NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of February 15th
NBA DFS Picks & Grades
We had a fliparoo atop the season standings last week. Along with that change, our Consensus Cash plays dropped out of the top-3 and into 4th place. A four-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Mon | Rk | Tues | Rk | Wed | Rk | Fri | Rk | Avg |
| Sportsline | 7.50 | 1 | 5.00 | 18 | 10.00 | 1 | 6.00 | 5 | 7.13 |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | 5.55 | 7 | 7.25 | 1 | 6.31 | 9 | 6.67 | 3 | 6.45 |
| Awesemo – Building Blocks | 5.75 | 4 | 5.00 | 18 | 6.75 | 5 | 8.00 | 2 | 6.38 |
| Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down | 4.67 | 11 | 5.80 | 5 | 7.14 | 4 | 5.55 | 7 | 5.79 |
| Rotoballer | 6.38 | 3 | 6.33 | 2 | 5.00 | 19 | 4.14 | 25 | 5.46 |
| EliteFantasy | 4.21 | 18 | 5.89 | 4 | 5.74 | 12 | 5.42 | 8 | 5.32 |
| Rotowire | 5.00 | 9 | 4.73 | 21 | 5.15 | 16 | 6.36 | 4 | 5.31 |
| FantasyLabs | 4.40 | 14 | 5.90 | 3 | 6.40 | 7 | 4.00 | 27 | 5.18 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 5.09 | 8 | 4.83 | 20 | 5.82 | 11 | 4.50 | 17 | 5.06 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 5.67 | 5 | 3.50 | 27 | 6.40 | 7 | 4.50 | 17 | 5.02 |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 3.50 | 30 | 3.67 | 26 | 8.25 | 3 | 4.60 | 16 | 5.01 |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 4.13 | 24 | 5.50 | 11 | 5.50 | 13 | 4.75 | 12 | 4.97 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 4.53 | 13 | 5.35 | 14 | 5.05 | 18 | 4.85 | 10 | 4.95 |
| FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator | 6.57 | 2 | 3.50 | 27 | 5.50 | 13 | 4.13 | 26 | 4.93 |
| RunPureSports | 4.71 | 10 | 5.07 | 17 | 5.33 | 15 | 4.47 | 20 | 4.90 |
| DailyRoto | 3.60 | 28 | 5.73 | 6 | 5.07 | 17 | 4.67 | 14 | 4.77 |
| DFSKarma – Game Theory | 4.33 | 15 | 4.25 | 23 | – | – | 5.60 | 6 | 4.73 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 3.22 | 31 | 5.09 | 16 | 5.90 | 10 | 4.63 | 15 | 4.71 |
| DFSKarma – GPP Plays | 3.00 | 32 | – | – | 1.00 | 33 | 10.00 | 1 | 4.67 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 3.72 | 26 | 5.10 | 15 | 4.50 | 21 | 5.05 | 9 | 4.59 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 4.20 | 20 | 3.50 | 27 | 6.50 | 6 | 4.00 | 27 | 4.55 |
| FantasyAlarm – Playbook | 3.60 | 28 | 5.57 | 9 | 4.36 | 24 | 4.50 | 17 | 4.51 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | 4.14 | 23 | 5.60 | 8 | 4.90 | 20 | 3.30 | 32 | 4.49 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 3.88 | 25 | 5.50 | 11 | 4.50 | 21 | 3.63 | 31 | 4.38 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 4.17 | 22 | 4.38 | 22 | 4.50 | 21 | 4.38 | 21 | 4.36 |
| DailyOverlay – Hot Sheet | 4.33 | 15 | 3.80 | 24 | 4.10 | 26 | 4.70 | 13 | 4.23 |
| FantasyPros | 4.18 | 21 | 5.61 | 7 | 3.68 | 27 | 3.25 | 33 | 4.18 |
| Rotogrinders 6-pack | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.00 | 27 | 4.00 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 2.75 | 33 | 5.50 | 11 | 3.38 | 29 | 4.25 | 23 | 3.97 |
| Rotoworld – Pivots | 5.60 | 6 | 3.75 | 25 | 1.50 | 32 | 4.83 | 11 | 3.92 |
| Awesemo – Cheat Sheet | 4.21 | 18 | 5.57 | 9 | 3.33 | 30 | 2.29 | 35 | 3.85 |
| Rotoworld | 3.63 | 27 | 3.14 | 31 | 4.13 | 25 | 4.25 | 23 | 3.79 |
| DailyFantasyInsider | 1.00 | 35 | 0.00 | 32 | 10.00 | 1 | 4.00 | 27 | 3.75 |
| DailyRoto – Optimizer | 4.29 | 17 | 3.43 | 30 | 3.57 | 28 | 3.25 | 33 | 3.64 |
| DK Playbook – Values | 4.67 | 11 | – | – | 1.67 | 31 | 2.25 | 36 | 2.86 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Monday
- Tobias Harris (RG Grind Down)
- Dwight Howard (Rotoworld)
Tuesday
- Jordan McLaughlin (Awesemo Cheat Sheet)
- Isaiah Roby (Awesemo Cheat Sheet)
- Jeff Green (DFS Karma Game Theory)
- Anthony Edwards (Rotoballer)
Wednesday
- Tobias Harris (Awesemo Cheat Sheet)
- Terrence Ross (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- Kent Bazemore (Fantasy Alarm Lineup Generator)
- Davis Bertans (Fantasy Alarm Lineup Generator)
- Grayson Allen (EliteFantasy)
- Guillermo Hernangomez (FantasyPros)
- Rudy Gobert (RG Consensus)
Friday
- None
Overall Leaderboard
Our top-3 for the season is below. We had a change at the top after last week! You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) DFS Army Full Court Press (Score: 5.48)
#2) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 5.38)
#3) Awesemo Building Blocks (Score: 5.30)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.27) dropped out of the top-3 and into 4th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.39) is in 28th place after last week.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 26 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 45.1% |
| 25 | N/A | 93.3% | N/A | 90.6% |
| 24 | 59.6% | 84.5% | N/A | N/A |
| 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 66.3% |
| 22 | 78.4% | 71.5% | 89.0% | 72.0% |
| 21 | 67.2% | 60.9% | 50.4% | 72.1% |
| 20 | 65.7% | N/A | N/A | 74.2% |
| 19 | 61.3% | 56.4% | 45.2% | 43.8% |
| 18 | 66.5% | N/A | N/A | 77.2% |
| 17 | 46.7% | 67.3% | 58.0% | 71.9% |
| 16 | 36.9% | 54.1% | 53.2% | 89.5% |
| 15 | 55.6% | 44.8% | 51.9% | 14.4% |
| 14 | 31.3% | 42.7% | 39.3% | 44.2% |
| 13 | 34.2% | 35.1% | 37.9% | 79.1% |
| 12 | 19.0% | 32.3% | 29.3% | 42.9% |
| 11 | 15.5% | 20.8% | 34.9% | 27.7% |
| 10 | 15.1% | 21.7% | 22.8% | 41.5% |
| 9 | 11.9% | 15.6% | 23.2% | 28.1% |
| 8 | 11.6% | 20.7% | 20.5% | 33.0% |
| 7 | 5.4% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 22.0% |
| 6 | 5.8% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 19.8% |
| 5 | 4.7% | 6.1% | 11.7% | 17.4% |
| 4 | 2.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 11.5% |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 12.6% |
| 2 | 1.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 26 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 33.6% |
| 25 | N/A | 69.0% | N/A | 66.4% |
| 24 | 27.9% | 48.4% | N/A | N/A |
| 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 47.9% |
| 22 | 47.7% | 43.3% | 65.0% | 50.5% |
| 21 | 40.2% | 36.9% | 34.3% | 56.6% |
| 20 | 37.9% | N/A | N/A | 44.7% |
| 19 | 34.2% | 32.8% | 31.8% | 25.8% |
| 18 | 40.7% | N/A | N/A | 47.9% |
| 17 | 35.7% | 40.0% | 41.5% | 50.2% |
| 16 | 26.1% | 33.9% | 36.3% | 52.1% |
| 15 | 34.1% | 31.0% | 36.4% | 23.2% |
| 14 | 26.1% | 27.9% | 29.7% | 32.9% |
| 13 | 23.9% | 23.0% | 25.2% | 48.7% |
| 12 | 17.9% | 22.8% | 22.2% | 27.6% |
| 11 | 15.4% | 19.8% | 26.5% | 22.1% |
| 10 | 13.4% | 18.5% | 17.5% | 26.2% |
| 9 | 13.5% | 16.5% | 19.8% | 20.2% |
| 8 | 11.4% | 15.5% | 17.9% | 20.5% |
| 7 | 8.6% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 17.9% |
| 6 | 8.0% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 13.9% |
| 5 | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 15.0% |
| 4 | 4.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% |
| 3 | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.1% |
| 2 | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% |
| 1 | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
