The NFL season is rolling along now with two weeks in the books. We have added season-to-date standing into the mix now along with the first cut of ownership percentages. We have also added a few new sites to our list of experts this week including a couple lineup optimizers from DailyFantasyNerd and RotoGrinders. If you are interested in getting your picks graded be sure to inquire by sending an email to management@dailyoverlay.com.
Week 2 saw a lot of injuries across the NFL cutting short fantasy production for some big names and allowing other players to emerge who we will likely see on the Week 3 Consensus list.
Be sure to come back each week for a review of the Industry Consensus picks highlighting the top (and bottom) grades for the week and season from the experts we are tracking. For Week 2 we tracked and graded 24 sets of experts picks including the Industry Consensus list. You can view all expert’s overall rankings on the Expert Grading page.
On to the Week 2 grades, class is in session!
Consensus Recap – Week 2
The Industry Consensus picks had a good week finishing in 9th place overall out of 24 experts graded this week.
This week the consensus list was solid across the board at all positions finishing in the top 10 among our experts at three different positions including QB, WR and Defense where the picks ranked 5th.
At quarterback, the consensus picks included strong plays of Cam Newton, Philip Rivers and Carson Palmer. The running back position didn’t fare as well but had solid picks at the top of the list with C.J. Anderson, DeAngelo Williams and LeGarrette Blount. Wide Receiver is a difficult position with so many good scores each week but the Consensus list did have four of the top six scores at the position with Kelvin Benjamin, Travis Benjamin, DeAndre Hopkins and Jarvis Landry. Delanie Walker was the most selected tight end and he didn’t disappoint this week. And finally, the defense position shined with two of the top performers of the week with the Broncos and Panthers.
Head of the Class – Week 2
Each week I will highlight a few of the top experts for the week. Here are the experts that deserve a “gold star” for Week 2 based on their cumulative grades for all players they touted this week.
#1) ProFootballFocus (Score: 4.89) tops the weekly expert’s rankings with six out of their nine selections receiving a “B” grade or higher. They were led by selections of Cam Newton, Travis Benjamin and Delanie Walker.
#2) DailyFantasyNerd (Score: 4.50) comes in second place in the first week that they were added to our list of experts. Using their lineup optimizer, they had four our eight selections receive a grade of “A+” or “A” including Cam Newton, LeGarrette Blount, Travis Benjamin and the Broncos defense.
#3) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 3.67) shows up in the top three for the second consecutive week with solid grades across the board receiving a grade of “C” or higher with nine out of their 12 selections. Key picks included Cam Newton, DeAngelo Williams, Jarvis Landry and Delanie Walker.
Head of the Class – Week 2 (By Position)
Sometimes there is just that one class that you excel in. In this section, I will highlight who the top experts were at each position for Week 2.
QB – ProFootballFocus and DailyFantasyNerd (10.00) each received an “A+” with their only QB selection of Cam Newton
RB – RotoGrinders – Lineup Builder (5.00) received two “A” grades with their selections of DeAngelo Williams and LeGarrette Blount
WR – ProFootballFocus (4.50) provided two “A” or better grades at the position with Travis Benjamin and Marvin Jones
TE – ProFootballFocus and RotoGrinders – Lineup Builder and RotoCurve (10.00) cashed in at TE with strong picks of either Delanie Walker or Jacob Tamme
DST – DailyFantasyNerd (10.00) received a perfect 10 with their selection of the Broncos defense
Study Time – Week 2
If we are going to give a gold star to the top experts of the week, we also need to determine which experts might need to put in some extra study time to pull up those grades. Here are the Week 2 experts that didn’t make the grade this week.
- Rotowire (Score: 1.33) received five “F” grades out of their nine selections including players Danny Woodhead, A.J. Green, Tajae Sharpe, Chris Hogan and Gary Barnidge
- FantasyPros (Score: 1.81) had half of their 26 selection result in an “F” grade, some of the players that let them down were Jameis Winston, Jeremy Kerley and Antonio Brown.
Extra Credit – Week 2
In this section, I will look to give some extra credit to experts that received an A+ grade for a player that they recommended when very few other experts did. Week 1 extra credit goes to the following…
A+ – Matt Ryan (ESPN – Love/Hate)
A+ – Isaiah Crowell (Moxyball – Cheatsheets)
A+ – Dennis Pita (DailyRoto)
A+ – Clive Walford (ESPN – Love/Hate)
A+ – Cardinals Defense (FantasyAlarm)
Head of the Class – Season
Here are the top experts in the Overall Standings through the first two weeks of the 2016 season, including which site has provided the top DrafKings points per $1000 of salary.
#1) DailyFantasyNerd (Score: 4.50) jumps to the top of the overall leaderboard in their first week of grading using their lineup optimizer. Let’s see if they can keep the top spot in their second week.
#2) DailyOverlay – Value Index (Score: 4.46) our very own Stephen is holding strong in second place with another solid week in Week 2 with the 8th highest DailyOverlay score out of 24 experts.
#3) FantasyTeamAdvice (Score: 4.19) also remains near the top of the standings through two weeks with their second consecutive top three finish.
#4) GoingFor2 (3.42) had put together two top 6 finishes over the first two weeks of the season to come in fourth so far.
#5) DailyFantasySportsRankings (Score: 3.42) is just a fraction of a point behind 4th place thanks to a top 10 finish in each of the first two weeks.
Top Value – DailyOverlay – Value Index (3.69 DK Pts/$1000)
The DailyOverlay Industry Consensus list has started off the season strong ranking as the 9th best expert out of 26 experts grades so far this season.
Head of the Class – Season (By Position)
Sometimes there is just that one class that you excel in. Here are the top experts at each position through the first two weeks of the season including which site has provided the top DrafKings points per $1000 of salary.
QB
#1) DailyFantasyNerd (10.00)
#2) ProFootballFocus (5.50)
Top Value – DailyFantasyNerd (4.41 DK Pts/$1000)
RB
#1) DailyOverlay – Value Index (6.00)
#2) RotoGrinders – Lineup Builder (5.00)
Top Value – DailyOverlay – Value Index (4.97 DK Pts/$1000)
WR
#1) DailyFantasySportsRankings (5.29)
#2) DailyOverlay – Value Index (4.33)
Top Value – DailyOverlay – Value Index (3.49 DK Pts/$1000)
TE
#1 tie) RotoGrinders – Lineup Builder (10.00)
#1 tie) RotoCurve (10.00)
Top Value – RotoGrinders – Lineup Builder (6.38 DK Pts/$1000)
DST
#1) DailyFantasyNerd (10.00)
#2) GoingFor2 (5.20)
Top Value – DailyFantasyNerd (6.11 DK Pts/$1000)
Ownership Percentages by Position
Now that we are two weeks into the season I will start to publish the ownership percentages by position for both Cash and GPP contests. It is early in the season so there are still plenty of “gaps” in the grids but you can start to see the level of ownership expected given the total number of experts that select a given player. I will update this section each week and we will start to include projected ownership percentages in our Weekly Consensus article.
Cash
| Count | QB | RB | WR | TE | DST | Total |
| 18 | 54.0% | 54.0% | ||||
| 17 | ||||||
| 16 | ||||||
| 15 | 63.7% | 63.7% | ||||
| 14 | 32.2% | 45.6% | 24.7% | 33.7% | ||
| 13 | ||||||
| 12 | 23.5% | 45.0% | 34.3% | |||
| 11 | 24.2% | 59.0% | 35.8% | |||
| 10 | 8.0% | 26.7% | 17.4% | |||
| 9 | 6.4% | 32.1% | 23.8% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 20.9% |
| 8 | 50.9% | 16.8% | 12.0% | 21.7% | ||
| 7 | 9.0% | 13.4% | 7.1% | 10.7% | ||
| 6 | 2.8% | 7.2% | 19.7% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 10.7% |
| 5 | 2.0% | 3.0% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 13.4% | 6.3% |
| 4 | 3.8% | 1.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 6.0% |
| 3 | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% |
| 2 | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| 1 | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% |
GPP
| Count | QB | RB | WR | TE | DST | Total |
| 18 | 30.9% | 30.9% | ||||
| 17 | ||||||
| 16 | ||||||
| 15 | 34.2% | 34.2% | ||||
| 14 | 14.0% | 21.4% | 13.9% | 15.8% | ||
| 13 | ||||||
| 12 | 8.8% | 24.8% | 16.8% | |||
| 11 | 18.1% | 26.0% | 20.7% | |||
| 10 | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.9% | |||
| 9 | 5.8% | 18.8% | 13.5% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 12.5% |
| 8 | 19.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 11.5% | ||
| 7 | 8.8% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | ||
| 6 | 6.6% | 8.5% | 15.7% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 10.6% |
| 5 | 3.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 3.3% | 17.9% | 6.8% |
| 4 | 4.0% | 2.2% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% |
| 3 | 4.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% |
| 2 | 2.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% |
Let’s see who can make the grade in Week 3!
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