With the short week before the break, I decided to hold off and produce one recap that stretched over two weeks. What changed? Not much as the RotoGrinders Core Plays remain the pace setter and it looks like, barring a complete collapse, they’ll take home the title as our top NBA expert. As I’ve said before, the Core Plays are a great place to begin your lineup construction. Our Daily Overlay Consensus continues to have a strong season, too. That’s probably a solid spot to hunt value plays or polish off your lineup on a nightly basis. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
Monday (February 4th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 4.39 (12th of 21)
Total Plays – 31
A+ – Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kenrich Williams, Jahlil Okafor, Marvin Bagley III, James Harden, Jrue Holiday, Tomas Satoransky, Andre Drummond
F – No Consensus players received a failing grade.
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RG Core Plays (Score: 7.67) scored two “A+” grades and one “B” with their three plays.
#2) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 6.60) scored “B” or better with all five plays including two “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
RG Core Plays (6.09 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Iman Shumpert (DailyRoto)
A+ – Davis Bertans (DailyRoto)
A+ – Cheick Diallo (Scout)
Tuesday (February 5th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 5.75 (T-12th of 20)
Total Plays – 20
A+ – Joel Embiid, Russell Westbrook, Paul George, Aaron Gordon, Andre Drummond, Jayson Tatum, Alec Burks, Dennis Smith Jr, Terrence Ross
F – Fred VanVleet
Top Experts of the Day
#1) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 7.60) had another day of all “B” or better grades but scored three “A+” grades this time.
#2) DailyFantasyNerd (Score: 7.43) scored an “A+” grade with five of their seven plays for the day.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyNerd (6.20 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Jeremy Lamb (DailyRoto)
A+ – Luol Deng (DailyRoto)
A+ – Thaddeus Young (DailyRoto)
A+ – Tobias Harris (RG Consensus)
A+ – CJ McCollum (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Hassan Whiteside (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Dwyane Wade (FantasyCPR)
A+ – Reggie Bullock (FantasyCPR)
A+ – Tyreke Evans (Rotowire)
A+ – Wesley Matthews (FantasyPros)
Wednesday (February 6th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 5.05 (T-8th of 21)
Total Plays – 21
A+ – James Harden, Zach LaVine, Nikola Jokic, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Lauri Markkanen, Jakob Poeltl, Josh Jackson, Luka Doncic
F – Marco Belinelli, Willie Cauley-Stein, Jahlil Okafor
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RG Core Plays (Score: 10.00) scored an “A+” grade with both of their plays for the day.
#2) Rotowire (Score: 7.33) scored an “A+” with six of their nine plays on Wednesday.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
RG Core Plays (7.83 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Dwight Powell (Sportsline)
A+ – Traveon Graham (Scout)
A+ – Royce O’Neale (Scout)
A+ – Klay Thompson (Rotowire)
A+ – Thomas Bryant (FantasyPros)
Thursday (February 7th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 4.92 (4th of 19)
Total Plays – 26
A+ – Karl-Anthony Towns, Russell Westbrook, Andrew Wiggins, Bojan Bogdanovic, Terrence Ross, Jayson Tatum, LeBron James, Fred VanVleet, Pascal Siakam
F – Jerryd Bayless, Lou Williams
Top Experts of the Day
#1) DailyFantasySportsRankings (Score: 5.50) topped all experts by scoring six “A+” grades with their 14 plays.
#2) Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (Score: 5.27) cracked the top-2 on Thursday. Five of Brad’s 11 plays scored an “A” or better with four “A+” scores.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (6.27 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Cory Joseph (FantasyCPR)
A+ – Daniel Theis (FantasyCPR)
Friday (February 8th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 5.85 (5th of 21)
Total Plays – 27
A+ – Twelve of the 27 plays scored an “A+” grade.
F – Tyler Johnson, Ben Simmons
Top Experts of the Day
#1A-C) DailyFantasySportsRankings, Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet, DFS Army (Score: 7.00) all had nice days to tie atop the expert list.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DFS Army (6.71 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – JJ Redick (DailyRoto)
A+ – Jamal Murray (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Jabari Parker (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Bobby Portis (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Klay Thompson (FantasyPros)
A+ – Joe Harris (FantasyPros)
Monday (February 11th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 5.27 (7th of 22)
Total Plays – 26
A+ – Ten of the 26 plays scored an “A+” grade.
F – Jabari Parker, Ivica Zubac, Steven Adams, Chasson Randle
Top Experts of the Day
#1) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 8.60) scored four “A+” grades and one “B” grade with their five plays to start the week.
#2) FantasyCPR (Score: 6.25) scored “A” or better with nine of their 12 selections including six “A+” grades. They were the lone expert site to recommend Joe Harris and Landry Shamet who both scored “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
FantasyTeamAdvice (5.93 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Trevor Ariza (Sportsline)
A+ – Joe Harris (FantasyCPR)
A+ – Landry Shamet (FantasyCPR)
A+ – Jeff Teague (FantasyPros)
Tuesday (February 5th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 2.94 (14th of 22)
Total Plays – 32
A+ – Trae Young, LeBron James, Reggie Bullock, Nikola Vucevic
F – JaVale McGee, Jaylen Brown, Kenrich Williams, Jaren Jackson Jr, Anthony Davis, Terry Rozier, Kevin Huerter
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RG Core Plays (Score: 10.00) was the only expert that did worth a flip on Tuesday. They scored “A+” grades with both of their plays.
#2) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 4.27) scored “A” or better with six of their 15 plays including four “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
RG Core Plays (7.75 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Isaiah Briscoe (DailyRoto)
Wednesday (February 13th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 4.18 (4th of 22)
Total Plays – 39
A+ – Nikola Jokic, James Harden, Otto Porter Jr, Giannis Antetokounmpo, D’Angelo Russell, Jeff Teague, Marquese Chriss
F – Jamal Murray, Marvin Bagley III
Top Experts of the Day
#1) FantasyLabs (Score: 5.40) scored an “A” or better with six of their 10 plays including three “A+” scores.
#2) RG Lineup Builder (Score: 4.63) scored “A” or better with half of their eight plays to cap the final day pre-All Star Break.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
FantasyLabs (6.17 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Paul Millsap (Sportsline)
Overall Leaderboard
RG Core Plays continues to run away with things! You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) RG Core Plays (Score: 6.12) completes the first half of the season in 1st place which is where they’ve been ever since we began grading them.
#2) FantasyLabs (Score: 5.56) continues to hold down 2nd place but is running out of time to make a run for the top spot.
#3) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 5.53) continues to stay hot on the heels of FantasyLabs for the #2 slot.
#4) RG Consensus (Score: 5.28) stayed steady at the #4 spot leading into the break.
#5) DailyFantasyNerd (Score: 5.22) saw their score dip quite a bit but is still clinging to the final top-5 spot.
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus picks (Score: 5.03) fell .04 in score for the weeks. The Consensus remains in 9th place for the season.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
17 | 57.60% | N/A | 79.90% | N/A |
16 | 70.30% | N/A | N/A | 79.25% |
15 | 75.40% | 76.40% | 64.65% | 49.20% |
14 | 64.10% | 64.60% | 52.70% | 70.74% |
13 | 41.59% | 46.74% | 51.80% | 74.53% |
12 | 39.92% | 37.83% | 48.69% | 61.80% |
11 | 35.27% | 36.29% | 42.74% | 46.34% |
10 | 24.90% | 31.52% | 36.78% | 41.42% |
9 | 14.76% | 19.42% | 28.75% | 43.74% |
8 | 13.38% | 19.94% | 25.77% | 35.31% |
7 | 10.78% | 17.11% | 20.25% | 29.65% |
6 | 9.19% | 14.76% | 15.40% | 23.11% |
5 | 6.58% | 8.12% | 11.22% | 14.77% |
4 | 4.39% | 6.09% | 8.11% | 13.13% |
3 | 3.43% | 4.89% | 4.97% | 7.21% |
2 | 1.73% | 2.63% | 3.61% | 4.56% |
1 | 1.84% | 1.72% | 2.21% | 1.79% |
GPP
Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
17 | 39.80% | N/A | 50.85% | N/A |
16 | 45.33% | N/A | N/A | 54.88% |
15 | 47.90% | 47.10% | 38.70% | 32.03% |
14 | 43.51% | 40.30% | 37.70% | 49.57% |
13 | 29.28% | 34.80% | 36.10% | 47.97% |
12 | 27.98% | 30.87% | 33.62% | 41.20% |
11 | 26.30% | 27.58% | 31.29% | 33.23% |
10 | 20.77% | 23.17% | 25.66% | 26.27% |
9 | 15.65% | 18.97% | 23.25% | 29.87% |
8 | 14.99% | 17.95% | 21.91% | 25.12% |
7 | 12.89% | 15.54% | 17.29% | 21.53% |
6 | 10.68% | 13.65% | 15.10% | 16.88% |
5 | 9.59% | 9.42% | 11.70% | 12.18% |
4 | 7.78% | 7.95% | 9.12% | 10.28% |
3 | 6.16% | 6.82% | 7.14% | 7.39% |
2 | 5.21% | 4.52% | 5.29% | 4.66% |
1 | 3.22% | 3.19% | 3.73% | 2.43% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.