Well, the NBA season is officially over the Toronto Raptors, yes, the Raptors, are the 2018-19 NBA Champions.
The underdog always comes back around to bite.
Anyway, Major League Baseball provides us DFS players with a full 15-game slate of action.
We have 7 pitchers in the $9K and above range, including a $12K Gerrit Cole, and Lucas Giolito as the third highest-priced pitcher.
There’s also some just trash gas can pitchers on this slate, too: Ryan Carpenter, Drew Smyly, Drew Pomeranz, Cal Quantrill, Steven Brault, etc.
Andrew Cashner was scheduled to pitch, but will not play due to injury.
Below is the table of ERAs/xFIPs based on the top-10 worst xFIPs. Enjoy!
PITCHER ERA/xFIP vs. LH
1. Drew Smyly – 13.50/8.11
2. Trevor Richards – 2.45/6.18
3. Adam Putko – 4.66/6.13
4. Zach Davies – 2.94/6.02
5. Ryan Carpenter – 8.10/5.41
6. Brad Keller – 3.15/5.19
7. Cal Quantrill – 5.28/5.08
8. Marco Gonzales – 6.95/5.07
9. Chris Bassitt – 3.90/4.98
10. Tyler Mahle – 5.86/4.92
PITCHER ERA/xFIP vs. RH
1. Steven Brault – 5.46/6.63
2. Drew Smyly – 7.30/5.93
3. Daniel Ponce de Leon – 2.70/5.74
4. Ryan Carpenter – 7.83/5.70
5. Aaron Sanchez – 4.06/5.63
6. Marco Gonzales – 3.98/5.42
7. C.C. Sabathia – 4.39/5.36
8. Drew Pomeranz – 7.29/4.83
9. Brad Keller – 5.28/4.74
10. Jeff Hoffman – 13.14/4.73
Nick Senzel – OF – Cincinnati Reds – $3,600
Analysis: I don’t know why the Rangers continue to let Drew Smyly pitch. But here we are. Smyly is a long way away from the Drew Smyly of old. The new Smyly is one big frown against righties: .410 wOBA, 35% hard hit rate and a 2.43 HR/9. The Reds are probably the perfect matchup for him to “get right” because they don’t have a lot of pop up and down the order. But where they do have pop is with Senzel and Eugenio Suarez, but more on him in a bit. As for Senzel, he’s been dope against lefties so far in his rookie season. Yes, I just used the word dope as an adjective. Anyway, Senzel owns a .399 wOBA, .239 ISO and 51% hard hit rate. The Great American Smallpark is going to be a juicy place for this matchup and the Rangers (more on them later, too).
Eugenio Suarez – 3B – Cincinnati Reds – $3,400
Analysis: Suarez is the other big bat from the Reds I like today against Smyly. Versus southpaws this season, Suarez owns a .375 wOBA, .259 ISO, a 15.2 BB% and a 53% hard contact rate. Yes, you play him.