NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of November 21st
NBA DFS Picks & Grades
Things continue to heat up in the NBA as our Consensus Cash plays made a big jump into 7th place. There is so much time left it will be interesting to see how many of these guys hold onto these top spots. See the full recap from last week below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
| Expert | Mon | Rk | Wed | Rk | Fri | Rk | Avg |
| Stokastic – Building Blocks | 10.00 | 1 | 7.50 | 7 | 10.00 | 1 | 9.17 |
| Rotogrinders Core Plays | 8.33 | 3 | 10.00 | 1 | 6.50 | 12 | 8.28 |
| DFSKarma – Building Blocks | – | – | 8.00 | 5 | – | – | 8.00 |
| Industry Consensus – Cash | 7.46 | 8 | 7.86 | 6 | 8.18 | 2 | 7.83 |
| Rotowire – Optimizer | 8.50 | 2 | 7.13 | 10 | 7.63 | 4 | 7.75 |
| DailyFantasyInsider | 7.50 | 7 | 10.00 | 1 | 5.00 | 26 | 7.50 |
| Rotogrinders 6-pack | 5.67 | 22 | 9.17 | 3 | – | – | 7.42 |
| DFSArmy – Full Court Press | 8.33 | 3 | 7.00 | 12 | 5.96 | 22 | 7.10 |
| Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down | 7.20 | 9 | 7.38 | 8 | 6.40 | 15 | 6.99 |
| DFSArmy – Domination Station | 6.86 | 14 | 8.29 | 4 | 5.75 | 23 | 6.97 |
| DailyFantasyNerd | 6.25 | 18 | 7.38 | 8 | 6.63 | 11 | 6.75 |
| RotoGrinders Lineup Builder | 7.63 | 6 | 5.50 | 23 | 7.00 | 7 | 6.71 |
| NumberFire – Daily Helper | 6.08 | 21 | 5.79 | 21 | 7.95 | 3 | 6.61 |
| DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet | 8.33 | 3 | 7.11 | 11 | 4.25 | 28 | 6.56 |
| Rotowire | 6.90 | 13 | 5.45 | 24 | 7.30 | 5 | 6.55 |
| RotoGrinders Consensus | 6.25 | 18 | 6.63 | 14 | 6.50 | 12 | 6.46 |
| RunPureSports | 5.10 | 27 | 7.00 | 12 | 7.12 | 6 | 6.41 |
| Stokastic – Cheat Sheet | 6.92 | 12 | 5.43 | 25 | 6.67 | 10 | 6.34 |
| DailyRoto – Optimizer | 5.00 | 28 | 6.63 | 14 | 6.88 | 8 | 6.17 |
| FantasyAlarm – Playbook | 6.17 | 20 | 6.14 | 18 | 6.18 | 19 | 6.16 |
| DK Playbook – Targets | 6.75 | 15 | 6.29 | 17 | 5.44 | 24 | 6.16 |
| FantasyPros | 6.33 | 17 | 6.56 | 16 | 5.29 | 25 | 6.06 |
| Rotoballer | 7.13 | 10 | 4.78 | 28 | 6.14 | 20 | 6.02 |
| FantasyLabs | 5.45 | 24 | 6.00 | 19 | 6.40 | 15 | 5.95 |
| Sportsline | 6.67 | 16 | 5.14 | 26 | 6.00 | 21 | 5.94 |
| FantasyGuru | 5.61 | 23 | 5.60 | 22 | 6.37 | 17 | 5.86 |
| DailyFantasySportsRankings | 4.71 | 29 | 5.80 | 20 | 6.78 | 9 | 5.76 |
| Industry Consensus – GPP | 5.36 | 25 | 5.00 | 27 | 6.22 | 18 | 5.53 |
| FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator | 5.13 | 26 | 4.33 | 29 | 6.44 | 14 | 5.30 |
| DK Playbook – Values | 7.00 | 11 | 4.00 | 30 | 4.67 | 27 | 5.22 |
Sleepers of the Week
Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.
Monday
- Donovan Mitchell (DailyFantasyNerd)
- Jaden McDaniels (DK Playbook Values)
- AJ Griffin (DFS Alarm Lineup Generator)
- Jalen Brunson (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Josh Hart (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Patrick Williams (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Isaiah Jackson (FantasyGuru)
- Jose Alvarado (FantasyPros)
- Luguentz Dort (FantasyPros)
- Naz Reid (FantasyPros)
- Andre Drummond (FantasyPros)
- Jusuf Nurkic (NumberFire)
- DeMar DeRozan (RG Grind Down)
- Anthony Lamb (RunPureSports)
Wednesday
- Luka Doncic (DFS Army Full Court Press)
- Jaden McDaniels (DK Playbook Values)
- Clint Capela (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Bruce Brown (DFS Alarm Playbook)
- Jose Alvarado (FantasyPros)
- Will Barton (FantasyPros)
- Kyle Anderson (FantasyPros)
- Doug McDermott (FantasyPros)
- Walker Kessler (FantasyPros)
- Alec Burks (NumberFire)
- Andrew Wiggins (NumberFire)
- Kevin Knox II (NumberFire)
- Jarrett Allen (NumberFire)
- Jusuf Nurkic (NumberFire)
- Draymond Green (NumberFire)
- Myles Turner (Rotowire)
- Nick Richards (Rotowire)
- Justise Winslow (Rotowire Optimizer)
- Malik Monk (RunPureSports)
- Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (RunPureSports)
Friday
- Jabari Smith, Jr (DailyFantasySportsRankings)
- Usman Garuba (DK Playbook Targets)
- Aaron Gordon (DFS Alarm Lineup Generator)
- Malik Beasley (FantasyGuru)
- Josh Hart (FantasyGuru)
- Jerami Grant (FantasyGuru)
- Bam Adebayo (FantasyGuru)
- Jusuf Nurkic (NumberFire)
- Kevon Looney (NumberFire)
- Jeremy Sochan (NumberFire)
- Quentin Grimes (Rotowire)
- Cedi Osman (Rotowire Optimizer)
- Immanuel Quickley (RunPureSports)
- Marvin Bagley III (RunPureSports)
Value Tracker
- FantasyPros – 23
- NumberFire – 22
- DFS Alarm Playbook – 16
- RunPureSports – 13
- Rotowire – 11
- FantasyGuru – 9
- Rotoballer – 5
- DFS Alarm Lineup Generator – 5
- Stokastic Cheat Sheet – 3
- DK Playbook Targets – 3
- RG Consensus – 2
- DailyRoto Optimizer – 2
- DK Playbook Values – 2
- RG Grind Down – 2
- Rotowire Optimizer – 2
- FantasyLabs – 1
- DailyFantasyNerd – 1
- DFS Army Full Court Press – 1
- DailyFantasySportsRankings – 1
Overall Leaderboard
Our top-3 for the season is below. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) Stokastic Building Blocks (Score: 6.47)
#2) RG Core Plays (Score: 5.78)
#3) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 5.37)
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.12) made a big jump to 7th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.40) plummeted to 23rd place.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 24 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 23 | NA | NA | NA | 85.9% |
| 22 | NA | NA | 83.5% | NA |
| 21 | 78.0% | NA | NA | NA |
| 20 | 46.7% | 75.1% | 86.3% | 75.50% |
| 19 | NA | 41.3% | 82.1% | 64.5% |
| 18 | 55.6% | NA | 69.1% | 73.2% |
| 17 | 54.4% | 45.5% | 64.5% | 79.5% |
| 16 | 43.2% | NA | 61.4% | 43.3% |
| 15 | 72.7% | 69.9% | 46.5% | NA |
| 14 | NA | 32.5% | 73.4% | 65.4% |
| 13 | 32.7% | 35.8% | 49.1% | 43.5% |
| 12 | 27.3% | 55.8% | 36.1% | 28.2% |
| 11 | 16.8% | 33.4% | 34.1% | 29.5% |
| 10 | 27.5% | 38.7% | 35.1% | 40.9% |
| 9 | 6.7% | 16.3% | 27.5% | 35.9% |
| 8 | 19.8% | 23.4% | 31.1% | 37.4% |
| 7 | 9.9% | 8.1% | 21.0% | 16.8% |
| 6 | 8.6% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 20.2% |
| 5 | 3.5% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 11.8% |
| 4 | 3.9% | 3.6% | 19.3% | 8.5% |
| 3 | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 9.1% |
| 2 | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.9% |
| 1 | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 25 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 24 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 23 | NA | NA | NA | 62.4% |
| 22 | NA | NA | 52.4% | NA |
| 21 | 50.7% | NA | NA | NA |
| 20 | 32.7% | 38.0% | 59.8% | 45.8% |
| 19 | NA | 21.3% | 48.0% | 38.6% |
| 18 | 37.2% | NA | 43.2% | 39.8% |
| 17 | 31.8% | 27.0% | 40.4% | 49.0% |
| 16 | 32.4% | NA | 32.8% | 34.8% |
| 15 | 27.6% | 31.8% | 32.9% | NA |
| 14 | NA | 24.9% | 40.7% | 36.3% |
| 13 | 31.1% | 22.2% | 34.1% | 31.4% |
| 12 | 21.0% | 28.8% | 27.6% | 24.5% |
| 11 | 16.0% | 17.7% | 25.7% | 18.1% |
| 10 | 15.4% | 24.4% | 24.7% | 27.6% |
| 9 | 9.5% | 16.9% | 18.0% | 22.3% |
| 8 | 16.1% | 17.1% | 20.6% | 22.3% |
| 7 | 10.9% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 18.0% |
| 6 | 11.1% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 14.4% |
| 5 | 6.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 11.1% |
| 4 | 6.4% | 6.5% | 15.0% | 11.8% |
| 3 | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% |
| 2 | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
