Chris Sale at $14.1K on DraftKings today…wow.
But he’s facing the Phillies, but in a small ball park.
Sale seems like an elite lock today, but damn that’s high. We haven’t seen a pitcher priced that high all year on DraftKings.
Anyway, you can figure out that one, I will help you with the rest on tonight’s 7-game tilt.
Matt Carpenter – 1B – St. Louis Cardinals – $4,000
Analysis: I recommended him here yesterday and it paid off, and I like him even more tonight against Zach Davies, who allows a .359 wOBA, a 1.69 HR/9 rate and a 31% hard contact rate. Carpenter is now in the leadoff spot and mashing.
Jorge Bonifacio – OF – Kansas City Royals – $3,200
Analysis: You might find this pick to be kind of out there, but it’s not. This is a reverse-splits pitcher facing a reverse-splits hitter. Bonifacio owns a .367 wOBA, a .229 ISO and a 35% hard contact rate against RH pitching this season. On the flip side, Nolasco owns a .378 wOBA and 41% hard contact rate allowed to RH pitching.
Trevor Story – SS – Colorado Rockies – $3,700
Analysis: Matt Moore on the road in Coors tonight? YES PLEASE! Stack up the Rockies tonight, but don’t forget about Trevor, whose Story has been blah this season (oh yes, that was a bad dad joke). Anyway, he’s still crushing lefties this season with a .402 wOBA, a .346 ISO and a 42% hard contact rate.
Yoenis Cespedes – OF – New York Mets – $4,500
Analysis: Cespedes didn’t play yesterday, but we get another chance to use him against a lefty (should he play of course). My old friend Gio is on the mound against the Mets, the fourth lefty they have faced in a row. This season, Cespedes owns a .519 wOBA, a .571 ISO and a 38% hard contact rate against southpaws. Facing Gio in his career, Cespedes is 6-for-10 with 2 HRs, 2 RBIs and 2 BBs.
Jordan Montgomery – SP – New York Yankees – $8,600
Analysis: He’s priced up, but has been a model of consistency this season. The rookie has come on strong for the Yankees, posting a 12.7% SwStr rate with an 8.67 K/9 rate. He is facing the A’s at Oakland Coliseum, a big ballpark that swallows some strikeouts because of flyball outs in the vast amount of foul territory this stadium commands. The A’s have some pop against lefties, but they just suck as an offense and are striking out 25% of the time to southpaws this season.
Justin Verlander – SP – Detroit Tigers – $7,600
Analysis: The Rays have trolled me all season long, but this opportunity is just too good to pass up. Verlander faces the Rays at Comerica, a place where he has just above a 2.00 ERA in 2017. The Rays have pop themselves, but Verlander can limit the damage of a team that strikes out 25% of the time as well.
