Time for the Playoff Edition of the Offensive Tendencies article. With only four games in the Wild Card round, the gaps to find increased opportunities is very limited. So, I will once again be utilizing the “Hot Sheet” style that I used in Week 17, including some analysis of each game.
Also, when it comes to a small slate of games you need something to differentiate your lineup from the masses, especially in a GPP. So I have also added a “Gut Call” for each team this week. You will notice that most of these are centered on touchdowns, as I also feel that who scores the touchdowns has increased importance in a small slate of games.
The charts below show the rating for each position per team based on each team’s own offensive performance and their opponent’s defensive performance for a variety of factors over the season and last five weeks:
- Vegas line and total
- Team pace (plays)
- Overall play distribution
- Red Zone and Inside 10 play distribution
- Yards per attempt (passing, receiving, rushing)
- TD per attempt (passing, receiving, rushing)
- DVOA ratings from FootballOutsiders
- Sacks, turnovers and defensive touchdowns
All of these stats and rankings are compiled, weighted and averaged to come up with a single “rating” for each team by position for this week. Numbers in red are “hot” indicating a good matchup and potential “increased opportunity” for this week.
As always, I will give my Top Plays for the week at the bottom of the article. So let’s get right to the numbers and analysis…
