If you watched any of the Rangers/Angels game last night, you could clearly see both teams did not have baseball on their minds.
It was all about Tyler Skaggs and his unexpected death.
There was no walk-up music, fans didn’t know when or if they should cheer, there were lots of errors, wild pitches, and lots of pitches thrown.
I imagine it would be difficult to do anything, even play a sport for fun, to the best of your ability after a sudden death of a loved one.
I also imagine that tonight and the next few weeks, or the rest of the season even, will be difficult for the Angels to regroup mentally, especially when they have to return home and play baseball in front of the home crowd.
Anyway, we have 14 games on today’s slate, with games in Arlington, Coors Field, Cincy and Toronto.
And we have lots of terrible pitching and lots of mispricing on both FanDuel and DraftKings, more on that later.
Below are the xFIP and wOBA tables for today’s slate.
As for the July 4th slate, games will kick off early, so be looking for a Value Index tonight for Independence Day.
Pitcher xFIP vs. LH
1. Jhoulys Chacin – 6.50
2. Bryse Wilson – 5.92
3. Danny Duffy – 5.61
4. Cal Quantrill – 5.56
5. Ariel Jurado – 5.49
6. Chris Archer – 5.12
7. Merrill Kelly – 5.06
8. Tanner Anderson – 5.05
9. Adam Wainwright – 5.03
10. Mike Fiers – 4.94
11. Nick Pivetta – 4.75
Pitcher xFIP vs. RH
1. Mike Fiers – 6.07
2. John Means – 5.57
3. Jason Vargas – 5.34
4. Mike Leake – 5.27
5. Ross Detweiler – 5.14
6. Danny Duffy – 4.93
7. Jhoulys Chacin – 4.83
8. Wade Miley – 4.70
9. Griffin Canning – 4.65
10. Peter Lambert – 4.63
11. Shaun Anderson – 4.61
Hitter wOBA vs. LH
1. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. – Toronto Blue Jays – .466
2. Jordan Luplow – Cleveland Indians – .458
3. Nolan Arenado – Colorado Rockies – .455
4. Ian Desmond – Colorado Rockies – .441
5. Roberto Perez – Cleveland Indians – .409
6. DJ LeMahieu – New York Yankees – .400
7. David Dahl – Colorado Rockies – .396
8. Eric Sogard – Toronto Blue Jays – .392
9. Tommy Pham – Tampa Bay Rays – .391
10. Charlie Blackmon – Colorado Rockies – .386
Hitter wOBA vs. RH
1. Christian Yelich – Milwaukee Brewers – .481
2. Cody Bellinger – Los Angeles Dodgers – .448
3. Mike Trout – Los Angeles Angels – .442
4. Josh Bell – Pittsburgh Pirates – .428
5. Daniel Vogelbach – Seattle Mariners – .423
6. Freddie Freeman – Atlanta Braves – .418
7. Hunter Dozier – Kansas City Royals – .413
8. Jorge Polanco – Minnesota Twins – .404
9. Anthony Rizzo – Chicago Cubs – .401
10. Derek Dietrich – Cincinnati Reds – .399
PITCHERS
Yu Darvish – at Pittsburgh Pirates – $7,200
Analysis: Yu feels awfully cheap tonight, even if he is facing a Pirates team that is tops in team wOBA against RH pitching in the majors. I am not really buying into the Pirates overall, and Yu can still strike guys out, whiffing opponents from the left side at an 8.80 K/9 and opponents from the right side at an elite 12.04 clip. Now, the Pirates only whiff at a 17% strikeout rate, but Darvish gets a boost here considering he should see 4-5 righties in this lineup and he gets to pitch in a pitcher’s park. The downside for Darvish always are the walks, which can kill him. His price tag is so cheap that you have a solid chance at a QS, a win and can load up on bats on FanDuel.
HITTERS
Mookie Betts – OF – Boston Red Sox – $4,100
Analysis: What can I say? Mookie will just make the list every day if he is going to toe this $4K-$3K price tag every day. He paid off last night and draws some guy named Waguespack in Toronto. Betts and the Red Sox overall are much cheaper on DraftKings than on FanDuel. DK clearly screwed something up over there, more on some other mispricings there, too. As I say every time, Betts destroys RH pitching, sporting a .387 wOBA and .225 ISO. By the way, the Red Sox are third overall in team wOBA, so yea, they are in play against some rookie making his first start.
