NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of December 30th
NBA Expert Recap and Grades for Week of December 30th
We had one expert use a big week to creep towards the top of the leaderboard. Outside of that, everything stayed pretty status-quo. As I’ll continue to mention, our Industry Consensus Cash plays continue to sit in the 3rd spot in the season leaderboard. You’d be foolish if you’re not reading it everyday and don’t forget that our Premium Content gets you all our NFL, PGA and NBA content. A four slate week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
Monday (December 30th)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 4.36 (7th of 30)
Total Cash Plays – 14
GPP DO Score – 2.30 (26th of 30)
Total GPP Plays – 10
A+ – Four of the 24 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Terrence Ross, Jarrett Allen
Top Experts of the Day
#1A) NumberFire – Studs (Score: 7.33) scored two “A+” grades and one “C” with their three plays.
#1B) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 7.33) also scored two “A+’s” and one “C” grade.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyInsider (8.47 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Ian Mahinmi (DailyRoto)
A+ – Coby White (FantasyPros)
Tuesday (December 31st)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 6.45 (10th of 28)
Total Cash Plays – 11
GPP DO Score – 5.40 (16th of 28)
Total GPP Plays – 10
A+ – Nine of the 21 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Jerami Grant
Top Experts of the Day
#1A) RG Core Plays (Score: 10.00) scored “A+” grades with both of their picks.
#1B) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 10.00) nailed a perfect score with their one selection.
#1C) Awesemo (Score: 10.00) also made one play with an “A+” score.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
RG Core Plays (8.06 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Monte Morris (FantasyPros)
A+ – Maxi Kleber (FantasyPros)
A+ – Paul Millsap (RG Lineup Builder)
A+ – Terence Davis (Rotowire)
A+ – Cedi Osman (Rotowire Optimizer)
Thursday (January 2nd)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 4.64 (8th of 31)
Total Cash Plays – 14
GPP DO Score – 3.35 (23rd of 31)
Total GPP Plays – 20
A+ – Seven of the 34 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Alec Burks, Paul George, Jalen Brunson, Gorgui Dieng
Top Experts of the Day
#1) NumberFire – Studs (Score: 6.50) scored an “A+” and a “B” with their two plays on Thursday.
#2) DailyFantasyNerd (Score: 6.00) scored “A” or better with six of their eight plays including three “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyNerd (5.44 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Wendell Carter, Jr. (DailyRoto)
A+ – Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (DFS Army – Full Court Press)
A+ – JJ Barea (FantasyPros)
A+ – Derrick White (FantasyPros)
A+ – JaMychal Green (FantasyPros)
A+ – Myles Turner (FantasyPros)
A+ – Naz Reid (FullTimeFantasy)
A+ – Will Barton (Rotowire)
Friday (January 3rd)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 5.29 (6th of 32)
Total Cash Plays – 14
GPP DO Score – 3.55 (26th of 32)
Total GPP Plays – 20
A+ – Eight of the 34 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Derrick Jones, Jr.
Top Experts of the Day
#1) NumberFire – Studs (Score: 7.67) continued their hot week with two more “A+” grades out of their three plays.
#2) Fansided (Score: 7.60) scored “B” or better with all five of their selections including three “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
NumberFire – Studs (7.04 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Garrison Mathews (FullTimeFantasy)
Overall Leaderboard
The NumberFire – Studs plays used a big week to close the gap between themselves and the top spot. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) DFS Karma (Score: 6.02)
#2) NumberFire – Studs (Score: 5.85)
#3) Daily Overlay Industry Consensus – Cash Plays (Score: 5.57)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.57) continue to sit in the top-3. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.31) stayed in 31st place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | N/A | 83.2% | N/A | N/A |
| 24 | N/A | 79.1% | N/A | N/A |
| 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | N/A | 75.0% | N/A | N/A |
| 21 | 78.5% | 70.2% | N/A | N/A |
| 20 | 74.0% | 67.9% | N/A | 74.7% |
| 19 | 71.7% | 49.2% | N/A | 83.0% |
| 18 | 63.7% | 49.5% | 69.9% | 84.2% |
| 17 | 47.8% | 56.0% | 74.5% | 70.9% |
| 16 | 55.0% | 37.6% | 67.7% | N/A |
| 15 | 41.5% | 48.8% | 60.5% | 52.6% |
| 14 | 33.2% | 60.6% | 48.4% | 74.9% |
| 13 | 31.1% | 31.6% | 62.7% | 66.0% |
| 12 | 21.3% | 35.4% | 42.3% | 45.2% |
| 11 | 15.9% | 30.2% | 41.6% | 46.4% |
| 10 | 13.9% | 21.8% | 40.3% | 33.8% |
| 9 | 9.8% | 16.3% | 30.9% | 36.9% |
| 8 | 10.5% | 12.5% | 18.2% | 25.9% |
| 7 | 8.8% | 9.5% | 20.4% | 32.9% |
| 6 | 6.3% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 26.2% |
| 5 | 2.7% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 18.7% |
| 4 | 2.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 15.5% |
| 3 | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.6% |
| 2 | 1.4% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% |
| 1 | 0.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | N/A | 57.3% | N/A | N/A |
| 24 | N/A | 54.9% | N/A | N/A |
| 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | N/A | 39.7% | N/A | N/A |
| 21 | 57.6% | 52.0% | N/A | N/A |
| 20 | 43.1% | 46.3% | N/A | 46.4% |
| 19 | 49.2% | 37.2% | N/A | 58.7% |
| 18 | 37.1% | 33.8% | 41.1% | 56.8% |
| 17 | 36.6% | 37.7% | 48.8% | 45.7% |
| 16 | 33.7% | 28.8% | 35.9% | N/A |
| 15 | 29.5% | 33.2% | 40.2% | 29.5% |
| 14 | 25.9% | 39.7% | 32.0% | 47.0% |
| 13 | 27.4% | 26.6% | 39.5% | 41.0% |
| 12 | 19.8% | 25.6% | 28.3% | 27.7% |
| 11 | 16.5% | 22.0% | 30.1% | 25.7% |
| 10 | 14.7% | 21.2% | 28.7% | 21.9% |
| 9 | 11.7% | 16.0% | 23.1% | 23.8% |
| 8 | 12.3% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 19.1% |
| 7 | 11.4% | 11.7% | 19.0% | 21.5% |
| 6 | 7.7% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 19.6% |
| 5 | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 13.5% |
| 4 | 4.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% |
| 3 | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% |
| 2 | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
