Here we are kicking off another season of NBA action here at Daily Overlay. This recap will be our first of many this season and, similar to our other recaps, will contain daily breakdowns, season long breakdowns and our ownership percentage info. As we get further into the season, we may look to add some additional pieces to this and your feedback is always welcome in the comments.
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
Wednesday (October 18th)
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks started the week with a 15th place finish out of 20 experts graded with a DailyOverlay score of 6.04.
A+ – Jaylen Brown, Damian Lillard, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jayson Tatum, Ben Simmons, Hassan Whiteside, D’Angelo Russell, James Harden, Myles Turner, Victor Oladipo, Marcus Smart, LaMarcus Aldridge, John Wall, James Johnson, Darren Collison, Al Horford, Bradley Beal, DeMarcus Cousins, Nikola Vucevic, Clint Capela, Anthony Davis, Kyle Anderson, Thaddeus Young, Dejounte Murray
F – Marquese Chriss, Rodney Hood, Jason Smith, Trevor Ariza
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RotoGrinders 6-Pack (Score: 9.17) almost came up with a perfect score to open the year. Beer got “A+” scores from Collison, Russell, Giannis, Whiteside and Lillard. His lone non-perfect score was an “A” grade from Taurean Prince.
#2) Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (Score: 8.70) got off to a hot start for the home team. Brad scored an “A” or better on nine of his ten plays including eight “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
RotoGrinders 6-Pack (6.29 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – JJ Barea (RotoGrinders Lineup Builder)
A+ – Eric Gordon (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Reggie Jackson (FantasyPros)
A+ – Trevor Booker (FantasyGuruElite)
A+ – Shabazz Napier (FantasyPros)
Friday (October 20th)
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks performed very well finishing in 6th place with a DO score of 4.74.
A+ – Twelve of the 29 plays scored an “A+” grade.
F – Elfrid Payton, Jusuf Nurkic
Top Experts of the Day
#1) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 6.56) scored an “A+” with over half of their nine plays. FTA also had no failing grades which boosted their score.
#2) RotoGrinders Consensus (Score: 5.40) found the top-2 as half of their 20 plays scored an “A” or better including seven “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
FantasyTeamAdvice (5.73 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Garrett Temple (DailyRoto)
A+ – George Hill (Sportsline)
A+ – Lonzo Ball (Daily Overlay – Value Index)
A+ – Klay Thompson (FantasyLabs)
A+ – Reggie Jackson (FantasyGuruElite)
Monday (October 23rd)
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks finished with a 14th place finish out of 21 experts graded with a 5.80 DailyOverlay score.
A+ – Twenty-three of the 51 total Consensus plays scored an “A+” grade.
F – Dillon Brooks, Wilson Chandler, Stanley Johnson
Top Experts of the Day
#1) DailyFantasyNerd (Score: 9.00) topped the list to start last week with an outstanding Optimizer lineup. Six of their seven plays scored an “A+” grade with the lone outlier being a solid “B” score.
#2) Rotoballer (Score: 7.80) scored a “B” or better with all ten of their selections including six “A+” scores on Monday.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyNerd (5.96 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Taurean Prince (RotoGrinders 6-Pack)
A+ – Matthew Dellavedova (RotoGrinders Consensus)
A+ – Tyson Chandler (Scout Fantasy)
A+ – Marquese Chriss (FantasyPros)
Tuesday (October 24th)
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus had a solid Tuesday coming in 7th place out of 19 experts graded with a 3.80 DailyOverlay score.
A+ – Seven of the 30 plays scored an “A+” grade.
F – Seven of the 30 plays scored a failing grade.
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Sportsline (Score: 4.71) scored an “A” or better with three of their seven plays to claim the top spot on the first down day for the experts. Sportsline was the lone expert site to play Jeff Green and his “A+” score.
#2A) Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (Score: 4.56) finds the top-2 for the good guys. Brad sprinkled a little bit of everything in on Tuesday but his three “A’s” and two “A+’s” helped secure his spot.
#2B) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 4.56) scored an “A” or better with four of nine plays including three “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
RotoGrinders Lineup Builder (5.91 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Jeff Green (Sportsline)
Wednesday (October 25th)
Industry Consensus Picks
On Wednesday, the Industry Consensus came in 14th place out of 21 experts graded with a score of 4.43.
A+ – Eleven of the 42 plays scored an “A+” grade.
F – Paul George, Dejounte Murray
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (Score: 6.40) had another fantastic day on Wednesday. Seven of Brad’s ten plays finished with grades of “A” or better including five “A+” grades. Brad was the lone expert to play Jeff Green and his “A+” grade.
#2) RotoGrinders 6-Pack (Score: 5.83) had a nice haul on Wednesday as half of his six plays scored an “A+” grade.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (5.48 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Tyler Johnson (DailyFantasySportsRankings)
A+ – Brandon Ingram (DailyFantasySportsRankings)
A+ – Carmelo Anthony (Sportsline)
A+ – Jeff Green (Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet)
A+ – Ish Smith (FantasyPros)
A+ – Mason Plumlee (FantasyPros)
A+ – DeMarre Carroll (DK Playbook)
A+ – Danny Green (DK Playbook)
Thursday (October 26th)
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus came in 7th place out of 17 experts graded with a score of 4.97.
A+ – Nine of the 31 plays scored an “A+” grade.
F – Taurean Prince
Top Experts of the Day
#1) FantasyPros (Score: 6.47) put together a nice Thursday with ten of their 19 plays scoring an “A+” grade. FP was the lone expert site to play Jameer Nelson, Jarell Martin and Kosta Koufos, all of whom scored “A+” grades.
#2) FantasyGuruElite (Score: 5.92) hit an “A” or better with seven of their 12 plays for the day.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Rotowire (5.50 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Al-Farouq Aminu (RotoGrinders NBA Grind Down)
A+ – Robin Lopez (Rotowire)
A+ – Mike Muscala (Rotowire)
A+ – Jameer Nelson (FantasyPros)
A+ – Jarell Martin (FantasyPros)
A+ – Kosta Koufos (FantasyPros)
Friday (October 27th)
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus ended the week nicely at tied for 7th place out of 21 experts graded with a score of 4.38.
A+ – Nine of the 34 plays scored an “A+” grade.
F – Five of the 34 selections finished with a failing grade.
Top Experts of the Day
#1) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 6.09) ended the week with a bang by scoring an “A” or better with eight of their 11 plays including five “A+” grades.
#2) FantasyLabs (Score: 5.77) found the top-2 to close out the week. They scored an “A” or better with eight of 13 plays including six perfect scores.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
RotoGrinders Consensus (5.73 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – PJ Tucker (DailyRoto)
A+ – Kelly Oubre, Jr. (RotoGrinders Consensus)
A+ – Otto Porter (FantasyCPR)
A+ – Julius Randle (Scout Fantasy)
A+ – Mason Plumlee (FantasyPros)
Overall Leaderboard
We are now through of the NBA season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) RotoGrinders 6-Pack (Score: 7.28) started the NBA season off with a bang. We’ll get his 6-pack a couple of times a week until football is over.
#2) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 5.80) heads up a trio of experts that are closely vying for the #2 slot after 2 weeks.
#3) Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (Score: 5.71) sits in 3rd place in our first recap. Brad will look to continue the momentum. Be sure to check his Hot Sheets right here at Daily Overlay.
#4) RotoGrinders Consensus (Score: 5.65) sits in the 4th spot after a solid showing these first two weeks.
#5) FantasyLabs (Score: 5.47) snags the final spot in the top-5 through two weeks.
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus picks (Score: 5.00) has started off the season nicely and sit in 11th place currently.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 15 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14 | 51.50% | N/A | 47.15% | N/A |
| 13 | 25.80% | 22.70% | N/A | N/A |
| 12 | N/A | N/A | 3.10% | 79.45% |
| 11 | 50.93% | 45.73% | 21.40% | N/A |
| 10 | 19.85% | 42.35% | 13.75% | N/A |
| 9 | 18.40% | 16.38% | 31.45% | 81.20% |
| 8 | 30.55% | 15.68% | 19.59% | 8.95% |
| 7 | 13.97% | 15.11% | 13.82% | N/A |
| 6 | 12.06% | 11.96% | 11.11% | 14.61% |
| 5 | 2.93% | 7.64% | 15.18% | 22.18% |
| 4 | 1.10% | 5.67% | 8.07% | 14.23% |
| 3 | 1.98% | 6.07% | 6.87% | 7.82% |
| 2 | N/A | 2.87% | 3.45% | 6.32% |
| 1 | 0.40% | 2.52% | 2.07% | 2.43% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 15 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14 | 39.50% | #DIV/0! | 35.25% | N/A |
| 13 | 16.80% | 19.60% | N/A | N/A |
| 12 | N/A | N/A | 12.30% | 41.85% |
| 11 | 37.43% | 25.40% | 30.40% | N/A |
| 10 | 18.30% | 25.95% | 12.25% | N/A |
| 9 | 18.32% | 21.35% | 29.30% | 42.20% |
| 8 | 20.45% | 16.93% | 19.29% | 6.35% |
| 7 | 12.33% | 14.34% | 11.24% | N/A |
| 6 | 13.78% | 10.59% | 11.53% | 11.66% |
| 5 | 6.93% | 9.32% | 12.86% | 12.29% |
| 4 | 4.20% | 7.16% | 9.16% | 11.04% |
| 3 | 5.33% | 7.33% | 9.57% | 6.51% |
| 2 | N/A | 4.12% | 6.13% | 5.26% |
| 1 | 2.00% | 4.62% | 4.18% | 2.75% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Consensus and Weighted Consensus articles.
