Well turning 34 didn’t have the fantasy outcome I wanted last night, but overall, it was a good day (minus some food that made me ill the rest of the night and into this morning).
TMI?
Yea, sorry about that.
Tyler Glasnow was my kryptonite last night and ruined a lot of great lineups for me. To be transparent, outside of Opening Day, this guy has struggled to put it all together this baseball season. But that’s OK, it’s part of DFS. Targeting the right plays, making smart decisions and stacks that flop are all apart of the process.
For example, Wily Peralta versus the Cubs at Miller Park last week. Didn’t go so well. But tonight? Wily Peralta at Toronto (Coors Field Jr.)? YES PLEASE. More on him later.
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Time for some picks!
Analysis: Tonight’s pitching options are weak to quite weak. I mean, our top option is Cole Hamels on DraftKings, and he’s the bane of my existence despite playing for my favorite team. He’s also a dog in the game, oddly enough. And after Glasnow walked the entire Reds’ batting order last night and promptly scored -9+ DK fantasy points, Taillon ownership could be lower than it should be. And I hope people are scared of him at $8,400. I am not going to be. He’s shown to be an elite groundball pitcher and gets to play in the confines of PNC Park where homeruns go to die. He’s also the biggest favorite on the board tonight at a -190 moneyline. He has a less than 2 walks per inning rate to both sides of the plate and produces groundballs to both sides at a near 2.00 GB/FB rate. He’s a safe option if you don’t want to spend up tonight. He also has better control than Glasnow and more experience. Also, something I haven’t been doing as much I should be is visiting pitcherlist.com. It gives you expert analysis on every MLB starter’s pitches to go along with a .gif of the pitches in action. It’s great. I am going to make this a part of my daily routine from now on. Read up on Taillon and watch the clips, you wiil see why I love him tonight.
Analysis: I am in no way going to trust the Drew Pomeranz’s arm is anywhere close to normal. And he takes the bump tonight against the Orioles at Fenway Park, a RH batters’ ideal hitting oasis. As long as the Orioles run out Castillo over Joseph, I am all in here. He has a 42% hard contact rate against lefties since 2014, a .358 wOBA, a .224 ISO and hits a decent amount of flyballs. While the Green Monster can suck up homeruns, it easily gives up a lot of hits. I am in and it’s not even close.