We keep on trucking with our daily Consensus article as we enter 2019. Things were pretty much the same as last week with one small change in our overall top-5. RotoGrinders maintains its hold on two of the top-5 spots including the top spot. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
Tuesday (December 25th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 4.77 (8th of 16)
Total Plays – 35
A+ – Eleven of the 35 plays scored an “A+” grade.
F – Klay Thompson, Gordon Hayward, Gerald Green
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RG Lineup Builder (Score: 6.25) topped the list of experts on Christmas Day with half of their eight plays scoring an “A+” grade.
#2A) DailyFantasyNerd (Score: 6.00) scored another big one for the optimizers as they also had half of their eight plays finish with an “A+” score.
#2B) DK Playbook (Score: 6.00) scored “A” or better with seven of their 10 plays including four “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DK Playbook (5.63 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Rajon Rondo (DailyRoto)
Wednesday (December 26th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 4.59 (12th of 20)
Total Plays – 37
A+ – Ten of the 37 picks scored an “A+” grade.
F – Jeff Green, Nikola Jokic
Top Experts of the Day
#1) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 6.70) scored “A” or better with seven of their 10 plays including five “A+” grades.
#2) Sportsline (Score: 6.38) had a nice evening with half of their eight plays scoring an “A+” grade. They were the lone expert site to recommend Collin Sexton and his “A+” score.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
FantasyTeamAdvice (5.70 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Torrey Craig (DailyFantasySportsRankings)
A+ – Jeremy Lamb (DailyRoto)
A+ – DJ Augustin (RG Grind Down)
A+ – JJ Barea (RG Grind Down)
A+ – Collin Sexton (Sportsline)
A+ – Tyler Johnson (FantasyCPR)
A+ – Marvin Williams (FantasyCPR)
A+ – Langston Galloway (Rotoballer)
A+ – Cory Joseph (FantasyPros)
A+ – Avery Bradley (FantasyPros)
A+ – Malik Beasley (FantasyGuruElite)
Thursday (December 27th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 7.32 (8th of 18)
Total Plays – 28
A+ – Eighteen of the 28 picks scored an “A+” grade!!
F – Ivica Zubac, Jayson Tatum
Top Experts of the Day
#1A) RG Core Plays (Score: 8.33) made three picks on Thursday and brought home two “A+” grades and one “A” score.
#1B) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 8.33) scored seven “A+” grades with their nine selections.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
RG Core Plays (7.14 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Klay Thompson (DailyRoto)
A+ – Kevon Looney (DailyRoto)
A+ – Andre Iguodala (FantasyCPR)
A+ – Danuel House Jr. (FantasyCPR)
A+ – DJ Wilson (Rotoballer)
A+ – Iman Shumpert (FantasyPros)
Friday (December 28th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 5.39 (7th of 19)
Total Plays – 28
A+ – Ten of the 28 plays scored an “A+” grade.
F – There were no Consensus plays that scored a failing grade.
Top Experts of the Day
#1) FantasyLabs (Score: 6.36) capped the week as the top expert on Friday for the 3rd week in a row. Six of their 11 plays scored an “A+” grade.
#2) Rotoballer (Score: 6.20) made five selections and scored two “A+” grades, an “A” and two “B” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Rotoballer (6.78 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – DeAndre’ Bembry (DailyRoto)
A+ – Mikal Bridges (Rotowire)
Overall Leaderboard
FantasyLabs continued their heater to place some distance between themselves and the rest of the competition. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) RG Core Plays (Score: 5.83) drop .05 in score but widened their gap on 1st place.
#2) FantasyLabs (Score: 5.58) saw a .12 dip in score and is now playing even more catch up.
#3) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 5.51) had a nice week and significantly closed the gap between themselves and the #2 spot.
#4) RG Consensus (Score: 5.31) flip-flopped again this week with DFS Army and hopped back to 4th place.
#5) DFS Army (Score: 5.27) bumped down to 5th but still has a nice lead over the 6th place expert.
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus picks (Score: 5.12) put together another solid week. The Consensus fell into 7th place though despite their score improving.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
17 | 57.60% | N/A | 86.90% | N/A |
16 | 53.30% | N/A | N/A | 84.87% |
15 | 70.95% | N/A | 69.00% | 0.00% |
14 | 51.52% | N/A | 72.50% | 63.10% |
13 | 25.78% | 61.80% | 44.70% | 57.00% |
12 | 27.46% | 48.50% | 52.88% | 64.12% |
11 | 34.50% | 42.11% | 44.18% | 54.90% |
10 | 25.13% | 33.15% | 37.00% | 42.58% |
9 | 18.19% | 25.16% | 27.11% | 45.33% |
8 | 12.05% | 18.51% | 27.99% | 32.74% |
7 | 10.69% | 18.84% | 22.66% | 30.39% |
6 | 10.58% | 15.67% | 18.57% | 22.60% |
5 | 6.95% | 9.06% | 12.06% | 11.93% |
4 | 5.04% | 6.13% | 9.22% | 12.80% |
3 | 2.11% | 5.09% | 5.62% | 6.73% |
2 | 1.83% | 2.94% | 3.50% | 4.15% |
1 | 1.63% | 1.79% | 2.53% | 1.74% |
GPP
Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
17 | 39.80% | N/A | 53.60% | N/A |
16 | 40.00% | N/A | N/A | 60.90% |
15 | 42.80% | N/A | 40.30% | 0.00% |
14 | 37.20% | N/A | 47.35% | 41.25% |
13 | 20.63% | 38.55% | 28.47% | 33.65% |
12 | 22.08% | 36.35% | 34.43% | 41.68% |
11 | 23.47% | 29.68% | 30.40% | 33.03% |
10 | 21.62% | 23.93% | 26.54% | 25.81% |
9 | 16.59% | 21.03% | 20.85% | 31.64% |
8 | 13.27% | 16.93% | 23.17% | 23.60% |
7 | 12.65% | 15.43% | 17.22% | 21.93% |
6 | 11.16% | 14.38% | 16.50% | 16.34% |
5 | 9.74% | 9.88% | 12.18% | 10.60% |
4 | 7.95% | 7.84% | 9.67% | 10.06% |
3 | 5.04% | 6.65% | 7.36% | 6.92% |
2 | 5.10% | 4.85% | 5.16% | 4.48% |
1 | 2.92% | 3.11% | 3.93% | 2.35% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.