | 19.06% | 23.67% |
| 7 | 13.10% | 14.42% | 13.76% | 27.07% |
| 6 | 9.61% | 13.64% | 17.92% | 21.99% |
| 5 | 3.93% | 7.81% | 13.29% | 18.16% |
| 4 | 0.87% | 5.78% | 10.74% | 14.23% |
| 3 | 3.16% | 5.85% | 5.76% | 9.17% |
| 2 | #DIV/0! | 2.19% | 3.44% | 5.83% |
| 1 | 0.40% | 2.43% | 2.61% | 2.49% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 15 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14 | 39.50% | 49.60% | 35.93% | N/A |
| 13 | 29.73% | 19.60% | N/A | 50.40% |
| 12 | 25.43% | 19.60% | 12.30% | 41.85% |
| 11 | 27.61% | 28.50% | 28.70% | 32.10% |
| 10 | 15.03% | 22.16% | 17.90% | 26.35% |
| 9 | 22.70% | 19.07% | 29.02% | 40.40% |
| 8 | 16.42% | 19.44% | 19.47% | 18.23% |
| 7 | 12.65% | 14.32% | 12.44% | 18.70% |
| 6 | 12.64% | 10.58% | 16.38% | 14.36% |
| 5 | 6.79% | 9.03% | 12.26% | 13.88% |
| 4 | 4.10% | 7.28% | 10.69% | 11.04% |
| 3 | 4.87% | 7.15% | 8.55% | 7.55% |
| 2 | #DIV/0! | 3.87% | 5.74% | 5.74% |
| 1 | 2.00% | 4.45% | 4.42% | 2.98% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
