Last week in the Association we saw more late scratches including some coming after lineup lock (I’m looking at you, Jimmy Butler). Unfortunately, that comes with the territory in NBA DFS. However, unlike your lineups, we do take out any players that were late scratches, even after lineup lock, from the expert’s recommendations when we perform the grading in order to make sure everyone is on an even playing field. This week the top of the leaderboard continues to see the same sites jockeying for position with the DailyOverlay – Value Index holding onto the top spot. This week will be the last full week of NBA games before the All-Star break cuts next week short. Let’s see who can make a move before we hit the All-Star break.
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one or two experts, but produced an “A+” grade. I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles each Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, and Friday during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
Monday (January 30)
Monday consisted of a nice six-game slate of NBA action. The experts had an average night with four experts finishing with a DailyOverlay score of 5.0 or higher.
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks had a poor night finishing in 16th place out of 20 experts graded with a DailyOverlay score of 3.58.
A+ – Mike Conley, Channing Frye, Karl-Anthony Towns, Andre Drummond, Isaiah Thomas, Yogi Ferrell
F – Zach LaVine, Tristan Thompson, Tyler Johnson
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Rotoballer (Score: 6.43) tops the list with six players receiving a grade of “A+” or “A” out of seven selections including picks of Mike Conley, Karl-Anthony Towns and Andre Drummond.
#2) RotoGrinders Lineup Builder (Score: 5.75) grabbed second place on the night with six selections receiving a grade of “B” or better out of eight picks. They were led by their selections of Mike Conley, Channing Frye and Andre Drummond.
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Ish Smith (FantasyPros)
A+ – Isaiah Whitehead (FantasyPros)
A+ – Vince Carter (FantasyPros)
A+ – Rodney McGruder (FantasyPros)
A+ – Ricky Rubio (FantasyLabs)
Tuesday (January 31)
Tuesday featured another solid six games of NBA action. The experts performed much better with 16 out of 18 experts finishing with a DailyOverlay score of 5.0 or better.
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks finished in the bottom half 12th place out of 18 experts graded but had a strong DailyOverlay score of 6.13.
A+ – Brandon Jennings, Kenneth Faried, Kyle Lowry, Ivica Zubac, Gary Harris, Anthony Davis, Kawhi Leonard, Markieff Morris, Jrue Holiday, LaMarcus Aldridge, Al-Farouq Aminu, Trevor Ariza, Ryan Anderson, Steven Adams, Bradley Beal, Victor Oladipo, Jonas Valanciunas, Russell Westbrook, Lou Williams, Marcin Gortat
F – James Harden, Evan Turner, Larry Nance Jr., Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, Jusuf Nurkic, Joakim Noah
Top Experts of the Day
#1) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 8.00) tops the list with four out of five selections receiving an “A+” grade including picks of Ivica Zubac, Brandon Jennings, Kawhi Leonard and Patrick Patterson.
#2) FantasyLabs (Score: 6.75) takes second place with 12 picks receiving an “A+” grade out of their 20 selections. Some of their key selections included Russell Westbrook, Kyle Lowry, Brandon Jennings, Jrue Holiday, Anthony Davis and Ryan Anderson.
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Nick Young (FantasyPros)
A+ – DeMarre Carroll (FantasyPros)
A+ – Guillermo Hernangomez (FantasyPros)
A+ – Timofey Mozgov (FantasyPros)
A+ – Clint Capela (FantasyPros)
Wednesday (February 1)
Wednesday night featured a huge slate with 12 games of NBA action. The experts had a solid night with eight out of 18 experts recording a DailyOverlay score of 5.0 or better.
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus finished in the middle of the pack in 9th place out of 18 experts graded coming in with a 4.76 DailyOverlay score.
A+ – Brandon Jennings, LeBron James, Yogi Ferrell, Guillermo Hernangomez, Blake Griffin, Isaiah Thomas, Russell Westbrook, Channing Frye, Seth Curry, Nikola Vucevic, Gordon Hayward, Klay Thompson, Rudy Gobert, Anthony Davis, Kristaps Porzingis
F – Carmelo Anthony, Paul George, Domantas Sabonis, Jonas Valanciunas, Kyle O’Quinn, Nerlens Noel
Top Experts of the Day
#1) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 6.83) finished in the top spot for the second straight day with four out of six selections bringing home “A+” grades. Key selections included Brandon Jennings, Seth Curry, LeBron James and Nikola Vucevic.
#2) DailyFantasyNerd (Score: 6.50) comes in second on the night, with six picks receiving a grade of “B” or better out of eight selections. Their picks were led by Brandon Jennings, Trevor Booker, Nikola Vucevic and LeBron James.
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Jrue Holiday (DailyRoto)
A+ – JaVale McGee (RotoGrinders Lineup Builder)
A+ – Iman Shumpert (FanSided)
A+ – Shabazz Muhammad (FanSided)
A+ – Karl-Anthony Towns (FanSided)
A+ – Tobias Harris (FantasyPros)
A+ – Trevor Booker (DailyFantasyNerd)
A+ – Eric Bledsoe (DraftKings Playbook)
A+ – Tristan Thompson (DrafKings Playbook)
Friday (February 3)
Friday night consisted of a solid nine-game slate of NBA action. The experts finished the week strong with 16 out of 19 experts topping a DailyOverlay score of 5.0.
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks once again finished near the middle of the rankings coming in 11th out of 19 experts graded with a good DailyOverlay score of 5.58.
A+ – DeMarcus Cousins, Wilson Chandler, D’Angelo Russell, Paul George, Devin Booker, Yogi Ferrell, Serge Ibaka, Wesley Matthews, Thaddeus Young, Russell Westbrook, Matt Barnes, Marc Gasol, Steven Adams, James Harden, Kenneth Faried
F – none
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RotoGrinders Lineup Builder (Score: 7.57) takes home their second top two finish this week with five “A+” grades out of seven selections. Top picks included Russell Westbrook, DeMarcus Cousins, Yogi Ferrell, Paul George and Matt Barnes.
#2) RotoGrinders Consensus (Score: 7.32) makes it a clean sweep for the day for the RotoGrinders crew with 11 “A+” grades out of 19 selections. Their picks were led by Devin Booker, Serge Ibaka, Kenneth Faried, DeMarcus Cousins, D’Angelo Russell and Steven Adams.
Sleepers of the Day
Too many to name them all but are a few of the better values…
A+ – Marcus Morris (DailyRoto)
A+ – Taj Gibson (DailyRoto)
A+ – Jonas Valanciunas (DailyRoto)
A+ – Ish Smith (FantayPros)
A+ – Jon Leuer (FantsyPros)
A+ – Nikola Mirotic (FantasyPros)
A+ – John Henson (FantasyPros)
Overall Leaderboard
We are now through Week 15 of the NBA season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) DailyOverlay – Value Index (Score: 5.34) lost a little bit of the lead but managed to remain in first place in the overall standing through the third week of picks finishing in the Top 4 on both Wednesday and Friday.
#2) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 5.24) had a strong week to close the gap on first place by finishing with the top DailyOverlay score twice this week.
#3) RotoGrinders Lineup Builder (Score: 5.04) is making a move pushing their DailyOverlay score over 5.0 for the season with two Top 2 finishes this week.
#4) FantasyLabs (Score: 4.92) jumps up into fourth place from the sixth spot last week with three finished in the Top 4 this week.
#5) DraftKings Playbook (Score: 4.91) drop one spot down into fifth place for the season despite a solid week that included two Top 4 finishes this week.
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus picks (Score: 4.60) moved up one spot on the leaderboard this week into 13th place out of 22 experts ranked in the overall standings through 15 weeks of action.
Let’s see which experts can make the grade this week!
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
This week we two new tables of ownership percentage data to display broken down by the number of times a player was recommended AND their salary for Cash and GPP entries. Check out the “Smarter Projected Ownership Percentages” article for a full explanation of how we are using this new data.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 15 | 63.10% | 60.20% | ||
| 14 | 36.35% | 63.95% | ||
| 13 | 50.01% | 47.48% | 53.32% | 75.30% |
| 12 | 43.24% | 47.82% | 48.73% | |
| 11 | 33.42% | 44.78% | 42.29% | 62.78% |
| 10 | 27.46% | 33.80% | 32.60% | 58.23% |
| 9 | 20.99% | 28.35% | 24.56% | 31.92% |
| 8 | 17.04% | 19.77% | 23.10% | 35.04% |
| 7 | 14.62% | 19.22% | 18.16% | 26.05% |
| 6 | 14.54% | 14.38% | 15.34% | 22.27% |
| 5 | 12.84% | 12.30% | 11.26% | 19.58% |
| 4 | 9.06% | 8.97% | 8.84% | 14.53% |
| 3 | 6.04% | 7.00% | 6.34% | 9.02% |
| 2 | 2.60% | 4.89% | 3.99% | 5.11% |
| 1 | 3.17% | 3.68% | 2.73% | 2.78% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 15 | 47.60% | 36.30% | ||
| 14 | 27.95% | 44.20% | ||
| 13 | 35.49% | 35.35% | 38.52% | 50.20% |
| 12 | 33.49% | 33.90% | 30.80% | |
| 11 | 25.40% | 31.49% | 29.25% | 41.80% |
| 10 | 21.78% | 24.57% | 24.99% | 35.44% |
| 9 | 19.56% | 23.25% | 20.38% | 22.58% |
| 8 | 17.21% | 18.78% | 19.86% | 25.21% |
| 7 | 14.45% | 17.00% | 16.51% | 18.27% |
| 6 | 14.64% | 13.68% | 14.29% | 15.96% |
| 5 | 12.37% | 12.40% | 11.46% | 14.20% |
| 4 | 11.19% | 9.68% | 9.38% | 11.64% |
| 3 | 8.40% | 8.80% | 7.79% | 8.01% |
| 2 | 4.35% | 6.16% | 5.65% | 5.01% |
| 1 | 5.07% | 5.09% | 4.53% | 2.86% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Consensus and Weighted Consensus articles.
