As we near the All-Star break, we have a shift in the Overall Standings with FantasyTeamAdvice recapturing the top spot. We also had our first ever “Perfect 10” with the RotoGrinders 6-pack receiving an “A+” grade from each of their six selections on a very “chalky” Wednesday night in NBA DFS.
NOTE: This week we will only be grading Monday and Wednesday with just a mini three-game slate on Tuesday and two-game slate on Thursday before we head into All-Star weekend.
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one or two experts, but produced an “A+” grade. I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles each Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, and Friday during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
Monday (February 6)
Monday consisted of a big 11-game slate of NBA action. The experts had an average night with four experts finishing with a DailyOverlay score of 5.0 or higher.
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks finished in the bottom half of the standings for the day with a 12th place finish out of 18 experts graded with a solid DailyOverlay score of 4.44.
A+ – Anthony Davis, TJ Warren, LeBron James, Russell Westbrook, Blake Griffin, Matt Barnes, Kevin Love, Jrue Holiday, Karl-Anthony Towns
F – D’Angelo Russell, Derrick Rose
Top Experts of the Day
#1) FantasyAlarm (Score: 5.83) tops the list with 10 players receiving an “A+” grade out of 25 selections. Some their top plays included LeBron James, Russell Westbrook, Bradley Beal, Kevin Love, Blake Griffin and Matt Barnes.
#2) DailyFantasyNerd (Score: 5.50) grabbed second place on the night with five selections receiving a grade of “A+” or “A” out of eight picks. They were led by their selections of TJ Warren, Larry Nance Jr and Anthony Davis.
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Garry Harris (RotoGrinders NBA Grind Down)
A+ – Gordon Hayward (FantasyAlarm)
A+ – Ish Smith (FantasyPros)
A+ – Buddy Hield (FantasyPros)
A+ – Andre Roberson (FantasyPros)
A+ – Derrick Favors (FantasyPros)
A+ – Robin Lopez (FantasyPros)
A+ – Larry Nance Jr. (DailyFantasyNerd)
Wednesday (February 8)
After taking a day off from grading on Tuesday with a short three-game slate, Wednesday night featured another huge slate with 11 games of NBA action. It turned out to be a very “chalky” night with huge DailyOverlay scores including the first “Perfect 10” by RotoGrinders 6-pack. All 20 expert’s graded finished with a DailyOverlay score over 5.0.
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus finished in the middle of the pack in 11th place out of 20 experts graded coming in with a 6.88 DailyOverlay score.
A+ – Too many to name them all as a total of 25 players on the list received an “A+”
F – Michael Carter-Williams, D’Angelo Russell
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RotoGrinders 6-pack (Score: 10.00) finished in the top spot with a Perfect 10 resulting from all six selections receiving a “A+” grade including Matt Barnes, Jamal Crawford, Kosta Koufos, Draymond Green, Darren Collison and Klay Thompson.
#2) DailyFantasyNerd (Score: 6.50) comes in second for the second time this week with six “A+
picks out of eight selections. Their picks were led by Dennis Schroder, Carmelo Anthony, Jeff Teague, Paul Millsap and Rudy Gobert.
Sleepers of the Day
Too many to name them all but here are a few…
A+ – Bojan Bogdanovic (FantasyWired)
A+ – Robin Lopez (FantasyWired)
A+ – Brandon Knight (FantasyPros)
A+ – Monta Ellis (FantasyPros)
A+ – JaMychal Green (FantasyPros)
A+ – Amir Johnson (FantasyPros)
A+ – Alex Len (FantasyPros)
A+ – Rodney McGruder (FantasyLabs)
Thursday (February 9)
With a short slate on Tuesday, we shifted to grading the five-game Thursday night slate last week. The experts performed well with eight out of 18 experts finishing with a DailyOverlay score of 5.0 or better.
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks once again finished in the middle of the pack in 9th place out of 18 experts graded with a good DailyOverlay score of 4.97.
A+ – Russell Westbrook, James Harden, Rudy Gobert, Gordon Hayward, Victor Oladipo, Trevor Ariza, Steven Adams, Dario Saric, Evan Fournier, Al-Farouq Aminu
F – Kay Felder, Jahlil Okafor
Top Experts of the Day
#1) Rotowire (Score: 6.67) tops the list with eight out of nine selections receiving either a “A+” or “A” grade including picks of James Harden, Victor Oladipo, Nik Stauskas and Steven Adams.
#2) FantasyPros (Score: 5.94) takes second place with 10 picks receiving a “A+” or “A” grade out of their 17 selections. Some of their key selections included Dario Saric, Rudy Gobert, Victor Oladipo and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist.
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Marcus Smart (FanSided)
A+ – Andre Roberson (FanSided)
A+ – Devin Harris (Scout Fantasy)
A+ – Nik Stauskas (FantasyPros)
A+ – Sergio Rodriguez (FantasyPros)
A+ – DJ Augustin (FantasyPros)
A+ – Bismack Biyombo (FantasyPros)
A+ – Dirk Nowitzki (DraftKings Playbook)
Friday (February 10)
Friday night consisted of a solid nine-game slate of NBA action. The experts fared okay to end the week with five out of 19 experts topping a DailyOverlay score of 5.0.
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks had their best showing of the week coming in 7th out of 19 experts graded with a good DailyOverlay score of 4.87.
A+ – Anthony Davis, Carmelo Anthony, Nikola Jokic, Darren Collison, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jrue Holiday, DeMarcus Cousins, John Wall, Rodney McGruder, Tony Allen, James Johnson, Klay Thompson
F – Brandon Ingram, John Henson
Top Experts of the Day
#1) DailyFantasySportsRankings (Score: 5.87) grabs the top spot Friday with 11 out of 15 selections receiving a grade of “B” or higher. Top picks included John Wall, Jrue Holiday, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Carmelo Anthony, Rodney McGruder and Anthony Davis.
#2) Rotoballer (Score: 5.63) comes in second to finish out the week with five picks receiving a grade of “A+” or “A” out of eight selections. Their picks were led by selections of Jrue Holiday, Klay Thompson and DeMarcus Cousins.
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Dewayne Dedmon (DailyRoto)
A+ – Draymond Green (FantasyAlarm)
A+ – Kyle O’Quinn (DailyRoto, FanSided)
A+ – Jameer Nelson (RotoGrinders NBA Grind Down, Scout Fantasy)
Overall Leaderboard
We are now through Week 16 of the NBA season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 5.21) moves back into the top spot despite only finishing in the Top 8 twice this week.
#2) RotoGrinders Lineup Builder (Score: 5.01) moves up one spot into second place in the overall standings despite only one Top 10 finish this week.
#3) DailyOverlay – Value Index (Score: 5.00) fell two spots in the overall standings with the first down week since joining the expert grading. The Value Index did have two Top 8 finishes and will look to rebound next week.
#4) FantasyLabs (Score: 4.97) is closing in on the leaders with a solid week that included three Top 8 finishes.
#5) DailyFantayNerd (Score: 4.94) moves up into the Top 5 overall thanks to two second place finishes on Monday and Wednesday this past week.
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus picks (Score: 4.64) increased its DailyOverlay score but holds steady this week in 13th place out of 22 experts ranked in the overall standings through 16 weeks of action.
Let’s see which experts can make the grade this week!
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Check out the “Smarter Projected Ownership Percentages” article for a full explanation of how we are using this data.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 15 | 63.10% | 60.20% | ||
| 14 | 36.35% | 63.95% | 14.00% | |
| 13 | 50.01% | 47.48% | 53.32% | 75.30% |
| 12 | 41.92% | 47.82% | 48.73% | |
| 11 | 34.58% | 43.62% | 42.57% | 44.66% |
| 10 | 27.26% | 33.45% | 32.34% | 58.23% |
| 9 | 21.79% | 27.88% | 25.29% | 31.83% |
| 8 | 17.78% | 19.72% | 22.45% | 33.30% |
| 7 | 14.23% | 19.13% | 18.92% | 25.16% |
| 6 | 14.21% | 14.26% | 15.54% | 21.52% |
| 5 | 12.68% | 12.01% | 11.13% | 19.41% |
| 4 | 8.16% | 8.91% | 8.86% | 14.58% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 7.13% | 6.49% | 8.94% |
| 2 | 2.60% | 4.86% | 4.08% | 5.06% |
| 1 | 3.14% | 3.58% | 2.74% | 2.75% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 15 | 47.60% | 36.30% | ||
| 14 | 27.95% | 44.20% | 20.40% | |
| 13 | 35.49% | 35.35% | 38.52% | 50.20% |
| 12 | 32.44% | 33.90% | 30.80% | |
| 11 | 26.76% | 31.30% | 29.22% | 32.06% |
| 10 | 21.24% | 24.51% | 25.12% | 35.44% |
| 9 | 19.65% | 22.89% | 20.89% | 22.53% |
| 8 | 17.60% | 18.67% | 19.39% | 24.15% |
| 7 | 14.12% | 17.04% | 16.81% | 17.85% |
| 6 | 14.46% | 13.60% | 14.36% | 15.62% |
| 5 | 12.58% | 12.11% | 11.40% | 14.16% |
| 4 | 10.30% | 9.67% | 9.31% | 11.65% |
| 3 | 8.33% | 8.69% | 7.82% | 7.96% |
| 2 | 4.35% | 6.14% | 5.68% | 4.99% |
| 1 | 4.96% | 4.96% | 4.50% | 2.85% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Consensus and Weighted Consensus articles.
