NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of February 21st
NBA DFS Picks & Grades
A short two-day week post ASG last week. No movement in the top-3 but plenty of season left. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Thur | Rk | Fri | Rk | Avg |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 10.00 | 1 | 5.00 | 4 | 7.50 |
| Sportsline | 9.17 | 3 | 5.80 | 2 | 7.49 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 10.00 | 1 | 3.40 | 22 | 6.70 |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 9.00 | 4 | 4.25 | 9 | 6.63 |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | 7.54 | 6 | 5.31 | 3 | 6.43 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 8.13 | 5 | 4.00 | 11 | 6.07 |
| NBC Sports Edge | 5.22 | 27 | 6.25 | 1 | 5.74 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 6.44 | 13 | 5.00 | 4 | 5.72 |
| DFSKarma – Game Theory | 6.40 | 14 | 4.91 | 6 | 5.66 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 6.70 | 11 | 4.45 | 8 | 5.58 |
| DailyRoto – Optimizer | 6.25 | 16 | 4.75 | 7 | 5.50 |
| DailyFantasyInsider | 7.33 | 7 | 3.50 | 19 | 5.42 |
| FantasyPros | 6.79 | 10 | 3.84 | 15 | 5.32 |
| Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down | 6.33 | 15 | 4.00 | 11 | 5.17 |
| RunPureSports | 6.65 | 12 | 3.61 | 17 | 5.13 |
| FantasyLabs | 6.80 | 9 | 3.40 | 22 | 5.10 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 6.88 | 8 | 3.13 | 26 | 5.01 |
| FantasyAlarm – Playbook | 5.62 | 23 | 4.22 | 10 | 4.92 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 5.70 | 20 | 3.90 | 13 | 4.80 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 6.10 | 18 | 3.33 | 24 | 4.72 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 5.55 | 24 | 3.85 | 14 | 4.70 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | 6.25 | 16 | 3.00 | 27 | 4.63 |
| FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator | 5.50 | 25 | 3.75 | 16 | 4.63 |
| Rotowire | 5.64 | 21 | 3.60 | 18 | 4.62 |
| Awesemo – Building Blocks | 6.00 | 19 | 3.00 | 27 | 4.50 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 5.63 | 22 | 3.25 | 25 | 4.44 |
| EliteFantasy | 5.10 | 29 | 3.50 | 19 | 4.30 |
| Rotoballer | 5.50 | 25 | 2.71 | 30 | 4.11 |
| DK Playbook – Values | – | – | 3.50 | 19 | 3.50 |
| Awesemo – Cheat Sheet | 5.20 | 28 | 1.80 | 32 | 3.50 |
| NBC Sports Edge – Pivots | – | – | 3.00 | 27 | 3.00 |
| Rotogrinders 6-pack | 2.83 | 30 | 1.83 | 31 | 2.33 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Thursday
- Monte Morris (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Bruce Brown (EliteFantasy)
- De’Anthony Melton (FantasyPros)
- JaMychal Green (FantasyPros)
- Onyeka Okongwu (FantasyPros)
Friday
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (NumberFire Daily Helper)
- Oshae Brissett (NBC Sports Edge)
- Daniel Gafford (RunPureSports)
- Dwight Powell (RunPureSports)
Value Tracker
- FantasyPros – 148
- DFS Alarm Playbook – 65
- RunPureSports – 51
- EliteFantasy – 33
- Rotowire – 18
- DFS Alarm Lineup Generator – 18
- DFS Army Full Court Press – 17
- NBC Sports Edge – 12
- NBC Sports Edge Pivots – 11
- DFS Karma Game Theory – 10
- NumberFire Daily Helper – 10
- DK Playbook Targets – 9
- DailyFantasySportsRankings – 8
- Rotowire Optimizer – 8
- FantasyLabs – 8
- RG Consensus – 8
- RG Grind Down – 8
- DK Playbook Values – 7
- Rotoballer – 6
- DFS Army Cheat Sheet – 4
- RG 6-Pack – 3
- DailyRoto Optimizer – 3
- Sportsline – 2
- DFS Army Domination Station – 2
- Awesemo Cheat Sheet – 1
- RG Lineup Builder – 1
Overall Leaderboard
Our top-3 for the season is below. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1A) RG Core Plays (Score: 6.19)
#2) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 6.15)
#3) Awesemo Building Blocks (Score: 6.11)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.68) stayed in 7th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.94) moved up to 23rd place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 26 | 83.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 | 59.4% | N/A | N/A | 76.2% |
| 24 | N/A | 84.70% | 85.2% | 82.60% |
| 23 | 87.8% | 74.30% | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | 75.2% | N/A | 89.6% | 78.0% |
| 21 | 58.2% | N/A | 88.0% | 86.25% |
| 20 | 70.4% | 75.8% | 86.4% | 65.8% |
| 19 | 68.9% | 74.4% | 67.7% | 85.2% |
| 18 | 61.0% | 59.1% | 67.1% | 64.2% |
| 17 | 57.6% | 60.9% | 64.8% | 66.8% |
| 16 | 53.5% | 54.6% | 44.4% | 60.3% |
| 15 | 46.1% | 58.1% | 53.2% | 53.8% |
| 14 | 49.1% | 40.9% | 45.8% | 56.9% |
| 13 | 35.0% | 48.6% | 58.4% | 46.3% |
| 12 | 29.8% | 36.5% | 40.8% | 49.8% |
| 11 | 23.8% | 24.9% | 36.0% | 29.1% |
| 10 | 24.5% | 30.5% | 29.1% | 36.0% |
| 9 | 16.8% | 21.8% | 24.4% | 27.1% |
| 8 | 17.1% | 14.7% | 30.5% | 32.5% |
| 7 | 16.7% | 15.0% | 17.9% | 22.6% |
| 6 | 9.5% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 14.8% |
| 5 | 5.9% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 10.9% |
| 4 | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.5% |
| 3 | 3.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% |
| 2 | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 26 | 55.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 | 49.0% | N/A | N/A | 45.3% |
| 24 | N/A | 54.00% | 64.5% | 54.20% |
| 23 | 67.1% | 43.30% | N/A | N/A |
| 22 | 45.3% | N/A | 66.7% | 54.4% |
| 21 | 44.3% | N/A | 66.4% | 50.35% |
| 20 | 36.5% | 52.1% | 61.9% | 47.4% |
| 19 | 40.9% | 43.7% | 39.4% | 55.4% |
| 18 | 39.9% | 41.1% | 38.2% | 40.3% |
| 17 | 33.9% | 34.5% | 35.1% | 42.5% |
| 16 | 32.4% | 34.4% | 29.6% | 38.9% |
| 15 | 29.8% | 36.0% | 31.9% | 37.2% |
| 14 | 30.3% | 31.0% | 33.1% | 34.9% |
| 13 | 26.5% | 30.9% | 39.4% | 32.8% |
| 12 | 21.6% | 24.0% | 28.4% | 31.8% |
| 11 | 20.8% | 18.9% | 25.5% | 23.6% |
| 10 | 20.4% | 20.7% | 21.2% | 24.8% |
| 9 | 16.9% | 16.9% | 19.8% | 20.7% |
| 8 | 14.3% | 15.6% | 23.7% | 24.2% |
| 7 | 13.7% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 16.6% |
| 6 | 10.0% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 13.0% |
| 5 | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 10.2% |
| 4 | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% |
| 3 | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% |
| 2 | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
