Some of the top experts this past week included FantasyTeamAdvice, FantasyAlarm and CBS Sportsline, who all finished in the top 2 multiple times. The Overall Standings are the same in the top four spots but had the RotoGrinders Consensus move back into fifth place. Meanwhile, it was a good week for the DailyOverlay Industry Consensus which finished in the top 5 twice this week.
NOTE: With only three games on the NBA schedule Monday we will not have our Consensus and Weighted Consensus articles. We will, however, add Thursday night into the mix this week.
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks did, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one or two experts, but produced an “A+” grade. I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles each Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, and Friday during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
Monday (January 2)
Monday featured a solid eight-game slate of NBA action. The experts performed well with four experts finishing with a DailyOverlay score of 6.0 or better and nine more experts with a DailyOverlay score of 5.0 or better.
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks finished near the top in 5th place finish out of 18 experts graded with a DailyOverlay score of 5.89.
A+ – Rudy Gobert, Russell Westbrook, James Harden, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Trevor Ariza, Nikola Vucevic, Joakim Noah, Draymond Green, Anthony Davis, Greg Monroe, Michael Carter-Williams, Kemba Walker, Jrue Holiday, Raymond Felton, Nikola Jokic
F – Derrick Favors, Enes Kanter
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RotoGrinders Lineup Builder (Score: 6.33) tops the list with five players receiving a grade of “B” or better out of six selections including picks of Russell Westbrook, Jrue Holiday and Michael Carter-Williams.
#2) FantasyAlarm (Score: 6.05) grabbed second place on the night with 10 “A+” selections out of 22 picks. Some of their key selections included Jimmy Butler, Kemba Walker, Anthony Davis, Draymond Green and Joakim Noah.
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Eric Bledsoe (FanSided)
A+ – Jodie Meeks (Scout Fantasy)
A+ – Eric Gordon (Rotowire)
A+ – Jusuf Nurkic (FantasyPros)
Tuesday (January 3)
Monday featured another eight-game slate of NBA action. The experts didn’t fare as well as Monday with no experts receiving a DailyOverlay score over 5.0.
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks finished near the top again with another 5th place finish out of 16 experts graded but with only a DailyOverlay score of 3.64.
A+ – DeMarcus Cousins, Darren Collison, Reggie Jackson, Karl-Anthony Towns, Isaiah Thomas, Willie Reed, John Wall
F – Andrew Wiggins, JaMychal Green, TJ Warren, Kyle Lowry, Wilson Chandler, Shelvin Mack, Ricky Rubio
Top Experts of the Day
#1) CBS Sportsline (Score: 4.86) tops the list with four grades of “A” or better out of seven selections including picks of Isaiah Thomas, DeMarcus Cousins, Joel Embiid and Andre Drummond.
#2) FantasyAlarm (Score: 4.18) takes second place for the second straight day with 10 picks receiving a grade of “A+” or “A” out of their 22 selections. Key selections included John Wall, Reggie Jackson, DeMarcus Cousins and Karl-Anthony Towns.
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Julius Randle (RotoGrinders Consensus, FanSided)
A+ – Jusuf Nurkic (Scout Fantasy, FantasyPros)
Wednesday (January 4)
Wednesday night featured a solid slate of seven games of NBA action. The experts had a very good night with 16 out of 18 experts recording a DailyOverlay score over 5.0.
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus finished in the bottom half with a 12th place finish out of 18 experts graded but still coming in with a strong 5.30 DailyOverlay score.
A+ – Giannis Antetokounmpo, Carmelo Anthony, Kevin Durant, Joakim Noah, Greg Monroe, CJ McCollum, Russell Westbrook, Jamal Crawford, Aaron Gordon, Stephen Curry
F – DeMarcus Cousins
Top Experts of the Day
#1) DailyFantasyNerd (Score: 7.25) tops the list of experts on Wednesday with five out of eight players receiving an “A+” grade. They were led by selections of Carmelo Anthony, Greg Monroe, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kevin Durant and Joakim Noah.
#2) CBS Sportsline (Score: 6.83) finishes second place on with five out of nine selections receiving a grade of “A+” or “A”. Key picks included Stephen Curry, Kevin Durant and DeAndre Jordan.
Sleepers of the Day
Too many to name them all but here are a few…
A+ – Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (DailyFantasySportsRankings)
A+ – Frank Kaminsky (DailyRoto)
A+ – Mason Plumlee (DailyRoto)
A+ – Channing Frye (FantasyAlarm)
A+ – Garrett Temple (FanSided)
A+ – Raymond Felton (Rotoballer)
A+ – Doug McDermott (FantasyLabs)
Friday (January 6)
Friday night consisted of a solid eight-game slate of NBA action. The experts finished the week on a high note with all but one expert coming in with a DailyOverlay score over 5.0.
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks finished right in the middle with a 9th place ranking out of 18 experts with a great DailyOverlay score of 6.11.
A+ – Too many to name them all with a total of 20 players on the Consensus list receiving an A+
F – Sean Kilpatrick
Top Experts of the Day
#1) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 8.20) takes home the top spot on Friday with four of their five selections receiving an “A+” grade including LeBron James, Mike Conley, James Johnson and Tristian Thompson.
#2) CBS Sportsline (Score: 8.00) finishes the week strong with their third top two finish this week with six out of seven selection receiving a grade of “A” or better. Key picks included Stephen Curry, DJ Augustin, LeBron James, DeMarcus Cousins and Kelly Olynyk.
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Otto Porter (DailyRoto)
A+ – D’Angelo Russell (RotoGrinders NBA Grind Down)
A+ – DJ Augustin (CBS Sportsline)
A+ – Kelly Olynyk (CBS Sportsline)
A+ – Courtney Lee (FantasyPros)
A+ – Tony Allen (DailyFantasyNerd)
Overall Leaderboard
We are now through Week 11 of the NBA season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 5.27) builds on their lead with three top 2 finishes this week.
#2) RotoGrinders Lineup Builder (Score: 5.05) had another solid week including a first place finish on Monday to remain in second place in the overall standings.
#3) FantasyLabs (Score: 4.89) continues to hold onto a slim lead over fourth place despite only one finish in the top 8 this week.
#4) RotoGrinders NBA Grind Down (Score: 4.87) continues to close the gap on third place in the overall standings with three top 8 finishes this week.
#5) RotoGrinders Consensus (Score: 4.78) moves back into the Top 5 this week with two top 8 finishes this week.
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus picks (Score: 4.54) moves up one spot into 15th place out of 21 experts ranked in the overall standings through 11 weeks of action. The Industry Consensus had a good week with three top 10 finishes and are right on the heels of numerous experts.
Let’s see which experts can make the grade this week!
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
We utilize the Industry Consensus list to help predict ownership percentages by tracking the actual ownership percentages for each player that shows up on the Consensus list and averaging the ownership percentage for the number of times a player was selected by our list of experts.
Below is the current table showing the data through the first week of the season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and large field tournaments for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The Cash % column shows the average ownership percentage of those players in a Cash game. The GPP % column shows the average ownership percentage of those players in a GPP tournament. The Total column shows the number of occurrences that a player was selected that many times.
| Count | Cash% | GPP% | Total |
| 15 | 61.65% | 41.95% | 2 |
| 14 | 40.82% | 31.58% | 5 |
| 13 | 49.68% | 35.52% | 19 |
| 12 | 45.37% | 34.12% | 18 |
| 11 | 39.39% | 27.97% | 36 |
| 10 | 34.29% | 25.28% | 58 |
| 9 | 23.77% | 20.24% | 76 |
| 8 | 21.28% | 19.07% | 106 |
| 7 | 19.13% | 16.31% | 138 |
| 6 | 15.07% | 13.66% | 187 |
| 5 | 12.70% | 11.93% | 252 |
| 4 | 10.55% | 10.06% | 312 |
| 3 | 7.74% | 8.26% | 429 |
| 2 | 4.54% | 5.25% | 608 |
| 1 | 2.89% | 3.44% | 1112 |
We will look to continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Consensus and Weighted Consensus articles.
