This week’s marquee game should provide the DFS and fantasy football community some fireworks. Chiefs at Rams, perhaps a Super Bowl preview, highlights Week 11 in the NFL.
Thankfully, the damn game got moved from Mexico back home to the Rams where it belongs.
It makes no sense to have the most anticipated matchup of the NFL regular season to not be played on the soil in which the sport thrives.
I won’t get into all of this, I am just glad the NFL did something about the venue due to field conditions instead of risking injury to players on two of its best teams in the league.
But switching gears to the main slate this week, we have one really intriguing game and a lot of meh games. There’s maybe a couple of meh games that could turn into track meets.
Oh and after manhandling the Eagles, I predict the Cowboys will do such a Cowboys thing this week and get smacked around by the Falcons.
But I digress, it’s time to dig into some GPP plays for Week 11.
QUARTERBACKS
Phillip Rivers – Los Angeles Chargers – $6,000
Analysis: The Broncos haven’t been the No Fly Zone all season, but they still have Chris Harris in the slot. But Rivers has been running through all opposing defenses this year, throwing at least 2 touchdowns in every single game this season. With Melvin Gordon, Allen, Mike and Tyrell Williams, Rivers has no shortage of options in the passing game.
Deshaun Watson – Houston Texans – $5,700
Analysis: Watson can’t seem to get over $6K despite throwing 17 TDs with just 7 interceptions with 268 rushing yards and a score. He’s averaging 22.2 fantasy points per game this season and gets a defense that is perceived to be tough, despite the Redskins allowing the 9th most fantasy points to QBs.
Ryan Fitzpatrick – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – $5,600
Analysis: I am on the Fitzmagic train this week as they take on the lowly Giants, coming off an upset win of the 49ers on Monday night. Fitz has four, 400-yard passing games this season, and raises his floor with his rushing ability. The reason Fitz is a GPP play this week is his inability to protect the ball and threat of being benched for Jameis Winston.
Eli Manning – New York Giants – $5,200
Analysis: This one pains me to even type, but Eli Manning is in a position to score more fantasy points than he’s scored all season long against Tampa Bay this week. Tampa is fourth in fantasy points allowed to QBs, second in fantasy points allowed to WRs, and second in fantasy points allowed to tight ends. Eli has all the weapons in the world to be a juggernaut this week. But it’s Eli, and he’s never to be trusted for cash.
RUNNING BACKS
Melvin Gordon – Los Angeles Chargers – $8,900
Analysis: Gordon falls here because he’s the highest-priced RB with one of the worst home/road splits narratives in his career. I will always love Gordon on the road, but at home, as the highest-priced RB of the entire slate, it’s hard for me to consider him as a worthy play in cash, despite Denver’s inability to stop the run, allowing 131 yards per game on the ground. There’s always a threat of Austin Ekeler taking carries as well, making the volume less than I would like to pay for in cash.
Alvin Kamara – New Orleans Saints – $8,200
Analysis: Ezekiel Elliott just got done smashing the Eagles and some may argue Kamara is a better all-around running back. He’s getting the Eagle’s pass-funnel tendencies’ price in the highest projected scoring game of the slate. Philly will be in desperation mode for the playoffs, and need a win, but Kamara and the Saints are one of the highest-scoring teams in the league. Kamara is a GPP based on his difficult rushing matchup and his time share with Mark Ingram.
Jalen Richard – Oakland Raiders – $4,300
Analysis: Never trust a Raider in cash (yet, I am recommending Seth Roberts this week?). The Raiders will be without Martavis Bryant and Jordy Nelson, Doug Martin is a disaster, leaving Richard, who has 32 targets and 30 catches in his last 5 games, as a viable option as a value play in GPPs. The Cardinals allow the fourth-most fantasy points to running backs, including an average of 4 catches for 42 yards per game through the air.
Derrick Henry – Tennessee Titans – $4,000
Analysis: Just in case Dion Lewis, who is getting the majority of the carries between the 20s, can’t quite get in the endzone, you can go TD or bust with Derrick Henry, whose touchdown regression has been trending up with three straight trips to the end zone.
