A bit of a ho-hum holiday week for the NBA experts. No shuffling in the top-5 outside of FantasyGuruElite now claiming 5th place to themselves, breaking last week’s tie. Brad was out so you’ll notice no change in the ownership percentage numbers since we did not track those. Four days of recaps and the overall leaders are below. Enjoy!
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one expert, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles on all weekdays that feature at least four games during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
Tuesday (December 26th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 5.03 (12th of 19)
Total Plays – 33
A+ – Twelve of the 33 plays finished with an “A+” grade.
F – Johnathon Simmons, Austin Rivers, Myles Turner, TJ Warren, DeMar DeRozan
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Sportsline (Score: 8.00) had a nice start to last week as five of their seven plays finished with “A+” grades.
#2) DK Playbook (Score: 7.50) also came out of the gate hot with eight of the ten selections finishing “A” or better including six “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Sportsline (5.96 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Devin Booker (DailyRoto)
A+ – James Ennis (DailyRoto)
A+ – Nikola Mirotic (FantasyCPR)
A+ – Marquese Chriss (FantasyPros)
Wednesday (December 27th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 6.66 (8th of 20)
Total Plays – 41
A+ – Twenty-two of the 41 plays finished with an “A+” grade.
F – Harrison Barnes, Spencer Dinwiddie
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Sportsline (Score: 8.50) optimized quite well again on Wednesday. Of their eight plays, they came away with six “A+” grades, an “A” and a “B”. They were the lone expert site to recommend Kyle Lowry and his “A+” grade.
#2) RG Lineup Builder (Score: 8.00) put another notch on the board for the optimizers. RGLB had six of their seven plays finish with “A” or better including five “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Sportsline (5.64 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Will Barton (DailyRoto)
A+ – E’Twaun Moore (RG Grind Down)
A+ – Kyle Lowry (Sportsline)
A+ – Darren Collison (Scout Fantasy)
A+ – Andrew Wiggins (FantasyPros)
A+ – CJ Miles (FantasyPros)
A+ – Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (FantasyPros)
A+ – Marvin Williams (FantasyPros)
A+ – Dirk Nowitzki (FantasyGuruElite)
A+ – Dennis Schroder (FantasyGuruElite)
Thursday (December 28th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 4.26 (12th of 17)
Total Plays – 27
A+ – Ish Smith, James Harden, Bismack Biyombo, Tyus Jones, Andre Drummond, Marcus Smart
F – Al-Farouq Aminu
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Rotowire (Score: 8.60) managed four “A+’s” and a “B” with their five picks to take the top spot.
#2A) DK Playbook (Score: 5.80) had six selections grade “A” or higher out of their ten plays for the day.
#2B) Rotoballer (Score: 5.80) scored “A” or better with three of five plays including two “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
Rotowire (6.82 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – TJ McConnell (Scout Fantasy)
Friday (December 29th)
Industry Consensus Picks
DO Score – 3.91 (6th of 17)
Total Plays – 32
A+ – Russell Westbrook, Anthony Davis, DeMarcus Cousins, Otto Porter, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Dwight Howard, Marquese Chriss, Draymond Green
F – James Harden, Steven Adams, Carmelo Anthony, Eric Gordon, Wayne Ellington, Tyler Johnson
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Rotoballer (Score: 5.00) topped the experts for the 3rd Friday in a row. If you’re looking for Friday picks, you might side with Rotoballer…ha!
#2A) RG Lineup Builder (Score: 4.25) scored an “A” or better with three of their eight plays to find the top-2 to end the week.
#2B) FantasyLabs (Score: 4.25) had five of their 12 plays finish “A” or better including three “A+” grades.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
RG Lineup Builder (5.45 DKPts/$1000)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Taurean Prince (DailyRoto)
Overall Leaderboard
No changes in the top-5. FantasyGuruElite now holds onto to 5th place all by themselves. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 5.16) stretched out their lead a bit with a solid bump of .10 in score for the week.
#2) Daily Overlay – Hot Sheet (Score: 4.94) stayed flat as Brad was on vacation last week and did not make any plays.
#3) FantasyLabs (Score: 4.93) is nipping at Brad’s heels for 2nd place. FantasyLabs saw their score jump .02 for the week.
#4) RotoGrinders Consensus (Score: 4.87) saw another small dip in score last week of .03. They are still within striking distance.
#5) FantasyGuruElite (Score: 4.80) continued to climb the standings last week. They now sit alone in the #5 spot with a nice .05 jump in score last week.
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus picks (Score: 4.72) held steady 7th place tie after last week. The Consensus score did jump .05 for the week though.
Ownership Percentage Tracking
**With Brad being out last week, we did not track ownership percentages so the numbers remain the same**
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 16 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 87.30% |
| 15 | 76.00% | 53.30% | N/A | N/A |
| 14 | 49.45% | 67.27% | 58.72% | N/A |
| 13 | 49.88% | 45.75% | 65.90% | 85.15% |
| 12 | 43.77% | 34.15% | 52.48% | 65.20% |
| 11 | 26.86% | 40.48% | 40.76% | 42.13% |
| 10 | 28.13% | 26.44% | 36.80% | 54.85% |
| 9 | 24.88% | 19.32% | 38.41% | 57.33% |
| 8 | 17.58% | 19.29% | 23.75% | 30.67% |
| 7 | 12.41% | 12.90% | 14.59% | 28.80% |
| 6 | 10.64% | 11.45% | 18.19% | 23.40% |
| 5 | 10.71% | 7.22% | 11.20% | 19.20% |
| 4 | 3.61% | 5.41% | 8.48% | 15.42% |
| 3 | 3.37% | 4.83% | 5.65% | 9.67% |
| 2 | 1.75% | 3.05% | 3.66% | 5.08% |
| 1 | 1.28% | 1.85% | 2.27% | 2.42% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 16 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 55.60% |
| 15 | 55.80% | 39.80% | N/A | N/A |
| 14 | 38.40% | 41.03% | 40.27% | N/A |
| 13 | 32.76% | 34.45% | 46.20% | 52.38% |
| 12 | 30.38% | 24.58% | 33.65% | 36.03% |
| 11 | 24.12% | 28.90% | 26.61% | 29.45% |
| 10 | 23.18% | 21.53% | 24.64% | 35.76% |
| 9 | 21.42% | 18.27% | 26.19% | 30.11% |
| 8 | 17.39% | 18.65% | 20.83% | 20.16% |
| 7 | 12.23% | 13.56% | 13.91% | 19.38% |
| 6 | 12.28% | 11.13% | 15.36% | 14.92% |
| 5 | 10.56% | 8.70% | 11.57% | 14.54% |
| 4 | 6.31% | 6.84% | 9.92% | 12.27% |
| 3 | 5.52% | 6.64% | 8.26% | 8.19% |
| 2 | 4.43% | 4.83% | 5.79% | 5.23% |
| 1 | 3.66% | 3.76% | 3.98% | 2.97% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Weighted Consensus article.
