Funny how things change so quickly.
We took a break from baseball, had an All-Star Game, Bryce Harper won the home run derby…and Manny Machado was traded to the Dodgers.
Brad Hand was traded to the Indians for…Francisco Mejia, their top prospect.
Kawhi Leonard was traded and so was Carmelo Anthony….but to hell with basketball, it’s still baseball season.
And DailyOverlay has changed the look of its website. I hope you enjoy the smoother, finer, sleek layout design!
And we are back to some DFS baseball, at least for the next month or so. NFL preseason is on the horizon and so is the 2018 season. But we will get to that later.
We have 14 games on tonight’s return to the diamond and there’s not a clear cut stack to outright target, so we are going to spread this one out. However, if I had to guess, I am going to take a shot that the Nationals will be one of the highest owned stacks out there tonight. I am going to take a wait-and-see approach with them. I might mix in one or two bats, but I am not going to full out stack.
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For those that I am going to stack, see below. Good luck tonight and remember to follow me on Twitter @HotdogDaily_DFS and on PlayDRAFT @hotdogphingers.
And away we go!
BOSTON RED SOX
1. Mookie Betts
2. J.D. Martinez
3. Steve Pearce
Analysis: Are you surprised? The Red Sox have moved up from the bottom of the barrel against lefties, to one of the top offenses against lefties. Tonight they are on the road against Matthew Boyd, a southpaw that many people in the industry think is a decent pitcher. To that I say don’t listen to the noise. This is the Red Sox, they are on the road and they have two of the best power bats against lefties in all of baseball. The Red Sox also are one of the top offenses against righties, so they are good to go for 9 innings. Boyd has some major regression coming against righties, sporting a 5.09 xFIP and .264 BABIP against them this season. Because of that, his wOBA and homers allowed numbers are depressed,. Betts is on his own plante against southpaws this season as he owns a .513 wOBA, .453 ISO and 42% hard contact against. Pearce and J.D. each have ISOs over .200 and wOBAs in the .390-.420 range.
CLEVELAND INDIANS
1. Jose Ramirez
2. Francisco Lindor
3. Brandon Guyer
Analysis: The Boston/Cleveland stack worked the Friday before the break, throw in some cheap pitching and you can get a relatively high-owned stack with a low-owned stack because no one plays the Indians. There’s a 1B I love tonight that I will have most of my exposure to so I left off E5 from this list, but understand if you want to plug him in against Rangers’ lefty Martin Perez. The Indians are expensive and even though this game will be played in the frigid temperature of a July summer in Texas (we are in extreme heat warnings actually), I still think the Indians are lower owned. Maybe I am wrong. Either way, I am not shying away from Cleveland today. They are in a great spot and tear up lefty pitching. Guyer is a guy that should bat in the middle of the order somewhere and is a cheap value play to pair with Ramirez and Lindor. There are so many OF options I like better than Brantley in a lefty/lefty matchup, but I understand the play if you go there yourself.
