The Monday after the Super Bowl features a big 11-game slate of NBA action to transition all the NFL fans into the NBA. It is an interesting slate with the usual mix of injuries opening up some value plays and a lot of games with fairly close spreads (only one bigger than six points) which should make for some fun games. The experts seem to be in agreement on who the top plays are with a lot of players in the Highly Touted and Recommended sections.
The numbers in the parenthesis are the number of experts that picked that player to give you more context as to the gaps between players and the tiers. Also listed are our new “smarter” projected ownership percentages for Cash and GPP leagues to help determine which players will be the chalk and which players could be a good low owned contrarian play.
Here are the Industry Consensus picks for tonight…
Highly Touted
- Anthony Davis (12x) – Cash 43% / GPP 33% – Has played at least 39 minutes in four straight games which has led to big production, gets favorable matchup against Suns
- Guillermo Hernangomez (11x) – 42% / 29% – With Joakim Noah out again, while Willy has scored at least 15 points in three straight games
- DeMarcus Cousins (8x) – 17% / 17% – Huge production since Rudy Gay went down, averaging 28.8 points, 12.8 boards and 6.0 assists
- Dwyane Wade (8x) – 20% / 19% – Solid option if Jimmy Butler plays, great option if he doesn’t
- Devin Booker (8x) – 23% / 20% – Topped 30 points in each of his last two games playing a game with one of the highest Vegas totals (221)
- Kristaps Porzingis (8x) – 23% / 20% – Production hasn’t been there but reasonable price and favorable matchup against Lakers puts him in play
- TJ Warren (8x) – 35% / 25% – Over 36 minutes in his last two games, averaging 15.5 points and 6.5 boards
- John Wall (7x) – 15% / 16% – Four straight double-doubles while averaging 22.5 points and 14.0 assists
- LeBron James (7x) – 15% / 16% – Has reached double-digit assists in seven of his last 11 games
- Nikola Jokic (7x) – 15% / 16% – Limited minutes in his last game due to foul trouble, should bounce back to 30+ minutes
- Lavoy Allen (7x) – 26% / 18% – Scored 18 points with 11 boards starting in place of Thaddeus Young who will be out again tonight
Recommended
- Russell Westbrook (6x) – 15% / 15% – “Only” two triple-doubles in his last six games
- Blake Griffin (6x) – 14% / 14% – Looks to be back to full strength, averaging 27.7 points and 8.0 rebounds in his last three games
- Eric Bledsoe (6x) – 14% / 14% – Scoring has been high (41 points twice) and low (20 or less three times) in his last five games
- Yogi Ferrell (6x) – 15% / 14% – Will continue to play big minutes as long as Deron Williams is out
- Victor Oladipo (6x) – 15% / 14% – Coming off one of his best games of the season with 24 points and 13 boards
- Matt Barnes (6x) – 22% / 16% – Price remains low, minutes remain high (30+ in three straight)
- Kevin Love (5x) – 12% / 12% – Came back with a bang putting up 23 points and 16 boards on Saturday against the Knicks
- Jrue Holiday (5x) – 12% / 12% – Looking to score more with 17 or more shots in five straight games
- Carmelo Anthony (5x) – 12% / 12% – Production has been limited lately outside of the 4OT game against the Hawks
- D’Angelo Russell (5x) – 12% / 12% – Averaging 19.7 points, 9.0 assists and 6.7 boards in three games since returning from injury
- Seth Curry (5x) – 11% / 11% – Played 27+ minutes in 11 straight games, gets favorable matchup against Nuggets
- Steven Adams (5x) – 11% / 11% – Back-to-back games with 13 rebounds
- Derrick Rose (5x) – 11% / 11% – Expected to return from injury to a favorable matchup against the Lakers tonight
Suggested
- Andre Drummond (4x) – 9% / 10%
- Harrison Barnes (4x) – 9% / 9%
- Wesley Matthews (4x) – 9% / 9%
- Shabazz Muhammad (4x) – 15% / 12%
- Kyle O’Quinn (4x) – 15% / 12%
- Karl-Anthony Towns (3x) – 6% / 8%
- Paul George (3x) – 7% / 9%
- Andrew Wiggins (3x) – 7% / 9%
- Taj Gibson (3x) – 9% / 8%
- Marquese Chriss (3x) – 9% / 8%
Hope you find the right combination to cash!
Check back again on Tuesday for the next edition of the NBA Industry Consensus picks.
