Alabama is playing The Citadel this week.
For as good and hyped up Alabama is, the Tide lose so much respect from me for playing such a shit team, and playing said team this late in the season. Teams with such a stranglehold on the top 4 spots of the College Football Playoff should have some kind of penalty against them for this kind of scheduling.
I understand Alabama is the cream of the crop in college football, but I think they need to show their clout instead of taking the easy way out.
This is an unpopular opinion I am sure, but I am not refuting how great ‘Bama is, I am just saying teams like Bama shouldn’t be playing games this easy this late in the year, if at all.
Anyway, it’s Week 12 in college football, and the regular season is almost over. The good thing for us in DFS is that college football will at least last through January and will feature all kinds of slates during bowl season. DailyOverlay will keep you covered throughout bowl season as well.
But let’s focus on this week and hopefully we all make a little dough.
QUARTERBACKS
Will Grier – West Virginia – $10,100
Analysis: Highest-priced quarterback in the highest projected O/U of the early slate. Oklahoma State’s defense has been getting roasted, but the Mountaineers are barely favored in this game. This will be a recurring theme this week. Oklahoma State is allowing 31 points per game and 255 yards passing.
Ian Book – Notre Dame – $9,000
Analysis: Notre Dame is only favored by 10 points in this game, and that seems awfully generous for Syracuse. I think Notre Dame is above and beyond better than Syracuse, whose early regular season success is still following them apparently. Syracuse is allowing 261 yards and 27 points per game. Book also provides some dual-threat capability, raising his floor and ceiling with rushing yards.
Taylor Cornelius – Oklahoma State – $8,600
Analysis: The other side of the West Virginia/Oklahoma State late slate hammer is Cornelius, who was about 2-feet short on a 2-year throw from upending Oklahoma. Clearly, he’s not the greatest QB in the world, but that doesn’t really matter in DFS where we just want guys who will put up points thanks to high volume and tons of plays. Cornelius is part of a game with a 72.5 O/U and only a spread of -4.5 favoring WVU. Lots of respect for Oklahoma State in this one, according to Vegas.
Adrian Martinez – Nebraska – $7,500
Analysis: Attacking Michigan State through the air is about the only way a team will be successful. Sparty smothers the run, but opens the door up for passing attacks. Michigan State is allowing 255 yards passing per game, and even that number has come down a bit from the start of the year. Martinez can make things happen through the air with two of the better receivers in the Big 10 and scoring fantasy points with his legs if he can find space this week.
Jawon Pass – Louisville – $5,900
Analysis: Basically, I expect North Carolina State to run the table considering Louisville is the worst team on the slate against the run, allowing 42 points per game and 282 yards rushing per game. I like Pass to…well, pass, a lot in this game and also score some points with his legs, too as I fully expect Louisville to be playing from way behind at some point.
Value Play
Kansas State Quarterback vs. Texas Tech
Analysis: This week I am adding some value plays to consider, something I should’ve been doing all season. I have found in my roster construction I am really having to find one or two guys leading up to lock, that I like for value. When selecting players for this write-up this week, I haven’t really factored that part in. So for this week, hopefully the value plays here open up that salary to jam in your favorite core plays. Oh yea, this is about Kansas State. We don’t know who the starter is yet, but whomever is in will be able to throw and pass against one of the worst defenses on the slate and will get a chance at a ton of extra plays with the bump in pace that Texas Tech brings. So, keep the names Skylar Thompson and Alex Delton in your minds this week.
