NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of January 4th
NBA Expert Recap Week of January 4th
Another week down in the NBA and we had our first cancellation last night. The talk of the day was the Celtics but it was actually the Heat that ended up with too few players on Sunday. Fingers crossed that this isn’t the beginning of a trend. A full week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Mon | Rk | Tues | Rk | Wed | Rk | Thur | Rk | Fri | Rk | Avg |
| DailyFantasyInsider | 4.67 | 14 | 5.67 | 4 | 3.00 | 18 | 10.00 | 1 | 5.33 | 5 | 5.73 |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | 6.25 | 3 | 5.20 | 7 | 3.64 | 10 | 6.00 | 6 | 4.87 | 12 | 5.19 |
| Rotogrinders 6-pack | 5.33 | 6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.83 | 13 | 5.08 |
| Rotowire | 6.27 | 2 | 6.09 | 2 | 4.38 | 4 | 4.50 | 20 | 3.94 | 28 | 5.04 |
| SportsGamblingPodcast | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.88 | 17 | – | – | 4.88 |
| DailyOverlay – Hot Sheet | 5.40 | 4 | 4.30 | 16 | 2.90 | 20 | 6.38 | 5 | 5.20 | 7 | 4.84 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 5.10 | 10 | 5.20 | 7 | 5.60 | 1 | 3.78 | 25 | 4.30 | 22 | 4.80 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 5.30 | 8 | 5.27 | 5 | 2.86 | 22 | 5.67 | 8 | 4.58 | 19 | 4.74 |
| FantasyLabs | 4.50 | 17 | 3.40 | 27 | 5.05 | 2 | 5.62 | 9 | 5.05 | 10 | 4.72 |
| Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down | 4.46 | 20 | 3.71 | 23 | 3.07 | 16 | 7.20 | 2 | 5.14 | 8 | 4.72 |
| Awesemo – Building Blocks | 4.25 | 21 | 5.25 | 6 | 2.25 | 27 | 6.67 | 4 | 4.75 | 14 | 4.63 |
| DFSKarma – GPP Plays | 4.25 | 21 | 5.00 | 9 | 4.00 | 8 | 6.00 | 6 | 3.75 | 31 | 4.60 |
| DailyRoto | 5.31 | 7 | 4.64 | 12 | 2.15 | 28 | 5.31 | 10 | 5.50 | 4 | 4.58 |
| DailyRoto | 5.31 | 7 | 4.64 | 12 | 2.15 | 28 | 5.31 | 10 | 5.50 | 4 | 4.58 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 4.60 | 15 | 3.80 | 21 | 4.70 | 3 | 5.09 | 13 | 4.67 | 16 | 4.57 |
| Rotoballer | 5.38 | 5 | 4.86 | 11 | 2.86 | 22 | 5.00 | 14 | 4.67 | 16 | 4.55 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 7.25 | 1 | 3.43 | 26 | 2.88 | 21 | 4.29 | 23 | 4.50 | 20 | 4.47 |
| EliteFantasy | 3.39 | 27 | 4.88 | 10 | 4.04 | 7 | 5.00 | 14 | 4.70 | 15 | 4.40 |
| Rotoworld | 2.36 | 30 | 7.13 | 1 | 4.38 | 4 | 2.00 | 32 | 5.71 | 2 | 4.32 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 4.50 | 17 | 4.42 | 15 | 3.05 | 17 | 5.28 | 11 | 3.85 | 29 | 4.22 |
| Awesemo – Cheat Sheet | 3.67 | 25 | 3.80 | 21 | 4.33 | 6 | 4.79 | 18 | 4.00 | 24 | 4.12 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 3.00 | 28 | 4.29 | 17 | 1.63 | 31 | 6.86 | 3 | 4.63 | 18 | 4.08 |
| FantasyAlarm – Playbook | 4.59 | 16 | 4.07 | 18 | 3.18 | 15 | 4.45 | 22 | 4.07 | 23 | 4.07 |
| DFSKarma – Game Theory | 5.27 | 9 | 3.86 | 20 | 3.67 | 9 | 3.62 | 26 | 3.81 | 30 | 4.05 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 4.00 | 24 | 4.00 | 19 | 2.60 | 25 | 4.50 | 20 | 5.00 | 11 | 4.02 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 4.13 | 23 | 2.00 | 31 | 3.25 | 14 | 4.71 | 19 | 5.63 | 3 | 3.94 |
| Sportsline | 2.00 | 32 | 6.00 | 3 | 0.67 | 33 | 5.00 | 14 | 6.00 | 1 | 3.93 |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 4.86 | 13 | 4.43 | 14 | 1.50 | 32 | 4.00 | 24 | 4.00 | 24 | 3.76 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 4.48 | 19 | 3.54 | 25 | 3.48 | 12 | 2.79 | 30 | 4.47 | 21 | 3.75 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | 5.00 | 11 | 3.40 | 27 | 1.80 | 30 | 3.50 | 27 | 4.00 | 24 | 3.54 |
| FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator | 3.00 | 28 | 3.71 | 23 | 3.43 | 13 | 3.00 | 28 | 4.00 | 24 | 3.43 |
| FanSided | 3.40 | 26 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.40 |
| FantasyPros | 2.25 | 31 | 3.11 | 30 | 2.55 | 26 | 5.17 | 12 | 3.50 | 32 | 3.32 |
| DailyRoto – Optimizer | 1.00 | 33 | 4.63 | 13 | 1.88 | 29 | 2.43 | 31 | 5.13 | 9 | 3.01 |
| Rotoworld – Pivots | 5.00 | 11 | 1.00 | 32 | 3.00 | 18 | – | – | 3.00 | 33 | 3.00 |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 0.50 | 35 | 3.33 | 29 | 2.67 | 24 | 3.00 | 28 | 5.33 | 5 | 2.97 |
| DK Playbook – Values | 1.00 | 33 | – | – | 3.50 | 11 | – | – | 1.50 | 34 | 2.00 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Monday
- Derrick Rose (NumberFire Daily Helper)
Tuesday
- Patty Mills (Rotoballer)
Wednesday
- Wendell Carter, Jr. (Awesemo Cheat Sheet)
- Pascal Siakam (Fantasy Alarm Playbook)
- DeMarcus Cousins (EliteFantasy)
- Seth Curry (NumberFire Daily Helper)
- Bradley Beal (Rotoworld)
Thursday
- Joe Harris (EliteFantasy)
- Ricky Rubio (FantasyPros)
Friday
- Rui Hachimura (Awesemo Cheat Sheet)
- Austin Rivers (DFS Karma GPP Plays)
- Jordan Clarkson (Fantasy Alarm Lineup Generator)
- Pascal Siakam (EliteFantasy)
- Devonte’ Graham (FantasyLabs)
- Taurean Prince (FantasyLabs)
- Jeff Green (FantasyLabs)
- Royce O’Neale (Rotoworld)
Overall Leaderboard
One week in and we already have a heated race for the top spot. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) Fansided (Score: 5.28)
#2) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 5.17)
#3) DFS Army – Full Court Press (Score: 5.15)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 4.76) jumps to 7th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.22) slides to 27th place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | N/A | 93.3% | N/A | N/A |
| 24 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 66.3% |
| 22 | 78.4% | 71.5% | N/A | N/A |
| 21 | 86.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20 | 62.0% | N/A | N/A | 88.2% |
| 19 | 71.2% | N/A | 44.5% | N/A |
| 18 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17 | 56.8% | N/A | 59.9% | 71.9% |
| 16 | 33.2% | 58.6% | 78.6% | N/A |
| 15 | 61.3% | 65.4% | 44.3% | 14.4% |
| 14 | 38.2% | 41.3% | 39.2% | N/A |
| 13 | 35.2% | 35.6% | 54.1% | 77.2% |
| 12 | 15.8% | 41.6% | 29.4% | 40.9% |
| 11 | 10.6% | 23.6% | 44.3% | 33.3% |
| 10 | 26.0% | 9.4% | 17.6% | 38.5% |
| 9 | 7.0% | 19.4% | 20.3% | 26.7% |
| 8 | 9.1% | 17.6% | 20.3% | 40.6% |
| 7 | 5.8% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 33.5% |
| 6 | 4.5% | 16.3% | 6.2% | 23.3% |
| 5 | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 15.3% |
| 4 | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% |
| 3 | 1.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.9% |
| 2 | 1.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% |
| 1 | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | N/A | 69.0% | N/A | N/A |
| 24 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 47.9% |
| 22 | 47.7% | 43.3% | N/A | N/A |
| 21 | 55.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20 | 30.8% | N/A | N/A | 56.6% |
| 19 | 33.7% | N/A | 32.1% | N/A |
| 18 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17 | 37.0% | N/A | 43.6% | 50.2% |
| 16 | 26.5% | 38.0% | 41.1% | N/A |
| 15 | 37.6% | 36.0% | 32.6% | 23.2% |
| 14 | 29.4% | 28.1% | 30.1% | N/A |
| 13 | 25.6% | 23.4% | 28.7% | 45.0% |
| 12 | 17.4% | 25.4% | 22.2% | 26.2% |
| 11 | 12.7% | 22.1% | 33.4% | 25.7% |
| 10 | 12.5% | 17.9% | 16.6% | 17.9% |
| 9 | 11.4% | 17.1% | 20.6% | 21.1% |
| 8 | 10.0% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 23.2% |
| 7 | 9.5% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 21.7% |
| 6 | 6.3% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 11.1% |
| 5 | 5.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 14.8% |
| 4 | 4.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% |
| 3 | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% |
| 2 | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
