The Showdown matchups haven’t provided much offense this season and Monday’s game between the Bears and Redskins doesn’t figure to provide many offensive fireworks either. So, I’d recommend giving into the trend and matchup and focusing primarily on using RBs and D/ST along with your top QB in Cash games and trying to get a […]
Welcome to the Week 3 NFL Handicapper Consensus! There are nine picks on the consensus Best Bets list for this week, including a selection that was recommended by 14 out of 15 handicappers that provided a bet for the game.
In this series, we will publish a consensus of Handicapper Picks against the spread and totals where we pay for the premium picks and take the time and effort to accumulate them, so you don’t have to. This week we pulled picks from 13 expert sites and 39 different handicappers to get our consensus betting selections. Picks make the Consensus list if they receive at least three more selection on one side than the other side. We will also be grading handicappers throughout the season.
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Free Play of the Week: Broncos/Packers Under 42.5
Here is the NFL Handicapper Consensus list for Week 3…
We have a short list of experts publishing picks for the Nascar race under the lights on Saturday but there is still solid weighted consensus rankings to use for your DFS lineups.
The Weighted Consensus for the Nascar uses each expert’s current DailyOverlay score to generate a Weighted Consensus ranking. To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score for players is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. This method gives the higher rated experts picks more weight when compiling the overall player rankings for the day. We will include all players that have a Rank Score over 5.0.
Here is the Nascar Weighted Consensus list for the Federated Auto Parts 400:
Week 3 in the NFL might be shaping up to be wild one. It seems like just about the right time for the things that we believe to be true after witnessing two weeks of football to get turned upside down. As such don’t get too comfortable in just blindly plugging in the chalky options, even in Cash games. The WR position also feels like wild card spot on Sunday’s slate, so consider going with your gut there more than any other position.
I have also started to incorporate some data from ProFootballFocus into my matchup analysis starting this week. Well, enough of my jibber-jabber, let’s get to the game-by-game analysis, top DFS plays, and Best Bets (went 4-0 last week).
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Note: DVOA referenced in this article stands for Defense-adjusted Value Over Average which is a metric from FootballOutsiders.com. Rankings for receivers by position (WR/TE) are based on grades from ProFootballFocus (PFF).
So, let’s get right to the numbers and analysis…
This edition of the Power 5 will focus on Saturday’s evening main slate on DraftKings.
This week’s slate of college football DFS features just 7 games, but there are some decent tournaments out there where you can get your fix and have a chance a decent wad of dough.
It’s pretty obvious on this slate what the chalk game will be. Texas and Oklahoma State, a Big 12 rivalry/showdown with a ridiculous 74 total, the highest of the slate by a mile.
Who we fit around this game will be important as these players also are the highest-priced of the slate. Texas has been destroyed through the air this season and Oklahoma State has one of the best wide receivers in the game on their side. Oklahoma State hasn’t played much of anyone and has shown weaknesses in their defense against the rush.
More on this game is to come for sure, that’s foreshadowing folks.
Good luck in Week 4!
D’Andre Swift – RB – Georgia – $8,200
Analysis: Notre Dame and Georgia looks like a great matchup on paper, but I think Georgia is going to manhandle the Irish. One way the Bulldogs can bulldoze their fellow ranked opponent is utilizing their run game with D’Andre Swift. The Irish are getting pummeled for 230.5 yards per game on the ground. Swift, despite limited action due to blowouts, is averaging a whopping 9.35 yards per carry and he can catch passes out of the backfield if necessary. The Bulldogs are two touchdown favorites at home, and once they are up comfortably, they can pad Swift’s stats and clean the clock.
Welcome to Week 4 of the college football regular season, and we are 1/4 of the way through the year already.
This week’s early slate has lots of stud options up top at QB and WR, so my preface here is that I will be alternating these top studs in and out of my lineups for this slate.
My quarterbacks this week will be Tua Tagovailoa, Joe Burrow and Kelly Bryant, and then whomever is starting for Louisville (Jawon Pass or Malik Cunningham).
Running backs I like are listed below.
Stud wide receivers I will have exposure to in and out of lineups will be Jerry Jeudy, Justin Jefferson and Terrance Marshall Jr.
So I say all of this because outside of the Louisville QBs, they are all the highest-priced at their positions and since there are so many of them that are in premier spots, I can’t possibly choose between them all and you don’t need my assistance to know they are stellar plays.
I want to provide you with options that you can use to build around those guys this week. And that’s where we will put our Power 5 focus. So good luck and don’t forget to check out the Power 5 for Saturday’s evening slate as well.
Quez Watkins – WR – Southern Miss – $4,800
Analysis: So I didn’t know much about Southern Miss prior to this slate because I haven’t needed a reason. But Quez Watkins is a guy I will be looking at this week. Yes, he faces Alabama, but here’s why I like him outside of his price. He just returned after missing the first two games and lit up Troy for 11 catches, 200+ yards and 2 scores. While his opposition was soft, the production is hard to ignore. And the game script here favors Watkins, even in a blowout. Not only should he see a full game action to help him continue getting in game shape, he should see the volume and targets. And at his price, even a mediocre game shouldn’t eat your lineups. It’s hard to stomach this thought, I know, but all it would take is one big play to pay off the salary at likely low ownership.
The PGA heads to Mississippi for the Sanderson Farms Championship this week. We have collected recommendations from over 20 PGA DFS analysts this week and have a strong list of golfers to consider for your Cash game and GPP lineups.
To calculate the Weighted Rank Score, each expert’s DailyOverlay score is weighted on a sliding scale from 1 to 5 with the top expert in the current standings being weighted with a five while the last place expert is weighted with a one. If you have ever wondered how to differentiate between two players who were both selected by the same number of experts, then this is the list you need. We will include all players that have a DailyOverlay Score over 7.0.
Be sure to sign up a FREE 7-day trial of our Premium Content to find out which high-priced Stud and Value options sit atop the expert’s list.
Here is the PGA Consensus list for the Sanderson Farms Championship:
If there was a showdown matchup to skip, this Thursday’s tilt between the Titans and Jaguars might be it. The game has a Vegas total under 40 as both teams struggle to typically struggle to score points and aren’t very fantasy-friendly. With that ringing endorsement, below you can find my plays for the “showdown” in […]
It is nice to have two weeks of NFL results to start to allow the DFS expert leaderboards to begin to take shape. In Week 2, DailyFantasySportsRankings led the way with a strong score, followed by Rotowire – Optimizer, and Sportsline.
On the overall leaderboard, DailyFantasySportsRankings use their Week 2 success to also catapult to the top of the heap in the early going. It might also be time to pay attention to our DailyOverlay Consensus GPP Picks at the WR position after a great Week 2, they lead all experts at that position this season.
To get the full article and access to the overall leaderboard and top experts by position for this season be sure to sign up for a FREE 7-day trial.
On to the Week 2 grades, class is in session!
The Industry Consensus Cash picks finished in the top third with a 12th place finish overall out of 34 experts graded.
QB (Score: 6.50 / Rank 10th out of 34) – Strong week at QB with two “A+” grades from Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson to go along with an “A” from Josh Allen
RB (Score: 2.00 / Rank 21st out of 34) – Only Austin Ekeler (“A”) performed well out of the three chalk RBs
WR (Score: 1.83 / Rank 16th out of 34) – The cash picks at WR were solid as all six listed scored double-digit points on DraftKings but only Cooper Kupp was able to produce an “A” grade
TE (Score: 4.00 / Rank 10th out of 34) – Solid week at TE with an “A+” from Travis Kelce and “B” grades from Darren Waller and Evan Engram
D/ST (Score: 4.25 / Rank 9th out of 25) – The cash game consensus had two of the top four D/ST listed this week including the high-scoring Patriots
The Industry Consensus GPP picks were solid with a 15th place finish overall out of 34 experts graded.
QB (Score: 4.50 / Rank 23rd out of 34) – Solid production with three of the top nine scores at QB including an “A+” from Dak Prescott and an “A” from Tom Brady
RB (Score: 3.33 / Rank 6th out of 34) – The GPP picks hit some home runs at RB with an “A+” from Dalvin Cook and Saquon Barkley
WR (Score: 3.57 / Rank 2nd out of 34) – The WR position GPP picks were very strong with an “A+” from Tyler Boyd, “A” from teammate John Ross, and solid scores from Larry Fitzgerald, Michael Thomas, and Mecole Hardman
TE (Score: 4.00 / Rank 10th out of 34) – The top TE scorer (Mark Andrews) was on the GPP list
D/ST (Score: 0.00 / Rank 21st out of 25) – Both D/ST listed on the GPP list were duds
Each week I will highlight a few of the top experts for the week. Here are the experts that deserve a “gold star” for Week 2 based on their cumulative grades for all players they touted this week.
#1) DailyFantasySportsRankings (Score: 4.93) had eight of their 14 picks receive a grade of “A” or higher including Lamar Jackson, Tyler Boyd, Mark Andrews, and the Patriots D/ST
#2) Rotowire – Optimizer (Score: 4.22) posted six grades of “B” or better out of their nine picks which included Patrick Mahomes, Austin Ekeler, and Travis Kelce
#3) Sportsline (Score: 3.89) produced six grades of “B” or higher from their nine selections including players such as Patrick Mahomes, Austin Ekeler, and Travis Kelce
Top Value – AthlonSports (3.90 DK Pts/$1000) had value options such as the Patriots D/ST, Mecole Hardman, and Darren Waller
Sometimes there is just that one class that you excel in. In this section, I will highlight who the top experts were at each position for Week 2.
QB – Rotoballer (10.00) nailed both of their QB picks with Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson
RB – GoingFor2 (5.33) hit big with Raheem Mostert and Ezekiel Elliott
WR – DailyFantasySportsRankings (3.75) road the Bengals WRs Tyler Boyd and John Ross to the top
TE – Rotowire – Optimizer (10.00) used Travis Kelce in their optimized lineup at TE
DST – DailyFantasyNerd (10.00) used the Patriots D/ST in their optimized lineup
If we are going to give a gold star to the top experts of the week, we also need to determine which experts might need to put in some extra study time to pull up those grades. Here are the Week 2 experts that didn’t make the grade this week.
In this section, I will look to give some extra credit to experts that received an A+ grade for a player that they recommended when very few other experts did. Week 2 extra credit goes to the following…
A+ – Russell Wilson (FantasyAlarm)
A+ – Raheem Mostert (GoingFor2)
A+ – Emmanuel Sanders (FantasyAlarm)
The results are in for the NFL handicappers from Week 2 which saw our very own, Brad Richter, take the top spot with a perfect 4-0 record. He was followed closely by Brett Anderson (Sportsline) who won all three of his picks. Our Consensus best bets also ended in the win column for the week […]
This weekend at Las Vegas for the South Point 400 it was FantasyTeamAdvice that led the way for the DFS analysts. They were followed by Sportsline with DFSArmy rounding out the Top 3.
The overall leaderboard is about as tight as it can get with four experts all within 0.03 DailyOverlay points from each other. It is anyone’s race between DailyFantasySportsRankings, DFSArmy, NumberFire, and DFSKarma these four experts jockey for position heading into the final laps.
Check out the top experts on the Overall Leaderboard and as always you can check out the full Nascar Expert Standings to make sure that you’re up to speed on who is making the grade. Also, review how all the Nascar DFS analysts fared this past week. We also post the Ownership Percentages by position by count which are used to help project player ownership in our Weighted Consensus article each week.
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#1) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 5.57) produced five grades of “A” or “A+” from their seven recommendations led by Joey Logano and Ryan Blaney
#2) Sportsline (Score: 4.83) delivered two “A+” grades (Logano/Blaney) and an “A” (Keselowski) out of their six selections
#3) DFSArmy (Score: 4.25) recommended five drivers who finished with a grade of “B” or better out of their eight picks
Our Industry Consensus Picks finished 9th out of 15 experts graded this week.
Sleeper of the Week
B – Ty Dillon (DFSArmy)
Be sure to check out the full Nascar Expert Standings to see how your favorite experts check out.
Monday night brings a battle between the Browns and the Jets. With both teams coming off a loss and the Jets QB Sam Darnold out, the game has tilted toward the Browns as almost a touchdown favorite on the road. In cash games, it is best to lean into the turn and load up on […]