More bad weather and divisional matchups this week create, possibly, the shortest list we’ve had this season for the Consensus. Outside of the Suggested plays at wide receiver, we are clean and concise. As always, don’t forget to check our NFL Expert Standings prior to finalizing that lineup this week.
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As a reminder, the number in the parenthesis is the number of experts that chose that player so you have more context regarding the gaps between players and the tiers.
Quarterbacks
Highly Touted
- Tyrod Taylor (8x) – 12% Cash / 10% GPP – The Browns. That’s the only reason he is the top picked QB in our Consensus. The Browns have allowed at least two TD passes in all but two games this year.
Recommended
- Matt Ryan (5x) – 5% / 6% – He’s the highest priced QB on DK as he faces a Niners defense that allows the 6th most DFS points to QBs. Has 6 TD passes and two picks in the last three games.
Suggested
- Derek Carr (4x) – 4% / 5% – Carr is dealing with an injured finger and coming off an atrocious performance in KC. He gets a chance to bounceback in a game that is one of the higher Vegas totals on the board.
- Carson Palmer (3x) – 3% / 4% – Palmer has not been anything like he was last season. Potential for a decent week though at home where he plays much better….and facing a Saints defense that has been vulnerable to the pass.
- Aaron Rodgers (3x) – 3% / 4% – Rodgers has not thrown a pick since week 10. In four games since, he has 10 TD passes and is averaging 24.17 DK points per game.
- Alex Smith (3x) – 3% / 4% – The Titans have allowed the 3rd most DFS points to QBs. With Maclin healthy again, Smith has a nice arsenal of options with Kelce, Hill and Maclin.
- Colin Kaepernick (3x) – 3% / 4% – The Falcons allow the most DFS points to QBs. After looking like he was back in full force, Kaep has struggles in back-to-back weeks.
Running Backs
Highly Touted
- Le’Veon Bell (8x) – 20% / 16% – Bell had the performance of the year last week with 54.8 DK points. Coming off that, I’d expect him to be fed the ball this week.
- Kenneth Farrow (7x) – 14% / 13% – Farrow will get the bulk of the carries in San Diego with Gordon out. He gained 55 yards on 16 carries after Gordon’s 1st quarter exit last week.
Recommended
- LeGarrette Blount (6x) – 9% / 10% – Blount has scored in back-to-back games. He’s a consistent performer who gets plenty of goalline looks.
- Kenneth Dixon (6x) – 9% / 10% – Has double-digit carries in two of the last three games. Found the endzone through the air last week.
- LeSean McCoy (5x) – 6% / 9% – Shady is in a great spot opposite a Browns defense that has allowed the 3rd most DFS points to RBs.
- Devonta Freeman (5x) – 6% / 9% – The Niners allow the most DFS points to RBs. Freeman is coming off a game in which he gained 6 yards on 6 carries in a blowout win.
Suggested
- David Johnson (4x) – 5% / 8% – A safe play every week. He’s the highest priced RB on the board and had scored 33+ DK points in three straight weeks prior to last Sunday.
- Ezekiel Elliott (4x) – 5% / 8% – Zeke got back above the 100-yard threshold last week though he failed to score. With as bad as Dak looked on Sunday night, I’d expect the Cowboys to ride Zeke hard this week.
- Latavius Murray (4x) – 5% / 8% – Coming off a game where he ran for 103 yards and a TD, he should see a lot of carries against a Chargers defense that allows the 7th most DFS points to RBs. Also, Carr’s finger might lead to more run calls.
- Tevin Coleman (4x) – 5% / 8% – Coleman scored on the ground and through the air last week. He, along with Freeman, should have plenty of running room against the sieve that is the Niners run defense.
Wide Receivers
Highly Touted
- JJ Nelson (7x) – 17% / 14% – Value play at $3,900 on DK. He scored rushing and receiving last week. With the Cards cutting Michael Floyd, that could open up additional opportunities for Nelson.
Recommended
- Sammy Watkins (6x) – 14% / 13% – He scored last week for the first time this season. Facing a bad Browns pass defense, I’m betting he scores again this week.
- Odell Beckham, Jr. (5x) – 10% / 11% – Caught 4 balls for 94 yards and a long TD last week. Has scored 19+ DK points in each of the last three weeks.
- Jordan Matthews (5x) – 10% / 11% – Has not scored since week 8. If Jimmy Smith is out, his value goes up.
Suggested
- Michael Crabtree (4x) – 7% / 8% – If Carr’s finger is really hurt, how much does it hurt Crabtree and Cooper’s value? Time will tell.
- Marqise Lee (4x) – 7% / 8% – He is now the #2 WR on the Jags without a question and could be pushing for the go-to guy. Caught 5 balls for 113 yards last week.
- Stefon Diggs (3x) – 5% / 7% – Has not scored since week 8. Caught 3 balls for 55 yards last week.
- Larry Fitzgerald (3x) – 5% / 7% – Fitgerald was not existent last week. Targeted 9 times but only caught 3 for 12 yards.
- Jordy Nelson (3x) – 5% / 7% – He and Rodgers are on the same page. Has caught 3 TD passes in the last two weeks.
- TY Hilton (3x) – 5% / 7% – Caught 9 balls on 13 targets with a TD last week. Has scored 20+ DK points in three of the last four games.
- Mike Evans (3x) – 5% / 7% – The Cowboys allow the 7th most DFS points to WRs. Evans has not found the endzone in four of the last five games.
- Dontrelle Inman (3x) – 5% / 7% – Inman’s price has skyrocketed in the last four weeks. He has caught a TD pass in each of the last three games.
- Mike Wallace (3x) – 5% / 7% – Wallace had the most WR targets on Monday night vs the Pats. Caught 5 balls for 52 yards.
- Davante Adams (3x) – 5% / 7% – Adams has received at least 6 targets in each of the last eight games.
- Taylor Gabriel (3x) – 5% / 7% – With Julio Jones out again this Sunday, expect Gabriel to be the go-to target for Matt Ryan.
- Emmanuel Sanders (3x) – 5% / 7% – Has scored in two of the last three games. Caught 11 balls for 100 yards and a TD last week.
- Antonio Brown (3x) – 5% / 7% – With Le’Veon Bell doing work, Brown wasn’t necessarily needed much last week.
- Demaryius Thomas (3x) – 5% / 7% – Caught 10 balls on 16 targets for 126 yards last week. Has received double-digit targets in seven of the last eight games.
- Tyrell Williams (3x) – 5% / 7% – After back-to-back weeks of double-digit targets, Williams has only received nine total targets in the last two weeks.
- Allen Robinson (3x) – 5% / 7% – Similar to what Stephen said in his Value Index, I know Bortles stinks but $4,400 is way too cheap for Robinson.
Tight Ends
Highly Touted
- No Players
Recommended
- Cameron Brate (6x) – 9% / 10% – The Cowboys allow the 7th most DFS points to TEs. Brate has scored 6 times this season.
- Jermaine Gresham (6x) – 9% / 10% – Gresham is minimum price and coming of three straight games in which he’s caught five passes in each.
Suggested
- Delanie Walker (4x) – 5% / 6% – Walker has scored in three of the last five games.
- Zach Ertz (3x) – 4% / 5% – Ertz has a combined 28 targets in the last two games. He has 24.2 and 22.9 DK points in those games.
Defense/Special Teams
Highly Touted
- No Teams
Recommended
- Buffalo Bills (6x) – 12% / 11% – Similar to Tyrod Taylor, the Bills are playing the Browns hence the reason they are selected so many times.
Suggested
- Green Bay Packers (3x) – 4% / 4% – The Pack get the Bears this week. They have scored double-digit DK points in two of the last three games.
- Minnesota Vikings (3x) – 4% / 4% – The Vikes still probably have the best defense in the league though their DFS output has not been stellar the last three games.
- Baltimore Ravens (3x) – 4% / 4% – Carson Wentz looks to be coming apart at the seams. The Ravens will look to take advantage of that.
Hope that you find the right combination to cash! Follow me on Twitter @mbutlerok.
