NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of November 11th
NBA Expert Recap and Grades for Week of November 11th
James Harden is on pace to do something special this season and we’re all here to witness. That, in turn, has created a rising cost to roster the guy on a nightly basis. Either way, it’s been fun to watch and I’m here to say that I hope it continues. Our Consensus Cash plays continue to flirt with the top-5 in the overall leaderboard. If you aren’t already, you should be checking out our Expert Consensus daily so that you can see who those Cash plays are. A full, five-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
Monday (November 11th)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 6.33 (T-11th of 29)
Total Cash Plays – 9
GPP DO Score – 6.07 (17th of 29)
Total GPP Plays – 15
A+ – Eleven of the 24 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Kristaps Porzingis
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Rotoballer (Score: 10.00) scored “A+’s” with all five of their plays to start the week!
#2) Rotoworld (Score: 8.75) tried to match Rotoballer but scored three “A+” grades and one “A” with four selections.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Rotoballer (6.87 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Treveon Graham (DailyRoto)
A+ – Jake Layman (DailyRoto)
A+ – Josh Hart (FantasyLabs)
A+ – Joe Ingles (FantasyPros)
Tuesday (November 12th)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 5.71 (5th of 29)
Total Cash Plays – 14
GPP DO Score – 3.67 (25th of 29)
Total GPP Plays – 18
A+ – Eight of the 32 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Bobby Portis
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RG Lineup Builder (Score: 7.00) put together a solid optimized lineup with five of eight plays scoring an “A+” grade.
#2) NumberFire – Studs (Score: 6.67) finds the top-2 with an “A+” score and two “A’s” on Tuesday.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Awesemo (6.30 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – DeAndre Jordan (DFS Army – Domination Station)
A+ – Alex Len (EliteFantasy)
Wednesday (November 13th)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 6.77 (8th of 30)
Total Cash Plays – 13
GPP DO Score – 4.71 (22nd of 30)
Total GPP Plays – 17
A+ – Twelve of the 30 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – Russell Westbrook
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RG Lineup Builder (Score: 8.38) makes it two days in a row as seven of their eight plays scored “A” or better including six “A+” grades.
#2) DailyFantasyNerd (Score: 8.14) makes it a clean sweep for the “machines” on Wednesday. Six of their seven plays scored “A” or better with five “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
FantasyPros (6.91 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Dillon Brooks (DailyRoto)
A+ – Glenn Robinson III (DailyRoto)
A+ – Aaron Gordon (DailyRoto)
A+ – Rui Hachimura (EliteFantasy)
A+ – Ja Morant (FantasyPros)
A+ – Rodney Hood (FantasyPros)
A+ – Enes Kanter (FantasyPros)
Thursday (November 14th)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 4.08 (T-20th of 27)
Total Cash Plays – 12
GPP DO Score – 4.75 (11th of 27)
Total GPP Plays – 16
A+ – Eight of the 28 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – JaMychal Green, Aron Baynes, Ricky Rubio, Jamal Murray
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RG Core Plays (Score: 6.00) scored an “A+” and a “C” with their two picks.
#2) DFS Army – Cheat Sheet (Score: 5.86) scored “A” or better with four of their seven plays including three “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyInsider (6.48 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Damian Jones (DailyRoto)
Friday (November 15th)
Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 4.36 (6th of 27)
Total Cash Plays – 14
GPP DO Score – 3.38 (T-17th of 27)
Total GPP Plays – 13
A+ – Five of the 27 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – D’Angelo Russell, Tyson Chandler, Cory Joseph, TJ Warren, Malcolm Brogdon
Top Experts of the Day
#1) NumberFire – Studs (Score: 6.67) scored an “A+” and two “A’s” once again on Friday to top the experts.
#2) DFS Army – Full Court Press (Score: 6.45) found the top-2 for the first time this season. Seven of their 11 selections scored “A” or better including six “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyInsider (5.94 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – There were no players selected by only one expert that scored an “A+” grade.
Overall Leaderboard
The NumberFire Studs plays continue their strong start to the season as their grip strengthens on the top spot. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) NumberFire – Studs (Score: 6.29)
#2) Awesemo (Score: 5.79)
#3) DFS Karma (Score: 5.71)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.52) fell in to 6th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.15) falls to 31st place despite raising their overall score.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 19 | 73.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18 | 68.7% | N/A | N/A | 89.0% |
| 17 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 74.6% |
| 16 | 56.0% | N/A | 67.7% | N/A |
| 15 | 49.5% | 42.2% | N/A | N/A |
| 14 | 41.4% | 57.8% | N/A | 68.7% |
| 13 | 49.3% | 47.4% | 52.3% | 58.7% |
| 12 | 20.4% | 49.5% | 49.3% | 48.0% |
| 11 | 21.5% | 10.6% | 45.1% | 38.2% |
| 10 | 12.6% | 26.0% | 17.1% | 25.3% |
| 9 | 15.9% | 16.6% | 22.3% | 41.7% |
| 8 | 13.2% | 12.3% | 22.2% | 26.0% |
| 7 | 4.8% | 9.9% | 20.7% | 26.6% |
| 6 | 3.2% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 28.3% |
| 5 | 3.0% | 4.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% |
| 4 | 1.9% | 4.8% | 9.5% | 18.8% |
| 3 | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 7.0% |
| 2 | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% |
| 1 | N/A | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 19 | 51.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18 | 43.6% | N/A | N/A | 60.2% |
| 17 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 50.4% |
| 16 | 33.0% | N/A | 35.9% | N/A |
| 15 | 37.0% | 34.5% | N/A | N/A |
| 14 | 25.5% | 40.7% | N/A | 40.0% |
| 13 | 37.8% | 38.1% | 37.5% | 36.1% |
| 12 | 23.8% | 32.1% | 28.9% | 28.0% |
| 11 | 17.8% | 15.6% | 34.0% | 21.0% |
| 10 | 15.2% | 23.4% | 18.4% | 17.2% |
| 9 | 15.7% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 23.2% |
| 8 | 16.3% | 15.4% | 19.2% | 19.2% |
| 7 | 8.8% | 11.5% | 19.1% | 17.6% |
| 6 | 7.5% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 21.2% |
| 5 | 6.2% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 8.7% |
| 4 | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.9% |
| 3 | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% |
| 2 | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% |
| 1 | N/A | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
