Well single dad life begins today…
Temporarily of course.
The wife is leaving for a makeup conference until Sunday. It’s the first time she will have been away from our 20-month-old daughter for a longer period of time than a full workday.
It will be the first time I’ve had the responsibility of taking care of the little toot by myself for that long of a time frame.
Hopefully the wife has a great time, and me and my little sugar bear will stay busy enough so that she won’t miss her mom too much.
I am nervous about that most of all. I do not know what to expect of her behavior in the coming days. Will Tod-Zilla come out and wreak havoc on my house and patience?
Or will she really even notice?
Maybe it will be a mixture of both, but the rest of this week looks like I will be dialing down on the DFS baseball volume.
Some 3-entry max tournaments and arcade mode lineups might be all I have time for.
But I will still be focused on who the right plays are heading into the slate and Single Dad Player Recommendations Take 1 starts tonight.
It’s almost a full slate of action, 12 games to be exact.
We have some loaded pitching options at the top and a couple of value plays. Last night’s pitching options were loaded and something very, very unfortunate happened to almost all of the top-tier options. It was pretty wild. I faded everyone at the top and went with the Shark and Berrios. DraftKings’ pricing yesterday, and today even, really make it feel like we should be paying down for pitching with all of the elevated prices for a lot of hitting options. Luckily, the top guy on the slate isn’t very expensive…
Catchers
- Yasmani Grandal
- Welington Castillo
- Brian McCann
- Yadier Molina
- Matt Wieters
First Base
- Freddie Freeman
- Josh Bell
- Mark Reynolds
- Mike Napoli
- Hanley Ramirez
Second Base
- Daniel Murphy
- Robinson Cano
- Jose Altuve
- Jonathan Schoop
- Neil Walker
Third Base
- Jake Lamb
- Rafael Devers
- Adrian Beltre
- Travis Shaw
- Mike Moustakas
Shortstop
- Corey Seager
- Xander Bogaerts
- Francisco Lindor
- Paul deJong
- Jean Segura
Outfield
- Mike Trout
- Bryce Harper
- Charlie Blackmon
- Carlos Gonzalez
- Jay Bruce
Pitchers
- Dallas Keuchel
- Jake Arrieta
- Zack Godley
- Matt Moore
- J.C. Ramirez
Top Stacks
- Colorado Rockies
- Washington Nationals
- Seattle Mariners
- New York Mets
- Houston Astros
Dallas Keuchel – SP – Houston Astros – $10,500
Analysis: Here we have the No. 1 arm on the slate and I will go to war with him. He came back off the DL and subsequently sucked. That’s fine. We get him at a reduced price because of it and we get him at home, where he thrives and dominates. Keuchel checks all of the boxes tonight for me. He’s facing a Rays team that struggles against lefties, striking out 26% of the time and are 23rd in team wOBA against lefties. Keuchel also has strong BvP against most of the Rays’ bats as they are 18-for-76 with 3 RBIs, 3 walks and 22 strikeouts. We also don’t know if they will have Souza, who was a late scratch Tuesday night. At home this season, Keuchel is 4-0 in 5 starts, has given up just 4 ER in those starts and has struck out 32 batters.
Josh Bell – 1B – Pittsburgh Pirates – $3,800
Analysis: I don’t like a lot of first basemen tonight, but Josh Bell stands out as an awesome tournament flier and arcade mode play. Why is that? Because no one will play him and he has one of the best matchups on the board against Cincy’s Robert Stephenson. Bell crushes right-handed pitching, but here are Stephenson’s numbers allowed to lefties this season (albeit limited innings) – .443 wOBA, 3.09 HR/9 rate, 52.6% hard contact rate.
Cody Bellinger – 1B/OF – Los Angeles Dodgers – $4,500
Analysis: Can we break the Value Index curse???? Every time a player has hit on the Index and I recommend them the next night, it’s a flop. I really think it happens here, but I am going with the smart play anyway. Bellinger is WAY underpriced again today, even $200 cheaper (Trap City!). He faces Julio Teheran who is a lefty’s wet dream at SunTrust Park. Teheran has allowed a .344 wOBA, a 1.84 HR/9 rate and a 36.8% hard contact rate to lefties this season. At SunTrust, Teheran has been dreadful, sporting a 1-7 record, a 7.05 ERA, and 41 ER in 51 IP. That’s just insane. By the way, you can pair up Belly with the astronomically expensive Corey Seager who has a HR in each of his three games against Teheran in his career.
