Hope everyone got their fill of fireworks, food and family on the 4th. Hopefully you caught some baseball, too.
The slates were odd on Thursday for FanDuel, they split the games up all over the place, thus no Index for the Fourth.
But we have one final slate to tackle this week and it’s a full 15 games. Below are the tables for xFIP and wOBA. Good luck!
Pitcher xFIP vs. LH
1. Zach Davies – 5.90
2. Jordan Zimmermann – 5.86
3. Antonio Senzatela – 5.78
4. Julio Teheran – 5.77
5. Brendan McKay – 5.66
6. Brett Anderson – 5.51
7. Eric Lauer – 5.46
8. Brad Keller – 5.42
9. Jordan Yamamoto – 5.28
10. Dylan Bundy – 5.27
11. Dakota Hudson – 5.19
12. Austin Voth – 4.90
Pitcher xFIP vs. RH
1. Aaron Sanchez – 6.01
2. Steven Brault – 5.88
3. Jordan Zimmermann – 5.22
3. Yusei Kikuchi – 5.22
5. Adrian Sampson – 5.19
6. Brett Anderson – 5.04
7. Jordan Yamamoto – 5.02
8. Vince Velasquez – 5.00
9. Julio Teheran – 4.97
10. Brad Keller – 4.77
Hitter wOBA vs. LH
1. J.D. Martinez – .498
2. Joey Gallo – .464
3. Cody Bellinger – .460
4. DJ LeMahieu – .400
5. Xander Bogaerts – .399
6. Max Muncy – .395
7. Christian Yelich – .390
8. Mike Moustakas – .389
9. Chris Taylor – .387
10. Eric Sogard – .386
Hitter wOBA vs. RH
1. Mike Trout – .450
2. Josh Bell – .433
3. Freddie Freeman – .411
4. Hunter Dozier – .406
5. Anthony Rendon – .405
6. Jorge Polanco – .402
7. Juan Soto – .400
8. Carlos Santana – .399
9. Derek Dietrich – .396
10. Anthony Rizzo – .395
PITCHERS
Martin Perez – vs. Texas Rangers – $6,900
Analysis: I actually really love the mid-range for pitching today on FanDuel. As you can see in the freebie version, we’ve got two pitchers, and a third sits behind the small paywall you would have to subscribe to, just saying. Anyway, we have some revenge on tap for today as former Ranger Martin Perez takes on his former team, at home, a pitcher’s park. The Rangers are dead last in team wOBA against LH pitching and are striking out at an alarming 29% clip. Perez has upped his strikeout game in 2019, sporting a 9.00 K/9 against lefties and an 8.11 K/9 against righties. Perez is super cheap for the strikeout upside he provides today. Also, he should face a lot of lefties, which he’s held to a sparkling .276 wOBA and has yet to allow a HR to one at all.
Drew Pomeranz – vs. St. Louis Cardinals – $7,300
Analysis: The Cardinals can be a scary team against left-handed pitching, but St. Louis has been awful of late and Pomeranz is starting to get back to his old form. Against lefties, he has a 3.61 xFIP and holding bats to a .332 wOBA while striking them out at a wonderful 12.50 K/9. Against righties, Pom has been getting popped, allowing a .400 wOBA, but he also owns a 4.74 xFIP compares to his 6.55 ERA and .370 BABIP. Positive regression is coming and he draws a home start in one of the best pitcher’s parks in the league against a team that is 18th in wOBA against lefties. I like Perez better, but Pom will be a solid SP2 on two-pitcher sites.
