We’re now in full swing this NBA season. We’ve begun to separate the wheat from the chaff but there is still a TON of time to make moves. With that said, ALL of our experts currently sit with an overall DO score above the 4.0 threshold which is mighty impressive. It’s becoming obvious that our subtle change to the Consensus is making a difference, too. We began the season putting all players with a Weighted Consensus score over 6.0 in that day’s Consensus article. After some conversation (and extremely long Consensus lists using that threshold), we decided to bump it up to 10.0. Boy has it made a difference! Our daily NBA Expert Consensus, which we write on any day that has 4 or more NBA games, made a significant leap up the standings this past week. So…if you aren’t already using our Consensus to help construct your lineups daily, you probably should start giving it a look!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
Monday (October 30th)
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks started the week with a 12th place finish out of 21 experts graded with a DailyOverlay score of 3.92.
A+ – Anthony Davis, James Harden, Karl-Anthony Towns, Johnathon Simmons
F – LaMarcus Aldridge
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RotoGrinders 6-Pack (Score: 5.17) scored an “A” or better with half of his six plays including “A+” grades from Johnathon Simmons and Anthony Davis.
#2) DailyFantasyNerd (Score: 5.13) also scored an “A” or better with half of their eight plays including three “A+” grades from Davis, Bam Adebayo and Rudy Gobert.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Rotoballer (5.83 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Dion Waiters (DailyRoto)
A+ – Jeff Teague (RotoGrinders Consensus)
Tuesday (October 31st)
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks performed well finishing in 7th place out of 17 experts with a DO score of 4.50.
A+ – Devin Booker, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, D’Angelo Russell, TJ Warren, Reggie Jackson
F – Darren Collison, Avery Bradley
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RotoGrinders NBA Grind Down (Score: 5.93) topped the leaderboard by scoring an “A” or better with eight of their 15 plays including seven “A+” scores. Grind Down was the lone expert to suggest Mike James and his “A+” grade.
#2) FantasyCPR (Score: 5.28) scored an “A” or better on half of their 18 selections including seven “A+” grades. FantasyCPR was the only expert site to recommend Brandon Ingram and his “A+” grade.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
RotoGrinders NBA Grind Down (5.04 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Mike James (RotoGrinders NBA Grind Down)
A+ – Brandon Ingram (FantasyCPR)
A+ – Kyle Kuzma (Rotoballer)
A+ – Ish Smith (FantasyPros)
A+ – Julius Randle (FantasyGuruElite)
Wednesday (November 1st)
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks had an outstanding 3rd place finish out of 21 experts graded with a 5.18 DailyOverlay score.
A+ – LeBron James, Ben Simmons, Anthony Davis, James Harden, Joel Embiid, Bradley Beal, DeMarcus Cousins, Tyreke Evans, TJ Warren
F – Jarrett Jack, Mike Muscala, Jonas Valanciunas
Top Experts of the Day
#1) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 6.55) scored an “A” or better on eight of their 11 plays for the day including six “A+” scores!
#2) Daily Overlay – Value Index (Score: 6.00) scored an “A+” with half of his four plays for Wednesday to find the top-2. Stephen truly provided the “Value Index” as you’ll see below.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Daily Overlay – Value Index (7.08 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Khris Middleton (FantasyCPR)
Friday (November 3rd)
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus had another 3rd place out of 18 experts graded with a 5.59 DailyOverlay score to end the week.
A+ – Kyle Kuzma, LeBron James, DeMarcus Cousins, Ben Simmons, Kristaps Porzingis, Brook Lopez, James Harden, Anthony Davis, Andre Drummond
F – TJ Warren
Top Experts of the Day
#1) FantasyLabs (Score: 6.50) nailed an “A” or better with 12 of their 18 plays including nine “A+” grades. They were the lone expert site to recommend Donovan Mitchell and his “A+” grade.
#2) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 6.36) scored an “A” or better with seven of the 11 Friday plays including five “A+” scores.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
FantasyTeamAdvice (6.29 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – JJ Redick (DailyRoto)
A+ – Malcolm Brogdon (FantasyPros)
A+ – Patty Mills (FantasyPros)
A+ – Jae Crowder (FantasyPros)
A+ – Donovan Mitchell (FantasyLabs)
Overall Leaderboard
We are now through several weeks of the NBA season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) RotoGrinders 6-Pack (Score: 6.00) maintains his grasp ahold the top spot. He saw his score dip quite a bit but still has the lead.
#2) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 5.79) stayed basically flat for the week with a slight .01 drop in score. Thanks to Beer’s big drop, FTA sits well within striking distance of the lead.
#3A) RotoGrinders Consensus (Score: 5.30) climbs up into the top-3 for the season (well, a tie at least). The RG Consensus lost some ground points-wise but gained it in the standings.
#3B) FantasyLabs (Score: 5.30) also saw their score take a dive but their position in the standings move up.
#5) Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (Score: 5.21) fell back a couple of spots but still has a comfortable edge over the nearest expert outside the top-5.
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus picks (Score: 4.95) continued the hot start to the season and now sits in 6th place. More reason to read our NBA Expert Consensus!!!
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 15 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14 | 51.50% | 65.10% | 47.15% | N/A |
| 13 | 25.80% | 22.70% | N/A | 84.70% |
| 12 | 32.75% | 38.40% | 3.10% | 79.45% |
| 11 | 35.80% | 44.25% | 35.97% | 33.60% |
| 10 | 19.85% | 32.58% | 13.75% | 49.15% |
| 9 | 22.30% | 16.02% | 35.37% | 77.95% |
| 8 | 19.42% | 19.60% | 20.81% | 11.37% |
| 7 | 13.97% | 13.68% | 13.82% | 24.90% |
| 6 | 11.07% | 13.94% | 17.43% | 19.18% |
| 5 | 3.13% | 7.70% | 13.45% | 17.97% |
| 4 | 0.87% | 6.33% | 9.14% | 14.23% |
| 3 | 3.16% | 6.15% | 6.13% | 6.66% |
| 2 | #DIV/0! | 2.44% | 3.81% | 6.00% |
| 1 | 0.40% | 2.67% | 2.82% | 2.53% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 15 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14 | 39.50% | 49.60% | 35.25% | N/A |
| 13 | 16.80% | 19.60% | N/A | 50.40% |
| 12 | 23.15% | 19.10% | 12.30% | 41.85% |
| 11 | 28.82% | 28.48% | 28.70% | 25.80% |
| 10 | 18.30% | 22.26% | 12.25% | 26.35% |
| 9 | 19.94% | 20.42% | 29.33% | 40.40% |
| 8 | 16.59% | 18.94% | 20.24% | 8.33% |
| 7 | 12.33% | 13.71% | 11.24% | 17.35% |
| 6 | 13.15% | 10.37% | 16.17% | 13.85% |
| 5 | 6.48% | 9.02% | 12.27% | 12.29% |
| 4 | 4.10% | 7.56% | 9.38% | 11.04% |
| 3 | 4.87% | 7.19% | 8.72% | 6.25% |
| 2 | #DIV/0! | 4.20% | 6.07% | 5.53% |
| 1 | 2.00% | 4.69% | 4.49% | 2.93% |
