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Matt Butler
2019-11-05T16:27:25-06:00 2019-11-05T16:27:25-06:00 Our first full week of NBA action is in the books. We have graded 34 experts in the first week and a half of the season! I'd expect more to be added but, for now, see who is making the grade. https://dailyoverlay.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/NBA-Grading-POST.jpg
NBA Expert Grading

NBA – Expert Recap and Grades – Week of October 28th

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NBA Expert Recap and Grades for Week of October 28th

Welcome back to our weekly Expert Recap and Grades article. As in the past, we will break down each daily slate and show you which experts performed well each day. We are already up to 34 experts that we are grading for this NBA season! A three-day week is recapped below. Enjoy!

In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.

As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.

On to the grades!

Week in Review

Monday (October 28th)

Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 6.45 (6th of 29)
Total Cash Plays – 11
GPP DO Score – 4.70 (21st of 29)
Total GPP Plays – 23

A+ – Twelve of the 34 total plays scored an A+ grade.
F – None of the Consensus plays scored a failing grade.

Top Experts of the Day
#1) Awesemo (Score: 10.00) scored an “A+” with their lone play.

#2) Rotoworld (Score: 8.40) picked up four “A+” grades and a “C” grade with their five selections.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Rotoworld (6.71 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Wendell Carter, Jr. (DailyFatasySportsRankings)
A+ – CJ McCollum (DailyRoto)
A+ – TJ Warren (DailyRoto)
A+ – Damien Lillard (DFS Army – Full Court Press)
A+ – OG Anunoby (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Omari Spellman (EliteFantasy)
A+ – Dennis Schroder (RG Grind Down)

Wednesday (October 30th)

Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 5.88 (6th of 29)
Total Cash Plays – 8
GPP DO Score – 3.75 (18th of 29)
Total GPP Plays – 24

A+ – Eight of the 32 total plays scored an “A+” grade.
F – Kelly Oubre, Draymond Green

Top Experts of the Day
#1) NumberFire – Studs (Score: 8.33) scored two “A+” grades and an “A” with their three plays.

#2) RG Core Plays (Score: 7.00) scored two “A+” grades and a “D” on Wednesday.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Awesemo (7.57 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Aron Baynes (Rotoworld)

Friday (November 1st)

Industry Consensus Picks
Cash DO Score – 5.63 (6th of 26)
Total Cash Plays – 8
GPP DO Score – 4.70 (16th of 26)
Total GPP Plays – 23

A+ – Ten of the 31 total plays scored an “A+” grade.
F – Eric Gordon, Derrick White, Richaun Holmes, Clint Capela

Top Experts of the Day
#1A) Fansided (Score: 7.33) scored “A+” with four of their six plays.

#1B) NumberFire – Studs (Score: 7.33) scored two “A+” grades and a “C” with three selections.

Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Rotoballer (6.15 DKPts/$1000)

Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Joe Harris (DailyRoto)
A+ – Taurean Prince (Fantasy Alarm)
A+ – Marcus Morris (Rotoballer)

Overall Leaderboard

RG Core Plays is closing it out strong! You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.

#1) NumberFire – Studs (Score: 7.50)

#2) DFS Karma (Score: 5.79)

#3) Daily Overlay Industry Consensus – Cash Plays (Score: 5.71)

The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus Cash Plays (Score: 5.71) comes out of the gate hot and sits in the top-3. The Consensus GPP Plays (Score: 3.88) is now in 29th place for the season.

Ownership Percentage Tracking

A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.

Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.

Cash

Count $9k+ $7k – $9k $5k – $7k $3k – $5k
19 67.4% N/A N/A N/A
18 56.1% N/A N/A N/A
17 N/A N/A N/A 66.8%
16 61.0% N/A N/A N/A
15 45.3% N/A N/A N/A
14 54.9% N/A N/A 59.9%
13 33.9% N/A N/A 63.4%
12 20.4% N/A N/A 41.7%
11 23.2% N/A 12.6% 51.7%
10 21.0% 27.7% 12.0% 25.9%
9 24.3% 22.4% 44.5% 39.5%
8 N/A 9.1% 17.2% 16.9%
7 1.8% 9.5% 20.2% 27.1%
6 5.5% 8.1% 7.8% 17.9%
5 3.1% 4.5% 5.1% 9.5%
4 1.9% 3.1% 7.9% 19.1%
3 0.3% 2.4% 3.3% 5.5%
2 1.4% 2.1% 3.7% 3.2%
1 N/A 0.9% 1.8% 1.8%

GPP

Count $9k+ $7k – $9k $5k – $7k $3k – $5k
19 45.0% N/A N/A N/A
18 33.5% N/A N/A N/A
17 N/A N/A N/A 41.8%
16 32.2% N/A N/A N/A
15 33.9% N/A N/A N/A
14 31.1% N/A N/A 28.3%
13 20.5% N/A N/A 37.6%
12 23.8% N/A N/A 20.7%
11 15.8% N/A 15.6% 20.8%
10 19.2% 24.8% 15.3% 13.2%
9 23.9% 19.2% 28.3% 20.5%
8 N/A 12.9% 16.9% 14.1%
7 4.2% 11.4% 19.1% 19.3%
6 11.0% 9.0% 9.6% 13.8%
5 6.4% 6.1% 8.4% 7.7%
4 3.6% 4.2% 9.1% 11.8%
3 0.8% 5.5% 5.7% 6.2%
2 3.2% 4.0% 5.9% 4.3%
1 N/A 2.1% 2.9% 2.2%

We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.

 

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