NOTE: We will NOT have an NBA Industry Consensus article or NBA Consensus Lineup Construction article today due to the varied NBA schedule on Martin Luther King Day. We will resume on Tuesday.
We finally have a leader in the overall standings hold onto first place for consecutive weeks, although it is by the narrowest of margins. I have also added a new section at the bottom of the article that shows the results of our new endeavor to produce lineups based on the Industry Consensus picks each night we grade the experts. The first week was a little rocky, but I expect us to improve as we get more data on the best way to utilize the Consensus picks to construct winning lineups.
In this article, I will give a brief recap of each day we gathered and graded the experts, including how the Industry Consensus picks did, highlighting which experts were at the top for the day and which players were only called out by one or two experts, but produced an “A+” grade. I will also review the overall standings, highlighting the top experts so far this season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
As a reminder, we are currently gathering selections and publishing the NBA Industry Consensus articles and NBA Consensus Lineup Construction articles each Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, and Friday during the NBA season, so be sure to check back about an hour or so before the first game tips off to get a look at the consensus picks for the day.
On to the grades!
Week in Review
Monday (Jan 11)
Monday night only had a mini three-game slate representing the smallest slate that we have graded this season. The experts performed outstandingly with every expert receiving a DailyOverlay score over 5.0.
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks had their best finish of the season finishing in 2nd place out of 10 experts with an outstanding 6.71 DailyOverlay score.
A+ – Otto Porter, John Wall, Draymond Green, Gerald Green, LaMarcus Aldridge, Dwyane Wade, Chris Bosh, Stephen Curry, Manu Ginobili
F – None
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RotoGrinders NBA Grind Down (Score: 7.17) topped the experts on Monday with 3 “A+” grades and no grade below a “B”. Key selections included John Wall, Otto Porter, and Draymond Green.
#2) DailyOverlay – Industry Consensus (Score: 6.71) rose to second place on the day with 9 “A+” grades out of 17 selections thanks to a strong performance from all of the experts picks.
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Garrett Temple (DailyFantasySportsRankings, DailyRoto)
A+ – Boris Diaw (FanSided)
A – Andrew Bogut (DailyFantasySportsRankings)
Tuesday (Jan 12)
Tuesday night consisted of a solid 8 game slate of NBA action. The experts had a decent night with three experts receiving DailyOverlay scores greater than 5.0.
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks finished in the middle of the pack in 6th out of 12 experts with a DailyOverlay score of 4.44 for the day.
A+ – Kristaps Porzingis, Lou Williams, Russell Westbrook, Jimmy Butler, Shabazz Muhammad, Pau Gasol
F – Stanley Johnson
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RotoGrinders Expert Tourney Picks (Score: 5.89) had 4 “A+” grades out of 9 selections. Their top selections included consensus plays of Jimmy Butler and Lou Williams as well as a couple off the radar selections of Isaiah Thomas and Tony Allen.
#2 tie) RotoGrinders 6-pack and FanSided (Score: 5.17) tied for second place on the night. RotoGrinders 6-pack had 2 “A+” grade selections of Lou Williams and Shabazz Muhammad while not recording any “F” grades. FanSided had 12 “A+” grades out of their 36 selections. Key selections included Kristaps Porzingis, LeBron James, George Hill, Mirza Teletovic and Pau Gasol among others.
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Arron Afflalo (DailyFantasySportsRankings)
A+ – George Hill (DailyRoto, FanSided)
A+ – LeBron James (DailyRoto, FanSided)
A+ – LaMarcus Aldridge (Moxyball-MoxyList, FanSided)
A+ – CJ Miles (FantasyTeamAdvice)
A+ – Mirza Teletovic (FanSided)
Wednesday (Jan 13)
Wednesday night featured a solid 10-game slate of NBA action. The experts performed very well with four experts receiving a DailyOverlay score of 6.0 or higher.
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks finished closer to the bottom on Wednesday finishing in 8th place for the day out of 11 experts graded, but still had a solid DailyOverlay score of 5.0.
A+ – DeMarcus Cousins, Kristaps Porzingis, Damian Lillard, Khris Middleton, Andrew Wiggins, Danilo Gallinari, Arron Afflalo, Stephen Curry, James Harden, Greg Monroe
F – Tyreke Evans, Russell Westbrook, Otto Porter, Al Horford, Shabazz Muhammad
Top Experts of the Day
#1) DailyRoto (Score: 7.59) blew away the competition with 15 “A+” grades out of 22 selections including numerous of the consensus plays such as Stephen Curry, James Harden, Arron Afflalo and DeMarcus Cousins, but also hit on a bunch of off the radar picks including JJ Barea, Jose Calderon, Jeremy Lin and Eric Gordon.
#2) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 6.78) came in a strong second place with 5 “A+” grades out of their 9 selections. They were led by picks of Stephen Curry, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Thaddeus Young and Kristaps Porzingis.
Sleepers of the Day
Way too many to name them all, but here are a few of the cheaper value plays that came through.
A+ – Jose Calderon (DailyRoto)
A+ – Dwight Powell (DailyRoto)
A+ – Derrick Williams (FantasyAlarm)
A+ – Nene Hilario (FanSided)
A+ – Eric Gordon (DailyRoto)
A+ – Terrence Jones (FantasyAlarm)
A+ – Garrett Temple (FanSided)
A+ – Joe Johnson (FanSided)
Friday (Jan 15)
Friday night featured a 9-game slate of NBA action. The expert’s scores were down overall with no expert scoring over 5.0.
Industry Consensus Picks
The Industry Consensus picks in the upper half on the night on Friday with a 5th place finish out of 12 experts graded with a DailyOverlay score of 3.56.
A+ – Paul Millsap, Damian Lillard, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Hassan Whiteside
F – Gerald Green, Devin Booker, CJ Miles, Danilo Gallinari
Top Experts of the Day
#1) RotoGrinders 6-pack (Score: 4.83) finishes in the top two for the second time this week with 4 out of 6 selections receiving a “B” grade or better. Top picks included Hassan Whiteside, Damian Lillard, and Khris Middleton.
#2) RotoGrinders NBA Grind Down (Score: 4.79) also make their second appearance in the top two this week with 10 grades of “B” or better out of 14 selections. They hit on some consensus plays such as Damian Lillard, Paul Millsap, and Giannis Antetokounmpo and also hit on an off the radar selection of Beno Udrih.
Sleepers of the Day
A+ – Russell Westbrook (DailyFantasySportsRankings, DailyRoto)
A+ – Beno Udrih (RotoGrinders NBA Grind Down, FantasyTeamAdvice)
A+ – Marcus Smart (RotoGrinders Expert Tourney, DailyOverlay-Double Stuffed)
A – Kevin Durant (DailyRoto, FanSided)
A – Nicolas Batum (DailyRoto)
A – Michael Carter-Williams (FanSided)
Overall Leaderboard
We have now completed 12 weeks of the NBA season. You can view the full NBA Overall Standings here.
#1) DailyRoto (Score: 4.952) just barely holds the top spot in the overall standings for the second straight week. DailyRoto had an up and down week overall but was able to keep the top spot thanks to their huge score and a first place finish on Wednesday.
#2) RotoGrinders NBA Grind Down (Score: 4.950) moves back into second place this week, just a fraction behind first place. RotoGrinders NBA Grind Down finished in the top two twice this week to help lead them back into second place.
#3) FakePigskin (Score: 4.93) drops back into third place in the overall standings this week. FakePigskin only had picks graded one day this week on Tuesday and had a solid 4th place showing on the day.
The Daily Overlay Industry Consensus picks (Score: 4.57) improved their overall score this week including a 2nd place finish on Monday. The Industry Consensus picks remained in 6th place in the overall standings out of a total of 14 experts graded this season, but are in striking distance of 4th place with a good week.
Let’s see which experts can make the grade this week in the NBA!
Consensus Lineup Construction Review
We started a new feature at DailyOverlay this week, where writers on our staff utilize the daily Industry Consensus article picks to build a sample DFS lineup for FanDuel and DraftKings.
Here is a list of the “rules” we are starting with when constructing the lineups:
- All players in our lineups come from the names listed in our consensus article, if possible. However, if one of those players is ruled out and we have time to put in that player’s backup or a player around the same salary, we will pivot to that player.
- We must use as many of the “Highly Touted” and “Recommended” players as possible, then fill in the remaining salary with players from the ”Suggested” player list. All of us submitting lineups will have some subjectivity to who we play based on the matchup when we need to fill out the remaining portion of our rosters.
We will have at least 1 DraftKings and 1 FanDuel lineup every night we write the Consensus article and enter them into a Cash (50/50) league and large-field GPP tournament. The results of those lineups will be provided in this section each week.
Weekly Results
FanDuel
| Day | Score | Cash | Profit(Loss) | GPP | Profit(Loss) | Picks By |
| Monday | 274.7 | 3/100 | $1.60 | 6,518/172,414 | $4.00 | Brad |
| Tuesday | 300.1 | 17/100 | $1.60 | 21,121/172,303 | $2.00 | Matt |
| Wednesday | 234.1 | 91/100 | ($2.00) | 106,420/143,678 | ($2.00) | Brad |
| Friday | 236.3 | 72/100 | ($2.00) | 100,304/143,678 | ($2.00) | Matt |
| Total | 261.3 (avg) | ($0.80) | $2.00 |
The FanDuel lineups started out strong on Monday and Tuesday cashing in both the 50/50 and GPP tournaments. The Wednesday and Friday lineups didn’t fare as well. Overall for the week, the FanDuel lineups netted a $1.20 profit for a solid ROI: 7.5%.
DraftKings
| Day | Score | Cash | Profit(Loss) | GPP | Profit(Loss) | Picks By |
| Monday | 229.50 | 14,104/24,294 | ($1.00) | 56,516/143,750 | ($3.00) | Stephen |
| Tuesday | 206.25 | 20/20 | ($2.00) | 5,332/5,750 | ($2.00) | Stephen |
| Wednesday | 197.25 | 20/20 | ($2.00) | 5,086/5,750 | ($2.00) | Stephen |
| Friday | 238.50 | 667/1,136 | ($2.00) | 2,683/5,750 | ($2.00) | Stephen |
| Total | 217.88 | ($7.00) | ($9.00) |
The DraftKings lineups proved to be more challenging as they did not cash all week. With the extra lineup flexibility and tighter pricing the DraftKings lineups might take some time to master using the Consensus picks.
Overall, I expect to see improvements to our results as we accumulate more data on how to best utilize the Industry Consensus picks to construct optimal lineups. We may also explore producing different lineups between Cash and GPP leagues down the road.
