It is hard to believe that we are exactly one month away from the end of the NBA regular season. So with only about four weeks left the experts need to make their final push to move up the Overall Standings to finish in the Top 5. FantasyTeamAdvice has regained the top spot thanks to a strong week including two Top 2 finishes, while the rest of the Top 5 remained the same.
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks performed, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one or two experts, but produced an “A+” grade. I also list the top DraftKings Points per $1000 experts for each day and for the season as well as the top DK Pts/$1000 player that was recommended by at least one expert for each day’s slate. Finally, I will also review the overall standings and highlight the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles each Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, and Friday during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the industry expert’s consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
Monday (March 6)
Monday consisted of a big 11-game slate of NBA action. The experts had a solid showing with five out of 20 experts finishing with a DailyOverlay score of 5.0 or higher.
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks finished well coming in 7th place out of 20 experts graded with a solid DailyOverlay score of 4.61.
A+ – Ty Lawson, Kawhi Leonard, Bismack Biyombo, Rudy Gobert, James Harden, Kemba Walker, Giannis Antetokounmpo, LeBron James, Kyrie Irving
F – Klay Thompson, Terrence Ross
Top Experts of the Day
#1) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 7.50) tops the list with all four of their selections receiving either an “A+” or “A” grade including Ty Lawson, Kosta Koufos, Eric Gordon and Paul Millsap.
#2) RotoGrinders Lineup Builder (Score: 7.00) grabbed second place on the night with five out of six players receiving a grade of “A” or better. Their top plays included Rudy Gobert, CJ Miles and Bismack Biyombo.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
FantasyTeamAdvice (6.68 DKPts/$1000) – Best pick: Kosta Koufos (8.78x value)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Isaiah Thomas (DailyRoto)
A+ – Kosta Koufos (FantasyTeamAdvice)
A+ – Tim Hardaway Jr (Scout Fantasy)
A+ – Tony Parker (FantasyPros)
A+ – Mason Plumlee (FantasyPros)
A+ – Jeremy Lamb (DailyFantasyNerd)
Top DK Pts/$1000 Player of the Day
Bismack Biyombo (10.02x value) – 7 experts
Wednesday (March 8)
Wednesday consisted of another big 11-game slate of NBA action. The experts didn’t do quite as well overall with only three out of 20 experts finishing with a DailyOverlay score of 5.0 or higher.
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks finished near the middle of the pack coming in 12th place out of 20 experts graded with a 4.02 DailyOverlay score.
A+ – Jeremy Lin, DeMarcus Cousins, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Dennis Schroder, Elfrid Payton, John Wall, Evan Fournier, James Harden, David Lee, Ricky Rubio, Karl-Anthony Towns, Mason Plumlee
F – Bismack Biyombo, Pau Gasol, Sam Dekker, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Blake Griffin
Top Experts of the Day
#1) DailyFantasyNerd (Score: 6.13) tops the list with all eight of their selections receiving a grade of “B” or better. Key selections included Jeremy Lin, DeMarcus Cousins and Ricky Rubio.
#2) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 5.80) make their second appearance in the top two this week with two “A+” grades from Jeremy Lin and DeMarcus Cousins to go along with three “B” grades out of their five selections.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
DailyFantasyNerd (5.54 DKPts/$1000) – Best pick: Jeremy Lin (7.39x value)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Marvin Williams (DailyRoto)
A+ – Kelly Olynyk (DailyRoto)
A+ – Sean Kilpatrick (FantasyAlarm)
A+ – Kosta Koufos (FanSided)
A+ – Clint Capela (Scout Fantasy)
A+ – Jonas Valanciunas (FantasyPros)
Top DK Pts/$1000 Player of the Day
Elfrid Payton (11.80x value) – DailyRoto, RotoGrinders NBA Grind Down, FantasyAlarm, FanSided, FantasyLabs
Friday (March 10)
Friday night brought us a solid eight-game slate of NBA action which was a solid night for the DFS experts with seven out of 19 receiving a DailyOverlay score over 5.0.
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus finished the week strong coming in 5th place out of 19 experts graded with a very good 5.22 DailyOverlay score.
A+ – Ricky Rubio, Trevor Ariza, Bradley Beal, James Harden, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Paul George, Jeremy Lin, Willie Cauley-Stein, Trevor Booker, DeMar DeRozan, Wilson Chandler, Marvin Williams, Jeremy Lamb
F – Terrance Ross
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RotoGrinders Lineup Builder (Score: 6.60) finished in the top two for the second day this week with four “A+” grades out of eight selections including Ricky Rubio, DeMar DeRozan, Paul George and Trevor Ariza.
#2) Rotowire (Score: 5.78) takes second place with all nine of their selections finishing with a grade of “B” or better. Top picks included Jeremy Lin, Paul George and Trevor Ariza.
Top DK Pts/$1000 Expert of the Day
RotoGrinders Lineup Builder (5.53 DKPts/$1000) – Best pick: Trevor Ariza (7.61x value)
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Lou Williams (DailyRoto)
A+ – Otto Porter (DailyRoto)
A+ – Quincy Acy (DailyRoto)
A+ – Nemanja Bjelica (Rotoballer)
A+ – Dwight Powell (FantasyPros)
A+ – Ryan Anderson (FantasyPros)
A+- Jonas Valanciunas (FantasyPros)
Top DK Pts/$1000 Player of the Day
Willie Cauley-Stein (8.83x value) – DailyRoto, RotoGrinders NBA Grind Down, RotoGrinders Consensus, DK Playbook
Overall Leaderboard
We are now through Week 20 of the NBA season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 5.20) regains the top spot with a strong week featuring two Top 2 finishes.
#2) DailyOverlay – Value Index (Score: 5.10) drops back down into second place overall with only one Top 5 finish this week.
#3) RotoGrinders Lineup Builder (Score: 5.03) holds onto the third spot with two Top 2 finishes this week.
#4) FantasyLabs (Score: 4.93) remains in fourth place despite finishing in the bottom half of the standing each day this week.
#5) DraftKings Playbook (Score: 4.91) remains in fifth place by finishing in the Top 10 all three days this week.
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus picks (Score: 4.64) moved up one spot into 12th place out of 23 experts ranked in the overall standings through 20 weeks of action.
Top DK Points/$1000 Leaders
Combining the total DraftKings points for every player selected this season divided by the total salary of every player selected to get each experts DK Pts/$1000.
#1) FantasyWired (now PokerNewsSports) (5.289x value)
#2) DailyFantasyNerd (5.237x value)
#3) RotoGrinders Lineup Builder (5.226x value) – NEW
Let’s see which experts can make the grade next week!
Ownership Percentage Tracking
A part of daily fantasy sports strategy is understanding ownership percentages and being able to predict ownership percentages prior to entering contests especially for GPP tournaments where you might want to be contrarian by selecting lower owned players or fading highly owned players depending on the payout structure and size of the contest.
Below are the tables showing the actual data collected so far this season. Results are using a DraftKings Double-Up for Cash and single entry tournament for GPP. The Count column shows the number of times a player was selected by the experts for a given day. The salary columns show the average ownership percentages for all players that were recommended by the given number of experts for the salary range provided.
Check out the “Smarter Projected Ownership Percentages” article for a full explanation of how we are using this data.
Cash
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 15 | 63.10% | 60.20% | ||
| 14 | 36.35% | 63.95% | 45.27% | |
| 13 | 49.67% | 48.89% | 48.02% | 75.30% |
| 12 | 41.92% | 47.82% | 48.73% | 29.70% |
| 11 | 35.34% | 40.06% | 44.82% | 43.60% |
| 10 | 27.25% | 31.10% | 33.38% | 54.79% |
| 9 | 21.77% | 27.11% | 25.32% | 31.04% |
| 8 | 19.28% | 19.40% | 22.28% | 34.02% |
| 7 | 14.82% | 19.20% | 19.81% | 26.06% |
| 6 | 14.27% | 13.88% | 15.58% | 21.59% |
| 5 | 10.73% | 11.94% | 10.55% | 20.40% |
| 4 | 9.12% | 8.32% | 9.31% | 14.14% |
| 3 | 5.07% | 6.71% | 6.50% | 9.31% |
| 2 | 2.48% | 4.64% | 3.96% | 5.01% |
| 1 | 3.30% | 3.41% | 2.67% | 2.60% |
GPP
| Count | $9k+ | $7k – $9k | $5k – $7k | $3k – $5k |
| 15 | 47.60% | 36.30% | ||
| 14 | 27.95% | 44.20% | 27.23% | |
| 13 | 34.73% | 34.56% | 34.65% | 50.20% |
| 12 | 32.44% | 33.90% | 30.80% | 23.00% |
| 11 | 26.83% | 28.21% | 29.77% | 29.74% |
| 10 | 20.71% | 22.51% | 25.86% | 33.11% |
| 9 | 19.36% | 22.11% | 20.61% | 22.27% |
| 8 | 17.89% | 18.39% | 19.09% | 24.27% |
| 7 | 14.43% | 16.82% | 17.36% | 18.72% |
| 6 | 14.28% | 13.20% | 14.16% | 15.47% |
| 5 | 11.48% | 12.06% | 11.15% | 14.55% |
| 4 | 10.53% | 9.23% | 9.49% | 11.24% |
| 3 | 7.63% | 8.43% | 7.70% | 8.03% |
| 2 | 4.47% | 5.89% | 5.68% | 4.97% |
| 1 | 5.39% | 4.81% | 4.44% | 2.76% |
We continue to track this over the course of the season as we provide projected ownership percentages for players on each slate in our NBA Consensus and Weighted Consensus articles.
