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Matt Butler
2021-11-15T16:03:10-06:00 2021-11-15T16:03:10-06:00 A short, 3-day week to recap. Make sure you're checking out our Consensus article everyday where there are at least 4 games being played. https://dailyoverlay.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/NBA-Grading-POST.jpg
NBA Expert Grading

NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of November 8th

NBA DFS Picks & Grades

It was a bit of a slow week in the NBA as it appears they may have reverted to short slates on Tuesdays and Thursdays, as we’ve seen in the past. There are a few folks that are beginning to separate themselves from the field. A short, three-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!

In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.

As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.

On to the grades!

Week in Review

Expert Mon Rk Wed Rk Fri Rk Avg
DailyFantasyInsider 6.00 6 5.50 1 6.50 1 6.00
Rotogrinders NBA Grind Down 6.11 5 4.29 8 5.30 6 5.23
FantasyAlarm – Playbook 6.71 3 3.87 16 4.58 11 5.05
DFSArmy – Domination Station 4.75 17 5.38 2 5.00 7 5.04
DailyRoto – Optimizer 5.75 10 3.50 20 5.75 3 5.00
Sportsline 7.00 1 4.75 4 3.17 22 4.97
DFSArmy – Full Court Press – – 4.96 3 4.85 9 4.91
Industry Consensus – Cash 5.67 11 4.18 14 4.73 10 4.86
NumberFire – Daily Helper 6.33 4 4.67 6 3.38 19 4.79
Awesemo – Cheat Sheet 6.80 2 2.00 30 5.33 5 4.71
DK Playbook – Targets 5.22 13 3.70 18 5.00 7 4.64
Rotowire – Optimizer 5.88 8 4.25 10 2.88 25 4.34
EliteFantasy 4.28 22 4.48 7 3.83 17 4.20
DailyFantasyNerd 3.63 25 4.75 4 4.13 15 4.17
Rotogrinders Core Plays 6.00 6 4.25 10 2.00 27 4.08
Rotowire 4.73 19 3.64 19 3.82 18 4.06
FantasyAlarm – Lineup Generator 5.63 12 3.00 24 3.25 21 3.96
FantasyPros 3.28 28 2.89 25 5.50 4 3.89
RunPureSports 4.19 23 3.11 23 4.32 13 3.87
RotoGrinders Consensus 4.90 14 2.50 26 4.15 14 3.85
NBC Sports Edge – Pivots 3.00 29 2.14 28 6.38 2 3.84
RotoGrinders Lineup Builder 3.50 26 4.00 15 3.86 16 3.79
Rotoballer 4.29 21 4.20 13 2.83 26 3.77
DFSKarma – Game Theory 4.82 16 3.20 22 3.27 20 3.76
Industry Consensus – GPP 4.75 17 3.40 21 3.08 23 3.74
Awesemo – Building Blocks 4.40 20 2.50 26 4.33 12 3.74
DailyFantasySportsRankings 3.33 27 4.27 9 2.89 24 3.50
FantasyLabs 4.90 14 3.73 17 1.80 29 3.48
DFSArmy – Cheat Sheet 4.00 24 4.25 10 2.00 27 3.42
NBC Sports Edge 5.86 9 2.14 28 1.75 30 3.25
DK Playbook – Values 1.25 30 2.00 30 1.33 31 1.53

Sleepers of the Week

Each week we’ll highlight players that scored an “A+” grade but were selected by only one expert.

Monday

  • Josh Hart (DFS Alarm Playbook)
  • Cameron Payne (FantasyPros)
  • Brandon Clarke (FantasyPros)
  • Taj Gibson (FantasyPros)

Wednesday

  • James Harden (DFS Army Full Court Press)
  • De’Aaron Fox (DFS Army Full Court Press)
  • Andre Iguodala (FantasyPros)
  • Obi Toppin (RunPureSports)

Friday

  • Stephen Curry (DFS Army Full Court Press)
  • Dennis Schroder (DFS Army Domination Station)
  • Cedi Osman (EliteFantasy)
  • Killian Hayes (FantasyPros)
  • Alex Burks (FantasyPros)
  • Kenrich Williams (FantasyPros)
  • Larry Nance, Jr (FantasyPros)
  • Blake Griffin (FantasyPros)
  • George Hill (RG Lineup Builder)
  • Luguentz Dort (RunPureSports)
  • Darius Bazley (RunPureSports)
  • Lonnie Walker IV (RunPureSports)

Value Tracker

  • FantasyPros – 25
  • DFS Alarm Playbook – 8
  • RunPureSports – 7
  • DFS Army Full Court Press – 6
  • EliteFantasy – 3
  • Rotowire – 2
  • DK Playbook Targets – 2
  • NBC Sports Edge Pivots – 2
  • DFS Alarm Lineup Generator – 1
  • Rotowire Optimizer – 1
  • Sportsline – 1
  • Awesemo Cheat Sheet – 1
  • DK Playbook Values – 1
  • DFS Army Domination Station – 1
  • RG Lineup Builder – 1

Overall Leaderboard

Our top-3 for the season is below. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.

#1) DailyFantasyInsider (Score: 6.20)

#2) RG Core Plays (Score: 5.88)

#3A) Awesemo Building Blocks (Score: 5.58)

#3B) Sportsline (Score: 5.58)

The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.29) remains in 5th place. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 4.30) fell one spot to 26th place.

Ownership Percentage Tracking

A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.

Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.

Cash

Count $9k+ $7k – $9k $5k – $7k $3k – $5k
25 N/A N/A N/A N/A
24 N/A N/A N/A N/A
23 N/A N/A N/A N/A
22 81.2% N/A 89.1% N/A
21 84.0% N/A 95.8% N/A
20 41.3% N/A N/A 59.0%
19 N/A N/A 71.2% 88.0%
18 71.3% N/A 58.0% 87.6%
17 N/A N/A 72.7% 74.3%
16 41.5% 51.1% 37.5% 69.1%
15 42.0% 21.0% 53.9% 59.7%
14 58.5% 34.1% 64.2% 56.7%
13 38.2% 38.6% 55.6% 16.8%
12 22.7% 44.5% 30.5% 49.4%
11 26.9% N/A 43.3% 31.6%
10 29.3% 19.5% 45.5% 35.4%
9 16.6% 24.1% 26.3% 30.0%
8 19.9% 11.5% 33.3% 36.8%
7 16.1% 14.6% 16.0% 26.6%
6 9.8% 19.5% 12.4% 18.3%
5 5.4% 7.9% 10.9% 19.3%
4 6.4% 4.8% 10.6% 8.3%
3 3.9% 4.6% 8.8% 7.6%
2 2.4% 3.0% 3.8% 3.8%
1 2.1% 2.1% 2.8% 1.5%

GPP

Count $9k+ $7k – $9k $5k – $7k $3k – $5k
25 N/A N/A N/A N/A
24 N/A N/A N/A N/A
23 N/A N/A N/A N/A
22 45.9% N/A 68.0% N/A
21 54.4% N/A 71.40% N/A
20 18.4% N/A N/A 39.6%
19 N/A N/A 49.90% 64.1%
18 34.5% N/A 32.4% 54.20%
17 N/A N/A 50.60% 51.4%
16 33.7% 22.7% 24.6% 44.9%
15 24.7% 23.1% 25.3% 44.5%
14 36.3% 23.7% 53.2% 30.8%
13 23.4% 29.7% 36.3% 14.2%
12 17.2% 33.1% 25.9% 33.6%
11 20.4% N/A 22.3% 24.5%
10 22.5% 17.3% 25.5% 24.0%
9 17.7% 17.0% 18.6% 21.9%
8 15.6% 13.3% 31.0% 26.8%
7 12.5% 14.1% 15.7% 16.6%
6 10.3% 19.0% 12.6% 11.1%
5 7.3% 10.3% 12.6% 13.9%
4 6.9% 7.6% 10.6% 9.5%
3 5.5% 7.4% 9.3% 7.1%
2 4.2% 4.6% 6.2% 4.5%
1 3.3% 4.4% 4.9% 2.1%

We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.

 

Tags: DraftKings, FanDuel, nba, NBA DFS, nba dfs expert grades
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